It’s old school vs. (kinda) new school this Saturday evening (Oct. 28, 2017) when former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Light Heavyweight kingpin, Lyoto Machida, looks to put together one last title run at the expense of top-ranked Middleweight contender, Derek Brunson (No. 6), in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Former Welterweight title contender Demian Maia finds himself in a similar spot against Colby Covington, while top prospects Rob Font and Pedro Munhoz lock horns at Bantamweight.
UFC Fight Night 119 features a solid overall lineup and it serves as a great way to ease the impatience while we wait for UFC 217. Let’s dig in:
What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 118?
I straight-up overestimated Devon Clark. I really thought his wrestling was better than it is. That’s my bad. I don’t really understand what happened with Felipe Arantes against Josh Emmett, though. Arantes stood up to bombs from Kevin Souza — one of the hardest punchers to grace UFC’s Featherweight division in recent years — but spent the first round disintegrating every time Emmett touched him. Weird.
UFC Fight Night 119 Odds For The Undercard:
Vicente Luque (-145) vs. Niko Price (+125)
Antonio Carlos Junior (-360) vs. Jack Marshman (+300)
Jared Gordon (-150) vs. Hacran Dias (+130)
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos (-185) vs. Max Griffin (+160)
Jarred Brooks (-175) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (+155)
Marcelo Golm (-170) vs. Christian Colombo (+150)
Thoughts: This is definitely not the friendliest set of lines I’ve ever laid eyes on. Elizeu Zaleski seems like a quality investment, though. Zaleski has gotten markedly better at forcing the sort of knockdown, drag-out slugfest he thrives in. Even if Griffin does decide against trading on the feet, odds are he’ll wind up doing so whether he likes it or not. There, Zaleski’s superior power and cast-iron chin make it his fight to lose.
UFC Fight Night 119 Odds For The Main Card:
Derek Brunson (-170) vs. Lyoto Machida (+150)
Colby Covington (-135) vs. Demian Maia (+115)
Rob Font (-190) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+165)
Francisco Trinaldo (-190) vs. Jim Miller (+165)
Jack Hermansson (-145) vs. Thiago Santos (+125)
John Lineker (-450) vs. Marlon Vera (+360)
Thoughts: I’ve got one sentimental pick and one practical one. Let’s go with sentimental first.
The Lyoto Machida of 2013 who dropped to Middleweight and immediately dismantled Mark Munoz and Gegard Mousasi wins this easily. The Lyoto Machida of today — just over six months away from turning 40 and 28 months removed from his last time in the cage — still has a chance. Brunson’s is an archetype Machida has eaten alive in the past and it’s worth considering that Lyoto’s three recent losses came against Chris Weidman, Luke Rockhold and Yoel Romero — all absolute monsters. Brunson’s shown enough fight IQ issues to make “The Dragon” worth at least a few bucks.
The practical pick? John Lineker, the card’s heaviest favorite. As a gambling investment, he has the unique advantage of a skull that doubles as an airplane black box. You’re not going to see a repeat of Mirsad Bektic vs. Darren Elkins, where a sudden cessation of consciousness undoes a life-changing beating, unless Vera brings a gun into the cage. Vera doesn’t move well enough to stay out of Lineker’s reach, doesn’t wrestle well enough to keep him on the mat, and damn sure doesn’t hit hard enough to slow him down.
UFC Fight Night 119 Best Bets:
- Parlay -- Elizeu Zaleski and John Lineker: Bet $135.60 to make $120
- Single bet -- Lyoto Machida: Bet $40 to make $60
There are some fights here you really, really don’t want to miss. See you Saturday, Maniacs!
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 119 results this weekend, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.