Gotta go FAST ...
Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Flyweight Champion, Demetrious Johnson, will look to defend his 125-pound crown for the fourth time this Saturday (June 14, 2014) when he takes on Dagestani-bred standout Ali Bagautinov in the main event of UFC 174, which takes place inside Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
In addition, Welterweight elites Tyron Woodley and Rory MacDonald will duke it out in the pay-per-view (PPV) co-main event, while power-punching Rafael "Feijao" Cavalcante and Ryan Bader will battle at Light Heavyweight.
All that and much, much more.
Indeed, UFC 174 is a quality card; therefore, let's see if we can't make it a profitable one, too.
UFC 174 Odds For The Under Card:
Daniel Sarafian (-365) vs. Kiichi Kunimoto (+275)
Valerie Letourneau (-130) vs. Elizabeth Phillips (EVEN)
Mike Easton (-185) vs. Yves Jabouin (+155)
Kajan Johnson (-175) vs. Tae Hyun Bang (+145)
Michinori Tanaka (-125) vs. Roland Delorme (-105)
Jason Saggo (-145) vs. Josh Shockley (+115)
Thoughts: If this "Prelims" under card had a slogan, it would be "if only."
Jabouin could be a good underdog play if only he was more consistent. Bang could be a good underdog play if only he wasn’t so tentative. I could recommend Shockley if only I could find recent footage of Saggo to be confident in the pick.
As it is, Sarafian is a pretty safe pick and I think Tanaka can handle Delorme.
Do with them what you will.
UFC 174 Odds For The Main Card:
Demetrious Johnson (-600) vs. Ali Bagautinov (+450)
Tyron Woodley (-140) vs. Rory MacDonald (+120)
Ryan Bader (-145) vs. Rafael Cavalcante (+125)
Brendan Schaub (-135) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+115)
Ovince St. Preux (-140) vs. Ryan Jimmo (+120)
Thoughts: Now, the main card? The main card is where it’s at. I like the odds on Woodley, Feijao and Jimmo.
When was the last time MacDonald truly looked dominant? Two years ago, against B.J. Penn. Woodley is the faster of the two, the bigger puncher and I’d argue the superior wrestler. Barring the Jake Shields fiasco, he’s looked nothing short of unstoppable since joining UFC.
I feel he’s an awful matchup for Rory and should dispatch him without enough trouble to warrant being only -140.
Speaking of bad match ups, Cavalcante has absolutely ridiculous power and nearly bulletproof takedown defense. And even though he may be written off as "chinny," the three men who felled him (Thiago Silva, Dan Henderson and Mike Kyle) are all notoriously hard punchers and Bader’s been put down twice in his last four fights. Plus, while Bader can crack, he still has a habit of charging in recklessly.
To me, this is about a 60-40 fight in Feijao’s favor; therefore, statistics say an underdog bet makes sense.
I give Jimmo a lot of flak, but his resume far outstrips St. Preux’s. In addition, the Canadian’s striking outstrips St. Preux’s occasionally pedestrian swings and he ought to be the better wrestler of the two ... at least defensively. I’m not terribly clear on why he’s the underdog, especially since they’re in his backyard.
"The Big Deal" seems like the superior fighter and should be invested in as such.
UFC 174 Best Bets:
- Parlay -- Daniel Sarafian and Tyron Woodley: Bet $40 to make $47.20
- Single bet -- Rafael Cavalcante: Bet $40 to make $50
- Single bet -- Ryan Jimmo: Bet $50 to make $60
A title fight at the helm and knockout punchers all the way down the PPV main card -- seems like a fun evening to me.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 174: "Johnson vs. Bagautinov" results on fight night RIGHT HERE, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.
See you there, Maniacs.
Running Profit For 2014 Based On This Column: -$141.00