Never a dull day in Ultimate Fighting Championship's (UFC) Lightweight division.
A former 155-pound kingpin and a surging contender will do battle this Saturday evening (June 7, 2014) when Ben Henderson takes on Rustam Khabilov in the main event of UFC FIght Night 42, which will emanate from Tingley Coliseum in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
Two more aggressive division veterans -- and The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winners -- will lock horns in the co-main event when Diego Sanchez looks to end his recent slump at the expense of Ross Pearson. Plus, two former Flyweight title contenders, John Dodson and John Moraga, will attempt to beat a path back to the title.
All that and much, much more.
There's the potential for mixed martial arts (MMA) mayhem from top to bottom. Therefore, let's see if we can't make like Haliburton and manufacture a buck or two off of it.
UFC Fight Night 42 Odds For The Under Card:
Sergio Pettis (-400) vs. Yaotzin Meza (+325)
Bobby Voelker (-145) vs. Lance Benoist (+125)
Scott Jorgensen (-240) vs. Danny Martinez (+200)
Jon Tuck (-155) vs. Jake Lindsey (+135)
Patrick Cummins (-325) vs. Roger Narvaez (+265)
Thoughts: To be perfectly honest, I’m not seeing terribly much here. Tuck -- who I had my eye on -- slowed down too much against Tiequan Zhang and Norman Parke for me to be comfortable betting on him.
Jorgensen seems like a reasonable parlay anchor, though.
As I mentioned in my preview post (read it here), "Young Guns" has not lost to a bad fighter during his recent string of losses. There’s a big difference between struggling with the division elite and struggling with the very unpolished Martinez.
Jorgensen’s boxing is crisper than Martinez’s haymakers and he ought to have a significant wrestling advantage. Even at these relatively steep odds, I think he’s a bargain.
UFC Fight Night 42 Odds For The Main Card:
Ben Henderson (-245) vs. Rustam Khabilov (+205)
Ross Pearson (-285) vs. Diego Sanchez (+160)
John Dodson (-500) vs. John Moraga (+400)
Rafael Dos Anjos (-300) vs. Jason High (+250)
Piotr Hallmann (-175) vs. Yves Edwards (+155)
Bryan Caraway (-110) vs. Erik Perez (-110)
Thoughts: The "Prelims" under card may have been a bit barren, but I see one risky investment and one bout with odds I consider perplexing.
Before "Bendo" fought Josh Thomson, I’d have considered him close to a lock. After seeing him get manhandled, though, I’m uncertain. While Khabilov had limited success grappling Jorge Masvidal, I literally cannot remember the last time "Gamebred" got taken down. He’s still a suplex machine with improving striking, while Henderson has only really looked dominant in one of his last six fights.
Therefore, a moderate bet on the Dagestani seems reasonable.
I see the Bryan Caraway vs. Erik Perez as much less of a pick 'em than the oddsmakers do. As impressive as Perez has looked, his UFC victories have come against sub-par opposition -- beating Byron Bloodworth and Edwin Figueroa is less impressive to me than trashing Johnny Bedford on a few weeks’ notice and giving Mitch Gagnon hell before tapping him out.
I think Caraway’s wrestling and submission game will win him this fight and thus declare him a wise investment.
UFC Fight Night 42 Best Bets:
- Parlay -- Scott Jorgensen and Bryan Caraway: Bet $40 to make $68
- Single bet -- Rustam Khabilov: Bet $30 to make $61.50
We'll see if "Smooth" can get back into the swing of things or if "Tiger" will take him for a ride. Either way, it ought to be a fun FOX Sports 1 show.
See you there, Maniacs.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 42: "Henderson vs. Khabilov" results on fight night RIGHT HERE, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.
Running Profit For 2014 Based On This Column: -$179.00