FanPost

Behind the Numbers for UFC 169 Barao vs. Faber II (Co Main and Main)

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UFC 169 Barao vs. Faber II is this Saturday night (Feb 1, 2014) and it's main card is pretty solid. The overall card isn't as stacked as some have been in the past but two title fights and a barn burner heavyweight bout (for at least a round) make up for it. I'm excited for it, as the event poses some interesting questions:

-Will Faber finally win a UFC title?
-Is Barao going to be the long term UFC Bantamweight Champion?
-Will Aldo move up to Lightweight with a victory?
-Which Alistair Overeem will show up?

Let's look at some of the finer details.

When and Where:
Saturday, February 1, 2014 at Prudential Center, (25 Lafayette St, Newark, NJ 07102)
Prelims Starting on UFC Fight Pass around 6:30 P.M. ET
Prelims on FOX Sports 1 at 8:00 P.M. ET
Main Card on FOX at 10:00 P.M. ET

Here are the breakdowns of the Co Main and Main Events:

Co-Main Event: UFC Featherweight Champion
Featherweight Bout: Jose Aldo (C) vs. Ricardo Lamas (4)

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB UFC STRIKING ACC: 43%
RICARDO LAMAS 13 2 0 87% 54% 4 3 UFC STRIKING DEF: 64%
LAST FIVE FIGHTS 4 1 0 ORTHODOX HEIGHT: 5'8" REACH 69 UFC TAKEDOWN ACC: 38%
UFC RECORD 4 0 0 LAST FIGHT: 01/26/13 AGE 31 UFC TAKEDOWN DEF: 48%
FIGHTER RECORD OVERALL Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER RECORD TOF Wins Loss Draw NOTES
JAKE CORRY 0 5 0
JAKE CORRY 0 0 0
CAL FERRY 6 2 0
CAL FERRY 6 0 0
JAMES BIRDSLEY 38 14 0
JAMES BIRDSLEY 33 5 0
GABRIEL MIRANDA 3 11 0
GABRIEL MIRANDA 2 7 0
CHRISTOPHER MARTIN 0 3 0
CHRISTOPHER MARTIN 0 2 0
BART PALASZEWSKI 36 17 0 WEC DEBUT BART PALASZEWSKI 31 11 0 WEC DEBUT
DANNY CASTILLO 16 6 0 (LOSS) DANNY CASTILLO 7 1 0 (LOSS)
JAMES KRAUSE 20 5 0
JAMES KRAUSE 10 1 0
BENDY CASIMIR 19 11 2
BENDY CASIMIR 19 5 2
DAVE JANSEN 19 2 0
DAVE JANSEN 13 1 0
IURI ALCANTARA 28 5 0 1NC (LOSS) IURI ALCANTARA 24 3 0 (LOSS)
MATT GRICE 15 5 0 UFC DEBUT MATT GRICE 14 3 0 UFC DEBUT
CUB SWANSON 20 5 0
CUB SWANSON 15 4 0
HATSU HIOKI 26 7 2
HATSU HIOKI 26 4 2
ERIC KOCH 13 3 0
ERIC KOCH 13 1 0
TOTALS: 259 101 4 71% TOTALS: 213 48 4 80%
AVERAGE: 17.26 6.73 0.26
AVERAGE: 14.2 3.2 0.26
UFC TOTALS: 74 20 2 77% UFC TOTALS: 68 12 2 83%
UFC AVERAGE: 18.5 5 0.5
UFC AVERAGE: 17 3 0.5


Ricardo Lamas (+450 Underdog)
Gym:
MMA Masters
Base: Wrestling
Credentials/Accolades: NCAA Div III All American, Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Black Belt, 2x CICW Champion

Lamas has a solid grappling base but is well rounded with a kickboxing based striking attack. He just recently obtained his BJJ black belt after being a brown belt for approximately 3 years. Decent striking defense at 64% but poor takedown accuracy at 38%. Has fought pretty decent competition.

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB UFC STRIKING ACC: 44%
JOSE ALDO 23 1 0 96% 70% 14 2 UFC STRIKING DEF: 74%
LAST FIVE FIGHTS 5 0 0 ORTHODOX HEIGHT: 5'7" REACH 70 UFC TAKEDOWN ACC: 69%
UFC/WEC RECORD 13 0 0 LAST FIGHT: 08/03/13 AGE 27 UFC TAKEDOWN DEF: 92%
FIGHTER RECORD OVERALL Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER RECORD TOF Wins Loss Draw NOTES
MARIO BIGOLA 0 1 0
MARIO BIGOLA 0 0 0
HUDSON ROCHA 4 6 0
HUDSON ROCHA 2 1 0
LUIZ DE PAULA 0 1 0
LUIZ DE PAULA 0 0 0
ARITANO BARBOSA 6 6 0
ARITANO BARBOSA 2 4 0
ANDERSON SILVERIO 1 1 0
ANDERSON SILVERIO 0 0 0
PHIL HARRIS 22 11 0 1NC PHIL HARRIS 9 3 0
MICKY YOUNG 8 9 0
MICKY YOUNG 4 1 0
LUCIANO AZEVEDO 16 9 1 (LOSS) LUCIANO AZEVEDO 5 2 0 (LOSS)
THIAGO MELLER 18 5 0
THIAGO MELLER 6 0 0
FABIO MELLO 11 7 0
FABIO MELLO 4 4 0
SHOJI MARUYAMA 12 9 1
SHOJI MARUYAMA 5 1 0
ALEXANDRE NOGUEIRA 15 6 3 WEC DEBUT ALEXANDRE NOGUIRA 13 4 2 WEC DEBUT
JONATHAN BROOKINS 13 6 0
JONATHAN BROOKINS 8 2 0
ROLANDO PEREZ 7 4 1
ROLANDO PEREZ 4 1 1
CHRIS MICKLE 30 17 2
CHRIS MICKLE 26 12 2
CUB SWANSON 20 5 0
CUB SWANSON 13 2 0
MIKE BROWN 26 9 0 WEC FW TITLE WIN MIKE BROWN 22 4 0 WEC FW TITLE WIN
URIJAH FABER 30 6 0 WEC FW TITLE DEF URIJAH FABER 23 3 0 WEC FW TITLE DEF
MANNY GAMBURYAN 13 8 0 WEC FW TITLE DEF MANNY GAMBURYAN 11 4 0 WEC FW TITLE DEF
MARK HOMINICK 20 12 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF MARK HOMINICK 20 8 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF
KENNY FLORIAN 14 6 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF KENNY FLORIAN 14 5 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF
CHAD MENDES 16 1 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF CHAD MENDES 11 0 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF
FRANKIE EDGAR 16 4 1 UFC FW TITLE DEF FRANKIE EDGAR 15 3 1 UFC FW TITLE DEF
CHAN SUNG JUNG 13 4 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF CHAN SUNG JUNG 13 3 0 UFC FW TITLE DEF
TOTALS: 331 153 9 67% TOTALS: 230 67 6 76%
AVERAGE: 13.79 6.37 0.37
AVERAGE: 9.58 2.79 0.25
UFC/WEC TOTALS: 233 88 7 71% UFC/WEC TOTALS: 193 51 6 77%
UFC/WEC AVERAGE: 17.92 6.76 0.53
UFC/WEC AVERAGE: 14.84 3.92 0.46


Jose Aldo Jr. (-600 Favorite)
Gym:
Nova Uniao/Black House
Base: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu/Muay Thai
Credentials/Accolades: Final WEC Featherweight Champion, Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Black Belt

It's Jose Aldo. What should stand out is his 92% takedown defense rate and 74% significant strike defense rate.

Main Event: UFC Bantamweight Championship
Bantamweight Bout: Renan Barao (C) vs. Urijah Faber (1)

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB UFC STRIKING ACC: 43%
URIJAH FABER 30 6 0 83% 80% 7 17 UFC STRIKING DEF: 63%
LAST FIVE FIGHTS 4 1 0 ORTHODOX HEIGHT: 5'6" REACH 69 UFC TAKEDOWN ACC: 36%
UFC RECORD 6 2 0 LAST FIGHT: 12/14/13 AGE 34 UFC TAKEDOWN DEF: 59%
FIGHTER RECORD OVERALL Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER RECORD TOF Wins Loss Draw NOTES
JAY VALENCIA 2 4 0
JAY VALENCIA 1 2 0
GEORGE ADKINS 2 8 0
GEORGE ADKINS 1 2 0
DAVID VELASQUEZ 10 10 0
DAVID VELASQUEZ 9 7 0
DEL HAWKINS 22 16 0
DEL HAWKINS 17 8 0
RAMI BOUKAI 2 2 0 KOTC DEBUT RAMI BOUKAI 2 1 0 KOTC DEBUT
EBEN KANESHIRO 14 10 0 KOTC BW TITLE WIN EBEN KANESHIRO 4 1 0 KOTC BW TITLE WIN
DAVID GRANADOS 5 4 1
DAVID GRANADOS 1 0 0
HIROYUKI ABE 8 15 3 1NC KOTC BW TITLE DEF HIROYUKI ABE 5 6 2 1NC KOTC BW TITLE DEF
TYSON GRIFFIN 16 7 0 (LOSS) TYSON GRIFFIN 2 0 0 (LOSS)
SHAWN BIAS 14 9 0 1NC KOTC BW TITLE DEF SHAWN BIAS 3 1 0 KOTC BW TITLE DEFENSE
CHARLES BENNETT 26 28 2
CHARLES BENNETT 16 10 2
IVAN MENJIVAR 25 11 0
IVAN MENJIVAR 17 4 0
COLE ESCOVEDO 17 9 0 WEC DEBUT FW TITLE WIN COLE ESCOVEDO 11 1 0 WEC DEBUT FW TITLE WIN
CHARLIE VALENCIA 12 7 0 KOTC BW TITLE DEFENSE CHARLIE VALENCIA 7 0 0 KOTC BW TITLE DEFENSE
NAOYA UEMATSU 15 8 2
NAOYA UEMATSU 14 5 2
ENOCH WILSON 16 9 2
ENOCH WILSON 8 1 0
BIBIANO FERNANDES 15 3 0 KOTC BW TITLE DEFENSE BIBIANO FERNANDES 1 0 0 KOTC BW TITLE DEFENSE
JOE PEARSON 43 19 1 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE JOE PEARSON 17 7 1 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE
DOMINICK CRUZ 19 1 0 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE DOMINICK CRUZ 9 0 0 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE
CHANCE FARRAR 8 3 0 1NC WEC FW TITLE DEF CHANCE FARRAR 5 0 0 1NC WEC FW TITLE DEF
JEFF CURRAN 34 16 1 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE JEFF CURRAN 29 8 2 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE
JENS PULVER 27 19 1 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE JENS PULVER 22 8 1 WEC FW TITLE DEFENSE
MIKE BROWN 26 9 0 WEC FW TITLE LOSS MIKE BROWN 19 4 0 WEC FW TITLE LOSS
RAPHAEL ASSUNCAO 21 4 0
RAPHAEL ASSUNCAO 15 1 0
JOSE ALDO 23 1 0 WEC FW TITLE FIGHT LOSS JOSE ALDO 16 1 0 WEC FW TITLE FIGHT LOSS
TAKEYA MIZUGAKI 19 7 2
TAKEYA MIZUGAKI 13 4 2
EDDIE WINELAND 20 9 1 UFC DEBUT EDDIE WINELAND 18 6 1 UFC DEBUT
DOMINICK CRUZ 19 1 0 UFC BW TITLE FIGHT LOSS DOMINICK CRUZ 17 1 0 UFC BW TITLE FIGHT LOSS
BRIAN BOWLES 10 3 0
BRIAN BOWLES 10 1 0
RENAN BARAO 31 1 0 1NC BW TITLE FIGHT LOSS RENAN BARAO 28 1 0 1NC BW TITLE FIGHT LOSS
IVAN MENJIVAR 25 11 0
IVAN MENJIVAR 25 9 0
SCOTT JORGENSEN 14 8 0
SCOTT JORGENSEN 14 6 0
IURI ALCANTARA 28 5 0 1NC IURI ALCANTARA 28 4 0 1NC
MICHAEL MCDONALD 16 3 0
MICHAEL MCDONALD 16 2 0
TOTALS: 604 280 16 67% TOTALS: 420 112 13 77%
AVERAGE: 17.76 8.23 0.47
AVERAGE: 12.35 3.29 0.38
UFC TOTALS: 163 41 1 80% UFC TOTALS: 156 30 1 83%
UFC AVERAGE: 20.37 5.12 0.12
UFC AVERAGE: 19.5 3.75 0.12


Urijah Faber (+230 Underdog)
Gym:
Alpha Male
Base: Wrestling
Credentials/Accolades: Former WEC Featherweight Champion, KOTC Bantamweight Champion

Faber is nothing less than a pound for pound top level fighter. His numbers speak for themselves. However, it's worth nothing that since his loss to Barao in July 2012, his significant striking accuracy has been 61%(193 of 312) over 4 bouts with a overall striking accuracy of 71% (334 of 470). His striking has improved a lot under Ludwig.

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB UFC STRIKING ACC: 36%
RENAN BARAO 31 1 0 1NC 97% 68% 7 14 UFC STRIKING DEF: 67%
LAST FIVE FIGHTS 5 0 0 ORTHODOX HEIGHT: 5'6" REACH 70 UFC TAKEDOWN ACC: 55%
UFC/WEC RECORD 8 0 0 LAST FIGHT: 09/21/13 AGE 26 UFC TAKEDOWN DEF: 95%
FIGHTER RECORD OVERALL Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER RECORD TOF Wins Loss Draw NOTES
JOAO DE SOUZA 33 16 2 (LOSS) JOAO DE DOUZA 0 0 0 (LOSS)
MELK FREITAS 0 2 0
MELK FREITAS 0 0 0
ANISTAVIO DE FIGUEIREDO 17 9 0
ANISTAVIO DE FIGUEIREDO 2 0 0
DANDE DANDE 0 1 0
DANDE DANDE 0 0 0
GLEISON MENEZES 3 9 0
GLEISON MENEZES 2 2 0
KAIO DE FREITAS 1 5 0
KAIO DE FREITAS 0 1 0
RONY JASON 13 4 0
RONY JASON 2 0 0
JANAILSON LIMA 32 14 0
JANAILSON LIMA 9 2 0
CARLOS HEIDE 13 8 0
CARLOS HEIDE 5 2 0
ERINALDO RODRIGUES 9 7 0
ERINALDO RODRIGUES 4 2 0
DANILO NORONHA 7 11 0
DANILO NORONHA 1 0 0
CLAUDEMIR SOUZA 7 7 0 1NC (NO CONTEST) CLAUDEMIR SOUZA 3 2 0 (NO CONTEST)
WILLIAM VIANNA 16 8 0 1NC VILLIAM VIANNA 8 4 0
RONALDO LIMA JR 9 6 0
RONALDO LIMA JR 5 1 0
JETRON AZEVEDO 3 4 0
JETRON AZEVEDO 1 1 0
JOSE DE MELO 14 11 0 1NC JOSE DE MELO 0 4 0 1NC
WILLIAM PORFIRIO 3 6 0
WILLIAM PORFIRIO 3 2 0
ROGERIO SILVA DE SOUZA 12 4 0
ROGERIO SILVA DE SOUZA 3 1 0
ALEXANDRE PINHEIRO 7 4 0
ALEXANDRE PINHEIRO 3 0 0
ANDRE LUIS DE OLIVEIRA 14 8 1
ANDRE LUIS DE OLIVEIRA 6 3 1
JURANDIR SARDINHA 15 7 1 1NC JURANDIR SARDINHA 7 1 0
PAULO DANTAS 24 9 1
PAULO DANTAS 17 5 0
MARCIO NUNES 5 7 0
MARCIO NUNES 2 2 0
JORGE ENCISO 6 8 2
JORGE ENCISO 5 5 2
SERGIO SILVA RODRIGUES 11 5 0
SERGIO SILVA RODRIGUES 6 2 0
ANTHONY LEONE 13 6 0 WEC DEBUT ANTHONY LEONE 8 0 0 WEC DEBUT
CHRIS CARIASO 15 5 0
CHRIS CARIASO 10 1 0
COLE ESCOVEDO 17 9 0 UFC DEBUT COLE ESCOVEDO 17 6 0 UFC DEBUT
BRAD PICKETT 23 8 0
BRAD PICKETT 20 5 0
SCOTT JORGENSEN 14 8 0
SCOTT JORGENSEN 13 4 0
URIJAH FABER 30 7 0 UFC INT BW TITLE WIN URIJAH FABER 26 5 0 UFC INT BW TITLE WIN
MICHAEL MCDONALD 16 3 0 UFC INT BW TITLE DEF MICHAEL MCDONALD 15 1 0 UFC INT BW TITLE DEF
EDDIE WINELAND 20 9 1 UFC INT BW TITLE DEF EDDIE WINELAND 20 8 1 UFC INT BW TITLE DEF
TOTALS: 422 235 8 66% TOTALS: 223 72 4 75%
AVERAGE: 12.78 7.12 0.24
AVERAGE: 6.75 2.18 0.12
UFC/WEC TOTALS: 148 55 1 73% UFC/WEC TOTALS: 129 30 1 81%
UFC/WEC AVERAGE: 18.5 6.87 0.12
UFC/WEC AVERAGE: 16.12 3.75 0.12

Renan Barao (-270 Favorite)
Gym:
Nova Uniao
Base: Brazilian Jiu-jitsu
Credentials/Accolades: Brazilian Jiu-jitsu Black Belt

Overlooked by many, Barao has been fighting top level fighters for several years and has proven to be difficult to takedown and impossible to defeat. Out of 8 WEC/UFC wins, Barao has finished 5 of them.

MMAmania.com will provide LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC 169 card this Saturday night, starting with the Fight Pass "Prelims," which are scheduled to begin at 6:30 p.m. ET, right on through the FOX Sports 1-televised under card bouts at 8 p.m. ET and then main card PPV action, which is slated to begin at 10 p.m. ET.

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