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UFC 202 predictions: ONE out of 21 pros pick Conor McGregor to beat Nate Diaz in rematch

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Before Nate Diaz and Conor McGregor go toe-to-toe for the second time in five months at UFC 202, which takes place inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday night (Aug. 20, 2016), many mixed martial arts (MMA) fighters have their personal opinions on how their Welterweight rematch will play out.

According to a poll done by Draft Kings, "Notorious" -- who is now a slight betting favorite to win after opening with even odds -- won’t be getting payback on the Stockton slugger after Diaz forced the Irishman to tap out via rear-naked choke earlier this year at UFC 196.

And it’s not even close:

Luke Rockhold -- Diaz
Chael Sonnen -- Diaz
Carlos Condit -- Diaz
Aljamain Sterling -- Diaz
Derrick Lewis -- Diaz via decision
Cody Garbrandt -- Diaz via technical knockout
Tim Kennedy -- Diaz via submission
Jorge Masvidal -- Diaz
Rick Story -- Diaz via submission
Scott Holtzman - Diaz via submission
Felice Herrig -- Diaz
Oluwale Bamgbose -- Diaz
Lauren Murphy -- Diaz
Matt Brown -- Diaz via technical knockout
Al Iaquinta -- Diaz
Beneil Dariush -- Diaz via knockout
Jimmy Smith -- Diaz via submission
James Vick -- Diaz via submission
James Krause -- McGregor via technical knockout
Kamaru Usman -- Diaz via unanimous decision
Chris Camozzi -- Diaz via submission

That’s a total of 20 votes for Diaz with only one in favor of McGregor.

The lopsided numbers speak for themselves. Now let Chael Sonnen, Carlos Condit and Aljamain Sterling provide some context with their in-depth expert analysis.

Chael Sonnen:

"Diaz. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and expecting a different result. This match just happened, in the same weight, with the sane guys, in the same amount of rounds, under the same rules. Expecting a different outcome would, by definition, be insane."

Carlos Condit:

"I think that Conor McGregor has the skills to beat Nate Diaz. He was doing really well in the first fight, but how many times have we seen a guy go out and try to run through one of the Diaz brothers, get super tired, gas out and then get finished? It happens quite a bit. They're really tough guys to fight. If Conor fights smart, sticks to a gameplan and picks Nate apart, piece by piece, he can win. If he goes in there and fights like he did before, I think he's going to lose again. I think I'm going to go with Nate again for the win."

Aljamain Sterling:

"I'm leaning towards Diaz. I think he's going to get in Conor's face and make it an ugly fight, then take him down. I think Conor will show the adjustments he's made, but this is a different Nate, who's now in shape and always has the looming threat of those great Boston Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) skills."

Don’t fret, McGregor Army, Obviously Fight Talk hit the streets of Ireland to get their own predictions, so the scales should obviously tip in McGregor’s favor ... right? Not exactly. While most of the Irish faithful are backing their countrymen, not all of them are sold on him winning the rematch against Diaz.


For all you need to know about the upcoming UFC 202 pay-per-view (PPV) event click here.

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