It’s off to the Great White North for some proper donnybrooks this weekend (Sat., May 4, 2019), and even though Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) didn’t manage to snag the toughest boys in Letterkenny, it still has a solid lineup in store. UFC Fight Night 151’s main event pits all-action Lightweight finisher Al Iaquinta against the venerable Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone, with local The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winner Elias Theodorou setting the stage against the always-dangerous Derek Brunson. Other tussles inside Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, include Cub Swanson duking it out with Shane Burgos and another TUF winner, Brad Katona, looking to stop the wrestling onslaught of Merab Dvalishvili.
We’ve got ourselves a pay-per-view (PPV) next week; therefore, let’s start saving up!
What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 150?
A minor disaster that should have been a major disaster is what went wrong last weekend. Augusto Sakai failed to throw the volume I expected out of him and should have lost the decision, but was saved by inept judging. Carla Esparza looked strong against Virna Jandiroba, but Ion Cutelaba’s unexpectedly poor cardio and Court McGee’s inability to properly pressure Dhiego Lima made the event a loss.
UFC Fight Night 150 Odds For The Undercard:
Macy Chiasson (-700) vs Sarah Moras (+500)
Aiemann Zahabi (-155) vs. Vince Morales (+135)
Nordine Taleb (-335) vs. Kyle Prepolec (+275)
Matt Sayles (-230) vs. Kyle Nelson (+190)
Juan Adams (-120) vs. Arjan Singh Bhullar (EVEN)
Mitch Gagnon (-120) vs. Cole Smith (EVEN)
Thoughts: Arjan Bhullar looks to be worth the investment.
Juan Adams is ridiculously huge and packs some serious power, but he’s still very much a raw talent. Bhullar is exponentially better than any wrestler “The Kraken” has faced before, showing against Marcelo Golm that he’s not intimidated by physically larger opponents. In addition, Adams struggles to use his reach advantage and has shown some cardio liabilities, which bodes ill against someone in Bhullar who excels in close quarters and has an exhausting style to deal with. Bhullar pulls off a Sikh victory.
UFC Fight Night 151 Odds For The Main Card:
Al Iaquinta (-125) vs. Donald Cerrone (+105)
Derek Brunson (-110) vs. Elias Theodorou (-110)
Shane Burgos (-170) vs. Cub Swanson (+150)
Merab Dvalishvili (-160) vs. Brad Katona (+140)
Walt Harris (-155) vs. Sergey Spivak (+135)
Andrew Sanchez (-160) vs. Marc-André Barriault (+140)
Thoughts: Cowboys and hurricanes, oh my.
No one can deny that Al Iaquinta is a gritty, powerful, dangerous S.O.B. with a chip on his shoulder. People can (but probably shouldn’t) deny that Cerrone is all wrong for him. “Ragin’ Al” has historically struggled with rangy strikers and submission specialists, both boxes that Cerrone ticks nicely. Iaquinta has three-inch disadvantages in height and reach and his raw aggression leaves him vulnerable to the intercepting knee that winded Eddie Alvarez and Alexander Hernandez, so if he can’t get the early finish, he’s in for a long night.
It’s also worth noting that Cerrone has some wrestling chops of his own, and Iaquinta wants no piece of him on the ground. All in all, I like Cerrone to pull the upset.
I’m high on Shane Burgos, though I’ll acknowledge that I’m a tad worried about his chin after his knockout loss to Calvin Kattar and the knockdown he suffered against Kurt Holobaugh. When he’s firing on all cylinders, though, he’s a lethal puncher who looks poised to win the sort of wild brawl Swanson enjoys. “Hurricane” Shane is also three inches taller with nearly half a foot of reach advantage, not to mention seven years younger. Burgos will hand Swanson his fourth consecutive loss, and you can get positive odds by parlaying him with Nordine Taleb, who’s fighting a mediocre natural Lightweight on short notice.
UFC Fight Night 151 Best Bets:
- Single bet — Arjan Singh Bhullar: Bet $60 to make $60
- Parlay — Nordine Taleb and Shane Burgos: Bet $60 to make $63.60
- Single bet — Donald Cerrone: $40 to make $42
Action, names and unheralded local newcomers? Sounds like a perfect Fight Night. See you Saturday, Maniacs.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 151 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.