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Even with its original main event out of commission, UFC 218, which takes place tonight (Sat., Dec. 2, 2017) inside Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Mich., remains kind of a big deal. Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Featherweight Champion Max Holloway rematches Jose Aldo in the pay-per-view (PPV) main event, while Francis Ngannou faces Alistair Overeem to potentially determine the future of the Heavyweight division.
As with all big deals, the bookies have lined up to provide opportunities to line both your wallets and theirs. Mostly theirs, of course, but let’s see if we can’t turn the situation to our advantage.
Max Holloway vs Jose Aldo Fight Props
Max Holloway vs Jose Aldo
Max Holloway -300 (1/3)
Jose Aldo +240 (12/5)
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes +140 (7/5)
No -200 (1/2)
Total Rounds
Over 2.5 Rounds -200 (1/2)
Under 2.5 Rounds +140 (7/5)
Method of Victory - 5 Rounds
Max Holloway wins inside distance 5/8
Max Holloway wins by 5 round decision 13/4
Jose Aldo wins inside distance 7/1
Jose Aldo wins by 5 round decision 7/2
Draw 75/1
Method of Victory
Max Holloway wins by decision or technical decision 13/4
Max Holloway wins by KO, TKO or DQ 5/6
Max Holloway wins by submission 13/2
Jose Aldo wins by decision or technical decision 7/2
Jose Aldo wins by KO, TKO or DQ 10/1
Jose Aldo wins by submission 15/1
Draw or Technical draw 75/1
Round Betting - 5 Rounds
Max Holloway in Round 1 7/2
Max Holloway in Round 2 9/2
Max Holloway in Round 3 11/2
Max Holloway in Round 4 8/1
Max Holloway in Round 5 11/1
Max Holloway on points 13/4
Jose Aldo in Round 1 18/1
Jose Aldo in Round 2 22/1
Jose Aldo in Round 3 28/1
Jose Aldo in Round 4 33/1
Jose Aldo in Round 5 40/1
Jose Aldo on points 7/2
Draw 75/1
Francis Ngannou vs Alistair Overeem Fight Props
Francis Ngannou vs Alistair Overeem
Francis Ngannou -240 (5/12)
Alistair Overeem +180 (9/5)
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes +250 (5/2)
No -400 (1/4)
Total Rounds
Over 1.5 Rounds EVEN (1/1)
Under 1.5 Rounds -140 (5/7)
Method of Victory - 3 Rounds
Francis Ngannou wins inside distance 5/9
Francis Ngannou wins by 3 round decision 11/2
Alistair Overeem wins inside distance 15/4
Alistair Overeem wins by 3 round decision 9/2
Draw 99/1
Method of Victory
Francis Ngannou wins by decision or technical decision 11/2
Francis Ngannou wins by KO, TKO or DQ 4/7
Francis Ngannou wins by submission 15/1
Alistair Overeem wins by decision or technical decision 9/2
Alistair Overeem wins by KO, TKO or DQ 17/4
Alistair Overeem wins by submission 12/1
Draw or Technical draw 99/1
Round Betting - 3 Rounds
Francis Ngannou in Round 1 6/5
Francis Ngannou in Round 2 9/2
Francis Ngannou in Round 3 10/1
Francis Ngannou on points 11/2
Alistair Overeem in Round 1 17/2
Alistair Overeem in Round 2 12/1
Alistair Overeem in Round 3 22/1
Alistair Overeem on points 9/2
Draw 99/1
Henry Cejudo vs Sergio Pettis Fight Props
Henry Cejudo vs Sergio Pettis
Henry Cejudo -300 (1/3)
Sergio Pettis +230 (23/10)
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes -275 (4/11)
No +190 (19/10)
Total Rounds
Over 2.5 Rounds -300 (1/3)
Under 2.5 Rounds +200 (2/1)
Method of Victory - 3 Rounds
Henry Cejudo wins inside distance 10/3
Henry Cejudo wins by 3 round decision 5/6
Sergio Pettis wins inside distance 19/4
Sergio Pettis wins by 3 round decision 3/1
Draw 65/1
Method of Victory
Henry Cejudo wins by decision or technical decision 5/6
Henry Cejudo wins by KO, TKO or DQ 15/4
Henry Cejudo wins by submission 12/1
Sergio Pettis wins by decision or technical decision 3/1
Sergio Pettis wins by KO, TKO or DQ 13/2
Sergio Pettis wins by submission 11/1
Draw or Technical draw 65/1
Round Betting - 3 Rounds
Henry Cejudo in Round 1 7/1
Henry Cejudo in Round 2 17/2
Henry Cejudo in Round 3 16/1
Henry Cejudo on points 5/6
Sergio Pettis in Round 1 10/1
Sergio Pettis in Round 2 12/1
Sergio Pettis in Round 3 22/1
Sergio Pettis on points 3/1
Draw 65/1
Justin Gaethje vs Eddie Alvarez Fight Props
Justin Gaethje vs Eddie Alvarez
Justin Gaethje -185 (20/37)
Eddie Alvarez +150 (3/2)
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes +140 (7/5)
No -200 (1/2)
Total Rounds
Over 1.5 Rounds -180 (5/9)
Under 1.5 Rounds +130 (13/10)
Method of Victory - 3 Rounds
Justin Gaethje wins inside distance 11/10
Justin Gaethje wins by 3 round decision 3/1
Eddie Alvarez wins inside distance 13/4
Eddie Alvarez wins by 3 round decision 10/3
Draw 85/1
Method of Victory
Justin Gaethje wins by decision or technical decision 3/1
Justin Gaethje wins by KO, TKO or DQ 6/5
Justin Gaethje wins by submission 13/1
Eddie Alvarez wins by decision or technical decision 10/3
Eddie Alvarez wins by KO, TKO or DQ 4/1
Eddie Alvarez wins by submission 12/1
Draw or Technical draw 85/1
Round Betting - 3 Rounds
Justin Gaethje in Round 1 14/5
Justin Gaethje in Round 2 19/4
Justin Gaethje in Round 3 9/1
Justin Gaethje on points 3/1
Eddie Alvarez in Round 1 15/2
Eddie Alvarez in Round 2 9/1
Eddie Alvarez in Round 3 15/1
Eddie Alvarez on points 10/3
Draw 85/1
Tecia Torres vs Michelle Waterson Fight Props
Tecia Torres vs Michelle Waterson
Tecia Torres -250 (2/5)
Michelle Waterson +200 (2/1)
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes -310 (10/31)
No +200 (2/1)
Total Rounds
Over 2.5 Rounds -330 (10/33)
Under 2.5 Rounds +220 (11/5)
Method of Victory - 3 Rounds
Tecia Torres wins inside distance 5/1
Tecia Torres wins by 3 round decision 5/8
Michelle Waterson wins inside distance 15/4
Michelle Waterson wins by 3 round decision 4/1
Draw 60/1
Method of Victory
Tecia Torres wins by decision or technical decision 5/8
Tecia Torres wins by KO, TKO or DQ 17/2
Tecia Torres wins by submission 11/1
Michelle Waterson wins by decision or technical decision 4/1
Michelle Waterson wins by KO, TKO or DQ 17/4
Michelle Waterson wins by submission 19/2
Draw or Technical draw 60/1
Round Betting - 3 Rounds
Tecia Torres in Round 1 11/1
Tecia Torres in Round 2 12/1
Tecia Torres in Round 3 18/1
Tecia Torres on points 5/8
Michelle Waterson in Round 1 8/1
Michelle Waterson in Round 2 10/1
Michelle Waterson in Round 3 16/1
Michelle Waterson on points 4/1
Draw 60/1
Thoughts: Most of these fights are potentially chaotic enough to warrant sticking to straight bets, but there are a few bargains. Tecia Torres by decision at 5:8 (-160) looks worth it — Waterson has been stopped by submission before and Torres got her first-ever finish by rear-naked choke recently, but it’s far likelier “The Tiny Tornado” just roughs her up on the feet for all 15 minutes.
Aside from that, while the fight could go in any direction, Alistair Overeem by submission at 12:1 seems lopsided considering Ngannou’s inexperience on the ground. “The Reem” can grapple when he needs to. I’m not saying to put any real money on it, but $5 for a $60 return doesn’t sound too bad.