No partying too hard this Friday night, Maniacs.
That’s because timezones rear their heads once again on Saturday morning (June 17, 2017) when Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Singapore with Holly Holm and Bethe Correia in the Fight Pass-only main event. Rising Polish bruiser Marcin Tybura co-headlines against former champion Andrei Arlovski, while Colby Covington attempts to continue his Welterweight rise at the expense of “Stun Gun” Dong Hyun Kim.
You might want compensation for getting up that early; therefore, here’s how to get it.
What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 110?
Yeah, Kiichi Kunimoto lost, but I think he proved my point that he shouldn’t have been a +250 underdog. He could have won that fight with a greater focus on position and some more variety in his takedown entries. No such self-aggrandizing for the Ross Pearson pick, though. Hooker improved markedly from his fight with Jason Knight and exploited Pearson’s head movement brilliantly. It will definitely be interesting to see if he can keep putting it all together against top-tier Lightweight contenders.
UFC Fight Night 111 Odds For The Undercard:
Jon Tuck (-255) vs. Takanori Gomi (+215)
Walt Harris (-300) vs. Cyril Asker (+250)
Alex Caceres (-300) vs. Rolando Dy (+250)
Justin Scoggins (-500) vs. Yuta Sasaki (+400)
Li Jingliang (-450) vs. Frank Camacho (+360)
Kwan Ho Kwak (-150) vs. Russell Doane (+130)
Naoki Inoue (-275) vs. CJ de Tomas (+235)
Lucie Pudilova (-145) vs. Ji Yeon Kim (+125)
Thoughts: Walt Harris opened at -215, which would have been gangbusters, but we can still scrape a bargain together out of him and Jon Tuck.
Harris has all the physical tools to be a monster. At 34, he’ll never manage to bring his technique up to snuff before those gifts start to fade, but they’re more than enough to carry him past Asker. The Frenchman is smaller, slower, easier to hit, and less durable, not to mention wholly unequipped to consistently bring it to the ground. While anything can happen in this sport, using Harris as the base for your parlays makes sense.
I fervently believe Takanori Gomi deserves to be mentioned among the all-time-great Lightweight legends. I’m also painfully aware that he’s done as a top-level fighter. The takedown defense isn’t there, the defensive grappling isn’t there, the chin isn’t there, and even the legendary power hasn’t shown itself in years. Tuck may have about four minutes of gas in his tank, but that’s more than enough to take down Gomi and obliterate him on the mat ... just like “The Fireball Kid’s” last two foes did.
UFC Fight Night 111 Odds For The Main Card:
Holly Holm (-620) vs. Bethe Correia (+460)
Marcin Tybura (-260) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+220)
Colby Covington (-220) vs. Dong Hyun Kim (+180)
Rafael dos Anjos (-260) vs. Tarec Saffiedine (+220)
Thoughts: Colby Covington is honestly way undervalued here. He showed polished, powerful boxing against Bryan Barberena, who offers a similar sort of devil-may-care forward pressure as Kim. Covington will also have a speed advantage and, should the two wind up grappling, I have more faith in his wrestling than in Kim’s Judo.
You could stick Rafael dos Anjos, who opened at a delectable -195, in a parlay as well. Saffiedine’s lack of volume and stopping power continue to bite him in the rear against dedicated pressure fighters.
I might get grief for focusing on guys between -200 and -300, but considering only two fights have the favorite at under -200, four of the underdogs are making their UFC debuts, and five of the other underdogs have stoppage losses within their last three fights, I think I can be forgiven.
UFC Fight Night 111 Best Bets:
- Parlay -- Walt Harris and Colby Covington: Bet $40 to make $37.73
- Parlay -- Jon Tuck and Rafael dos Anjos: Bet $35 to make $32.40
Hope you’ve got coffee or amphetamines — or both — because you might need them this weekend. See you bright and early, Maniacs!
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 111 results on fight morning, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.