Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will tell you, just as Ronda Rousey will, that women's bantamweight No. 1 contender and boxing import Holly Holm is the most dangerous opponent "Rowdy" has ever faced.
But you and I (and UFC color commentator Joe Rogan) aren't falling for that one.
Sure, "The Preacher's Daughter" was an accomplished pugilist who won multiple world titles, and yes, major upsets happen all the time in this crazy sport called mixed martial arts (MMA). But the odds makers didn't make Rousey a -2000 favorite because they're in the business of scaring away money.
On the contrary.
So, how can we plunk down some coin on the upcoming UFC 193 pay-per-view (PPV) main event, which takes place this Saturday night (Nov. 14, 2015) inside Etihad Stadium in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, when all we have are coins to plunk down?
The incomparable "Swinging Johnson" has the answer:
Including Ronda Rousey as a straight bet in your UFC picks is simply too big a risk no matter how good she is - think Buster Douglas vs. Mike Tyson circa 1990. The UFC odds makers are asking for -1300 to -2200 depending upon whom she's fighting. You can certainly declare she's been a veritable ATM in all 12 of her fights but the risk is so beyond the pale that it's hardly worth encouraging that betting behavior no matter how superior she is to the rest of the women's bantamweight division.
That is my caveat emptor to anyone who will continue to lay two grand to make a C-note. With that said Rousey should steamroll Holly Holm. A first round submission or even a KO is the only way this one will finish. I doubt Holm could even out-strike Rousey at this point. Holly Holm doesn't even have a puncher's chance because when she was a boxing champion only nine of her 33 wins were by KO. This one is easy and bet Rousey to stop Holm in round No. 1, which will cost you only about -300 versus -1700 to win the fight outright. This is why we make UFC prop bets.
There's also the parlay, but we'l cover that in a future UFC 193 odds post.
Check out the latest betting lines for "Rousey vs. Holm" as well as the rest of the UFC 193 odds, including Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. Valerie Letourneau, Mark Hunt vs. Antonio Silva, and many more, by heading over to SportsBookReview.com right here.
If you see a line you like, grab it, as they often shift as we get closer to fight night.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC 193 fight card (click here), starting with the Fight Pass "Prelims" matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET, and then the remaining under card balance on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m. ET, before the PPV main card start time at 10 p.m. ET.
See you then!