The most entertaining Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) division takes center stage this Saturday evening (Nov. 11, 2017) as former Lightweight champion Anthony Pettis attempts to prove he’s still a force to be reckoned with against the rising Dustin Poirier in Norfolk, Virginia.
Fifteen pounds north, Matt Brown looks to lay down one last beating before hanging them up against Diego Sanchez in UFC Fight Night 120’s co-main event, while Junior Albini fights Andrei Arlovski in a Heavyweight crossroads fight.
It’s a FOX Sports 1-televised show with major implications for the future; therefore, let’s see what we can do about your wallet’s future.
What Went Wrong at UFC 217?
George St-Pierre came back after a four-year layoff and legitimately looked significantly better than he had prior. It’s astounding — he looked shopworn against Johny Hendricks, but was far more devastating with his hands than he had been since eating Jon Fitch alive and his takedown timing looked undiminished. The aliens who abducted him did some damn fine work while they had him, apparently. You know the annoying part? The event would have been around a $50 win instead of a $3 one if Ion Cutelaba hadn’t doped against a guy he absolutely did not need drugs to beat.
UFC Fight Night 120 Odds For The Undercard:
John Dodson (-115) vs. Marlon Moraes (-105)
Tatiana Suarez (-275) vs. Viviane Pereira (+235)
Sage Northcutt (-170) vs. Michel Quiñones (+150)
Angela Hill (-200) vs. Nina Ansaroff (+170)
Sean Strickland (-240) vs. Court McGee (+200)
Marcel Fortuna (-230) vs. Jake Collier (+190)
Karl Roberson (-220) vs. Darren Stewart (+180)
Thoughts: These lines are … not ideal. If you’re willing to stick your neck out on some underdogs, though, you might be able to scrape something together. Nina Ansaroff seems worth a small investment, as does Michel Quinones.
Ansaroff’s UFC struggles have come against determined takedown artists. On the other hands, when given room to operate, she’s an effective and varied striker with legitimate stopping power. She’s also dangerous from top position if she can find her way there off a takedown or caught kick. This is close to a toss-up, so I’d say that +170 line is worth a few dollars based on “The Strina’s” superior versatility.
In UFC, Northcutt has demonstrated very little other than that he’s an athletic marvel. The three people he’s beaten have a combined promotional record of 2-7 and he still had issues with two of them (Cody Pfister and Enrique Marin). Quinones is giving up size and had a rough debut, but he’s certainly a capable fighter and nowhere near as inconsistent as “Super Sage.” That’s enough to warrant a bet in my book.
Ah, what the heck, I’ll put my money where my mouth is. Marlon Moraes is still championship material. Parlay him with some heavy favorite.
UFC Fight Night 120 Odds For The Main Card:
Anthony Pettis (-125) vs. Dustin Poirier (+105)
Matt Brown (-360) vs. Diego Sanchez (+300)
Junior Albini (-280) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+240)
Cezar Ferreira (-280) vs. Nate Marquardt (+240)
Raphael Assuncao (-335) vs. Matthew Lopez (+275)
Clay Guida (-125) vs. Joe Lauzon (+105)
Thoughts: Four lopsided lines and two pick-ems. Lovely. The only one I can think to bet on is Junior Albini because even with my aversion to betting against guys with one-shot knockout power, Arlovski has lost five straight, including being on the wrong end of four “Performance of the Night” bonuses. The one time he wasn’t stopped, he looked slow and ineffective against Marcin Tybura. It was fun while it lasted, but the Arlovski renaissance is over.
UFC Fight Night 120 Best Bets:
- Single bet -- Nina Ansaroff: Bet $50 to make $85
- Single bet -- Michel Quinones: Bet $40 to make $60
- Parlay -- Marlon Moraes and Junior Albini: Bet $40 to make $66
Some of these guys are past their expiration dates, but it’s still a pretty darn good card for a “Fight Night.” See you Saturday, Maniacs.