At long last, a massive Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) pay-per-view (PPV) event hits T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., July 7, 2018) as Stipe Miocic defends his Heavyweight title against Light Heavyweight kingpin Daniel Cormier in the main event of UFC 226. Earlier in the evening, Max Holloway defends his Featherweight title against Brian Ortega and Derrick Lewis takes on Francis Ngannou in a Heavyweight grudge match.
I’m sure you will do a lot of things you regret on this Fourth of July, but let’s do something smart to wash that sour taste out of your mouth.
What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 132?
I really should have learned not to put my faith in Felipe Arantes by now. At least he retired, thus keeping me from making an ass of myself again. Not that I won’t find a way to do so without his help, but at least this cuts off one avenue.
UFC 226 Odds For The Undercard:
Paulo Costa (-420) vs. Uriah Hall (+335)
Paul Felder (-160) vs. Mike Perry (+140)
Raphael Assuncao (-170) vs. Rob Font (+150)
Curtis Milender (-165) vs. Max Griffin (+145)
Dan Hooker (-125) vs. Gilbert Burns (+105)
Lando Vannata (-185) vs. Drakkar Klose (+160)
Jamie Moyle (-200) vs. Emily Whitmire (+170)
Thoughts: The meat of UFC 226’s bargains are on the main card, but there’s still some profit to be found, namely in Jamie Moyle. Indeed, Emily Whitmire has yet to beat a competent opponent in the professional ranks and even a four-inch height advantage isn’t enough to convince me that she has anything for Moyle. The latter’s wrestling and striking aren’t up to snuff and — considering she fought at 115 pounds before her The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) bid — I doubt Whitmire’s time at 125 pounds will prove a deciding factor.
UFC 226 Odds For The Main Card:
Stipe Miocic (-250) vs. Daniel Cormier (+210)
Max Holloway (-145) vs. Brian Ortega (+125)
Francis Ngannou (-370) vs. Derrick Lewis (+310)
Michael Chiesa (-160) vs. Anthony Pettis (+140)
Gokhan Saki (-135) vs. Khalil Rountree (+115)
Thoughts: The fact that my “Prelims” undercard pick percentage far outstrips my betting percentage suggests that my best course of action is to have faith in my pics. As such, my recommendation is to put everything on Max Holloway.
When I see Holloway, I see a dynasty in the making. He is a truly special fighter, one whom I see dominating the Featherweight rankings before carving a legacy at Lightweight. As good as Brian Ortega is, none of his customary strategies look fit to work here — Holloway does not get tired, does not surrender takedowns, and is clever enough to avoid the protracted clinch engagements that Ortega thrives in. For all I’ve lost betting against Ortega in the past, my faith in Holloway outstrips my shame.
Other than that, I’ll repeat my bet on Michael Chiesa that Conor McGregor’s dolly shenanigans disrupted last time out. Anthony Pettis is a solved game at this point and Chiesa’s durability and wrestling present a challenge I’m not convinced he can overcome.
UFC 226 Best Bets:
- Single bet -- Jamie Moyle: Bet $100 to make $50
- Single bet -- Max Holloway: Bet $145 to make $100
- Single bet -- Michael Chiesa: Bet $80 to make $50
UFC 226 has all the potential to be one for the ages ... enough said. See you Saturday, Maniacs!
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 226 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.