clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Golovkin vs Lemieux prediction: Who is winning the fight tonight?

New, 4 comments
Al Bello/Getty Images

Power is the universal language of combat sports. The average Joe and Jane likely won't understand nor care about the boring intricacies of footwork, head movement, punch selection and defense, but everyone understands power.

Later tonight (Sat., Oct. 17, 2015), two men with truly Earth-shattering power will duke it out in the main event of a four-fight pay-per-view (PPV) from Madison Square Garden in New York, N.Y., with multiple legitimate Middleweight belts on the line. Gennady Golovkin, the Olympic silver medalist from Kazakhstan, takes on David Lemieux, a newly-minted champion with a dynamite punch.

MMAmania will deliver LIVE coverage of "Golovkin vs. Lemieux" later this evening, starting with the HBO pay-per-view (PPV) at 9 p.m. ET.

In the co-main event, the best boxer on the planet, Nicarguan wrecking machine Roman Gonzalez, faces former champion Brian Viloria in an intriguing Flyweight clash. Elsewhere on the card, Heavyweight Luis "The Real King Kong" Ortiz takes on Argentina's Matias Ariel Vidondo and Tureano Johnson fights Eamonn O'Kane in an IBF title eliminator.

Heavy leather will be thrown, bells will be rung and quite a few brain cells will die valiant deaths.

Let's see whose they'll be:

Name: Gennady Golovkin
Age: 33
Record: 33-0, 30 KO
Last Five Fights: Willie Monroe, Jr. (TKO-5), Martin Murray (TKO-11), Marco Antonio Rubio (KO-2), Daniel Geale (TKO-3), Osumano Adama (TKO-7)
Significant Victories (other than those mentioned above): Curtis Stevens, Matthew Macklin, Grzegorz Proksa

VS.

Name: David Lemieux
Age: 26
Record: 34-2, 31 KO
Last Five Fights: Hassan N'Dam N'Jikam (UD), Gabriel Rosado (TKO-10), Fernando Guerrero (KO-2), Jose Miguel Torres (TKO-7), Marcus Upshaw (UD)
Significant Victories (other than those mentioned above): None

The Fight

Lemieux is a fighter I greatly respect. Back in 2011, he suffered consecutive losses to Marco Antonio Rubio and Joachim Alcine, the former a stoppage. Those are the kinds of defeats that can shatter the confidence so paramount for pure punchers.

However, he rebounded. And not only did he improve his craft, but he continued to throw power with hellacious abandon.

And when I say power, I mean power. When Lemieux hits people, they stay hit. He can smash with both hands to the head and body with deceptive speed and precision. He excels at splitting opponents' guards, particularly with his bomb of a left hook -- Golovkin absolutely cannot be as lackadaisical with his defense as he has before.

I don't believe he will.

Golovkin has, in the past, demonstrated excellent defensive acumen and footwork to go along with his unstoppable offense. While he got tagged some against Monroe, Golovkin implied that he basically allowed his light-punching foe back into the fight. Even without those, however, his jab should be enough. While he's improved his conditioning quite a bit and can carry his power late, Lemieux's style is a taxing one that relies on aggression to close the distance rather than a jab.

"GGG" ought to be able to keep him at range and, as the fight progresses, go to the body with increasing success.

Lemieux has a very, very real puncher's chance, but I have more faith in Golovkin's ability to take his punches than vice-versa. If the Canadian can't put him away early, Golovkin will run away with this fight in dramatic fashion.

That's the likely outcome. Golovkin survives a hairy couple of rounds to eventually batter an exhausted Lemieux into submission just past the midway point.

Prediction: Golovkin via knockout in round seven

What do you guys think -- does Lemieux have the goods to upset the Kazakh thunder?