UFC 180: Latest odds, lines and betting guide for 'Werdum vs Hunt' in Mexico City

It's like Cinderella ... only if she was Polynesian, 265 pounds and terrifying.

Former K-1 champion Mark Hunt will look to continue his improbable resurgence this Saturday (Nov. 15, 2014) when he takes on fellow Pride FC veteran and ADCC champion Fabricio Werdum for the interim Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Heavyweight title.

Werdum and Hunt will headline the UFC 180 pay-per-view (PPV) event, which will emanate from Mexico City Arena in Mexico City, Mexico.

In addition, The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 17 winner Kelvin Gastelum will look to keep his unbeaten record intact against the powerful Jake Ellenberger at 170 pounds, while Ricardo Lamas and Dennis Bermudez duke it out down at Featherweight.

It's a fun card filled with a lot of hometown favorites. Need help parsing through them? Too lazy to watch TUF: "Latin America?" We've got you covered.

Check out the odds behind UFC 180:

UFC 180 Odds For The Under Card:

Yair Rodriguez (-170) vs. Leonardo Morales (+150)
Jose Quinonez (-230) vs. Alejandro Perez (+190)
Jessica Eye (-245) vs. Leslie Smith (+205)
Gabriel Benitez (-360) vs. Humberto Brown (+300)
Henry Briones (-125) vs. Guido Cannetti (+105)
Marlon Vera (-260) vs. Marco Beltrán (+220)

Thoughts: The odds look just about right for all but one bout: Rodriguez vs. Morales. Though "Pantera" possesses a three-inch height advantage and the style to make use of it, Morales seems like the more developed fighter and has a more pragmatic attack.

The keystone of Rodriguez’s arsenal is his high kicks, whether in roundhouse, front, or wheel kick form. The issue is that he doesn’t have the supplemental skills needed to maximize that attack. They’re impressive to watch, but he throws them without setup and seemingly without regard to the situation at hand. Morales packs hard kicks, but in contrast, also has an effective low kick arsenal and a good-looking 1-2 on the side. Morales’ setups and more varied attack should carry him to victory here.

Bank on it.

UFC 180 Odds For The Main Card:

Fabricio Werdum (-440) vs. Mark Hunt (+350)
Kelvin Gastelum (-210) vs. Jake Ellenberger (+175)
Dennis Bermudez (-175) vs. Ricardo Lamas (+155)
Augusto Montano (-230) vs. Chris Heatherly (+190)
Edgar Garcia (-200) vs. Hector Urbina (+170)

Thoughts: What I’m about to say may sound crazy: I’m picking the guy who has lost two straight fights in definitive fashion over an unbeaten rising star. That’s right, I’m on the Ellenberger train.

It’s easy to look at Ellenberger’s last two performances and write him off, but consider who he lost to: Two of the Top 3-ranked Welterweight fighters on the planet. Gastelum doesn’t have the length of Rory MacDonald or the overall striking acumen of Robbie Lawler. He’s going to be looking to get in Ellenberger’s face and duke it out.

Nobody dukes it out with Ellenberger. Not for very long, at least.

Ellenberger, despite his recent troubles, still hits terrifyingly hard and has some deceptively quick hands. Gastelum got dropped by Rick Story. That’s not to say he has a bad chin, since Story has been laying out people lately, but it does mean he’s capable of being hurt and that’s all a puncher like "Juggernaut" needs.

Ellenberger with the upset knockout.

UFC 180 Best Bets:

• Single bet -- Leonard Morales: Bet $40 to make $60
• Single bet -- Jake Ellenberger: Bet $30 to make $52.50

Sure, it's top-heavy, but so are the girls you guys post on Friday Fun threads. And I don't see you complaining about that.

See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 180 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.

Running Profit For 2014 Based On This Column: $196.11