Some of the biggest division’s biggest lads take center stage this weekend (Sat., Feb. 20, 2021) when Heavyweight contenders Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis duke it out for a spot in title contention in the main event of UFC Vegas 19, which takes place inside UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Also on tap is a clash of ranked women’s Bantamweight contenders in Ketlen Vieira and Yana Kunitskaya, plus another Heavyweight tussle pitting rising finisher Chris Daukaus against veteran submission ace Aleksei Oleinik.
The weather outside is frightful, but profit is so delightful. Let’s scoop up some more ...
What Went Wrong at UFC 258?
Before the event? Bobby Green’s and Miranda Maverick’s fights fell through (details here and here). During the event? Nothing! Belal Muhammad was dominant as expected, and though Gabe Green and Chris Gutierrez had me worried, they ultimately emerged victorious for a second consecutive profitable event.
UFC Vegas 19 Odds For The Under Card:
Rafael Alves (-190) vs. Pat Sabatini (+165)
Danny Chavez (-145) vs. Jared Gordon (+125)
Drakkar Klose (-175) vs. Luis Pena (+155)
John Castaneda (-125) vs. Eddie Wineland (+105)
Julian Erosa (-125) vs. Nate Landwehr (-105)
Casey O’Neill (-145) vs. Shana Dobson (+125)
Jamall Emmers (-240) vs. Chas Skelly (+200)
Drako Rodriguez (-175) vs. Aiemann Zahabi (+155)
Serghei Spivac (-245) vs. Jared Vanderaa (+205)
Thoughts: Casey O’Neill is the star of the show this week, though Drakkar Klose, Nate Landwehr and Jared Vanderaa are tempting investments as well.
From where I’m sitting, O’Neill is right up there with Manon Fiorot when it comes to potential. She has Dobson out-classed on the ground by a flat-out unfair margin and is dangerous enough to hold her own on the feet as well. Impressive as Dobson’s upset of Mariya Agapova was, “Danger” got demolished on the mat until Agapova ran out of steam, which O’Neill isn’t remotely likely to do.
In short, go big on O’Neill to start her Octagon career right.
We’re now seven fights into Luis Pena’s Octagon career and he still looks no closer to putting it all together than when he started. Two of his last three wins have come over Featherweights, while the third saw him beat down a completely shot Matt Wiman. Klose’s ceiling may be lower than it initially appeared, but he’s still far more accomplished in UFC and has the tools to take apart Pena on the feet.
Julian Erosa has spent the vast majority of his time in the Octagon getting the snot kicked out of him, going 2-4 with three violent knockout losses. The man seems pathologically incapable of actually using his height and reach properly, allowing shorter opponents to get inside and tee off on his poorly protected chin. Landwehr’s entire game is built around marching through fire to tear apart opponents at close range, meaning that unless Erosa can catch him with a head kick, Landwehr’s going to chase him down and maul him.
It’s worth an investment, at least.
Jared Vanderaa isn’t anything special, but he is profoundly large and capable of wholesale destruction from top position. Serghei Spivac’s usually happy to wrestle, so it’s worth putting a bit down on “The Mountain” just in case.
UFC Vegas 19 Odds For The Main Card:
Curtis Blaydes (-420) vs. Derrick Lewis (+335)
Ketlen Vieira (-270) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+230)
Chris Daukaus (-160) vs. Aleksei Oleinik (+140)
Phil Hawes (-105) vs. Nassourdine Imavov (+105)
Tom Aspinall (-240) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+200)
Thoughts: I like the line on Chris Daukaus here — good takedown defense and sharp boxing are just what he needs to take out Oleinik, who’s been knocked out on the feet by three of his last five opponents. Heavyweights being what they are, caution is warranted, but I do think he’s a sufficiently safe investment.
UFC Vegas 19 Best Bets:
- Parlay — Drakkar Klose and Nate Landwehr: Bet $40 to make $82.80
- Parlay — Casey O’Neill and Chris Daukaus: Bet $60 to make $105
- Parlay — Casey O’Neill and Jared Vanderaa: Bet $20 to make $83
It’s got some fun matchups and should end before the potential boxing Fight of the Year between Miguel Berchelt and Oscar Valdez on ESPN+, so I’ll take it. See you Saturday, Maniacs.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Vegas 19 fight card this weekend, starting with the ESPN+ “Prelims” matches, which are scheduled to begin at 5 p.m. ET, then the remaining main card balance on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET.
To check out the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 19: “Blaydes vs. Lewis” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.