One of boxing’s most venerable stars faces one of this generation’s greatest underachievers in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday (Jan. 19, 2019) as Manny Pacquiao defends his WBA Welterweight title against Adrien Broner. The card also features a clash of top Light Heavyweights and two additional title fights, but the money is in the main event and the bookies know it.
MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE coverage of “Pacquiao vs. Broner” tomorrow night, with the Showtime Boxing pay-per-view (PPV) beginning at 9 p.m. ET (Pacquiao and Broner will enter the ring closer to midnight).
Let’s have a look at the odds and prop bets (courtesy of 5Dimes):
Manny Pacquiao -280
Adrien Broner +240
Under 10.5 rounds — +215
Over 10.5 rounds — -255
Broner / Pacquiao goes distance — -205
Fight won’t go distance — +165
Broner wins inside distance — +626
Not Broner inside distance — -1277
Broner wins by 12-round decision — +430
Not Broner by 12-round decision — -690
Pacquiao wins inside distance — +265
Not Pacquiao inside distance — -385
Pacquiao wins by 12-round decision — -140
Not Pacquiao by 12-round decision — +100
Broner / Pacquiao draw — +1800
Fight not a draw — -2800
Thoughts: Pacquiao by decision remains a solid investment. “Pac Man” claims that he’s looking to knockout Broner, but he’s said the same thing for ages, and the only person he’s managed to stop in the last nine years was the ruined shell of Lucas Matthysse. I’m ride-or-die for “La Maquina,” but even I admit that ain’t worth much.
So that’s one outcome consigned to unlikeliness. The other is a Broner decision — “AB” has had wonky scorecards in the past, he just doesn’t throw enough volume to consistently win rounds. If he’s beating Pacquiao, he’s doing so by knockout. Unfortunately, his power hasn’t carried as he’s moved up in weight. He’s scored just two finishes in his last 11 fights, one of them over the decidedly mediocre Ashley Theophane, and his only other impressive show of force in that span was a knockdown of the very tough Shawn Porter.
The safest investment here is -205 for the fight going the distance, at least if you’re gunshy about Pacquiao’s chances with the judges. Personally, though, I’d say -140 for Pacquiao by decision is the best choice.
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