FanPost

Behind the Records: UFC Fight Night 34 Main and Co-Main History

Suhaimi Abdullah

This Fanpost has been edited and promoted to the frontpage

Happy Friday Maniacs,

With the positive response to the Behind the Records fanpost I wrote the other day I decided to try my hand at this, looking at the stats behind the top 4 fights fighting on the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Pass inaugural event.

MAIN EVENT: Tarec Saffiedine vs. Hyun Gyu Lim

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB

TAREC SAFFIEDINE 14 3 0 82% 43% 1 5

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES
GUILLAUME JANVIER 0 1 0
GUILLAUME JANVIER 0 0 0
KAMIL UYGUN 7 4 0 (LOSS) KAMIL YUGUN 3 1 0 (LOSS)
SEBASTIEN GRANDIN 9 11 0
SEBASTIEN GRANDIN 3 0 0
RAYMOND JARMAN 16 23 0 1NC RAYMOND JARMAN 3 6 0 1 NC
RICH BONDOC 1 1 0
RICH BONDOC 1 0 0
SCOTT ROSE 1 2 0
SCOTT ROSE 1 1 0
MIKE ARELLANO 3 10 0
MIKE ARELANO 2 1 0
SEICHI IKEMOTO 21 19 5
SEICHI IKEMOTO 18 15 5
YOON DONG SIK 7 7 0 (LOSS) YOON DONG SIK 4 7 0 (LOSS)
JAMES TERRY 11 5 0 STRIKEFORCE DEBUT JAMES TERRY 7 1 0 STRIKEFORCE DEBUT
NATE MOORE 8 3 0
NATE MOORE 7 1 0
BROCK LARSON 37 7 0
BROCK LARSON 32 4 0
TYRON WOODLEY 12 2 0 (LOSS) TYRON WOODLEY 7 0 0 (LOSS)
SCOTT SMITH 18 10 0 1NC SCOTT SMITH 17 8 0 1NC
TYLER STINSON 25 9 0
TYLER STINSON 23 7 0
ROGER BOWLING 11 5 0 1NC ROGER BOWLING 11 2 0
NATE MARQUARDT 32 13 2 SF WW TITLE WIN NATE MARQUARDT 32 10 2 SF WW TITLE WIN
TOTALS: 219 132 7 61.00% TOTALS: 171 64 7 71.00%
AVERAGE: 12.88 7.76 0.41
AVERAGE: 10.05 3.76 0.41
STRIKEFORCE: TOTALS 109 44 2 70.00% STRIKEFORCE: TOTALS 97 28 2 76.00%
STRIKEFORCE AVERAGES:
18.17 7.33 0.333
STRIKEFORCE AVERAGES:
16.17 4.67 0.333

On the left you see Mr. Saffiedine's opponents total records, regardless of what it was at the time of their fight. On the right you see their records prior to their bout. Saffiedine has won 82% of his fights and finished 43% of those victories. The quality of his opposition outside of Strikeforce wasn't particularly high but that's not uncommon fighting on the regional circuit. His opponent's average record at the time of the bout during his time in Strikeforce was 16-5, which suggests the quality was fairly high. His record has a few sub-par opponents but it's not strange.

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB

HYUN GYU LIM 12 3 1 75.00% 92.00% 9 2

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES
SEONG YEOL AHN 1 2 0
SEONG YEOL AHN 0 0 0
JICK YOUNG KIM 1 0 1
JICK YOUNG KIM 1 0 0
GREG SOTO 9 3 0 (LOSS) GREG SOTO 1 0 0 (LOSS)
HIROSHI MASABUCHI 2 4 0
HIROSHI MASABUCHI 1 2 0
LUCIO LINHARES 19 8 0
LUCIO LINHARES 7 2 0
NOBORU ONISHI 2 4 1
NOBORU ONISHI 1 1 1
BRANDON MAGANA 6 2 0
BRANDON MAGANA 5 0 0
MAX FERNANDEZ 4 0 0 (LOSS) MAX FERNANDEZ 2 0 0 (LOSS)
DMITRY SAMOILOV 16 6 1 (LOSS) DMITRY SAMOILOV 6 3 1 (LOSS)
SLADE ADELBAI 8 4 1
SLADE ADELBAI 7 3 1
ROSS EBANEZ 20 9 0 3NC ROSS EBANEZ 20 7 0 3NC
FERRID KHEDER 22 11 0 1NC FERRID KHEDER 21 8 0 1NC
TAKAHIRO KAWANAKA 6 3 0
TAKAHIRO KAWANAKA 3 0 0
RYAN BIGLER 9 3 0
RYAN BIGLER 9 2 0
MARCELO GUIMARAES 8 1 1 UFC DEBUT MARCELO GUIMARAES 8 0 1 UFC DEBUT
PASCAL KRAUSS 11 2 0
PASCAL KRAUSS 11 1 0
TOTALS: 144 62 5 68.00% TOTALS: 103 29 4 76.00%
AVERAGE: 9 3.875 0.3125
AVERAGE: 6.4375 1.8125 0.25
UFC TOTALS: 19 3 1 83.00% UFC TOTALS: 19 1 1 90.00%
UFC AVERAGE: 9.5 1.5 0.5
UFC AVERAGE: 9.5 0.5 0.5

Here we see that Mr. Lim wins 75% of his fights, lower that Saffiedine, but finishing 92% of his victories, with only one win going to a decision, compared to only 43% of Saffiedine. The numbers say that Lim's opponents may have been a higher quality because their percentage of wins to losses is better, however they are usually less experienced than those who fought Saffiedine.

What do you guys make of the main event? Do you agree with the betting odds with Saffiedine being a -230 favorite over Lim at a +190 underdog?

CO-MAIN EVENT: Tatsuya Kawajiri vs. Sean Soriano

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB

TATSUYA KAWAJIRI 32 7 2 78.00% 66.00% 12 9

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES
TAKUMI NAKAYAMA 18 14 6 1NC (LOSS) TAKUMI NAKAYAMA 0 0 0 (LOSS)
YOHEI SUZUKI 8 8 1 (DRAW) YOHEI SUZUKI 3 2 0 (DRAW)
YOHEI SUZUKI 8 8 1
YOHEI SUZUKI 3 2 1
KAZUMICHI TAKADA 3 4 1
KAZUMICHI TAKADA 3 3 1
MASAYA TAKITA 10 15 4 1NC MASAYA TAKITA 1 0 0
TAKESHI YAMAZAKI 15 12 3
TAKESHI YAMAZAKI 3 0 2
DAISUKE SUGIE 10 8 1
DAISUKE SUGIE 3 2 1
TSUTOMU SHIIKI 3 7 2
TSUTOMU SHIIKI 2 2 1
KEN OMATSU 3 7 1
KEN OMATSU 2 2 0
VITOR RIBEIRO 20 5 0 (LOSS) VITOR RIBEIRO 5 0 0 (LOSS)
TAKUMI NAKAYAMA 18 14 6 1NC TAKUMI NAKAYAMA 9 3 2
YVES EDWARDS 42 21 1
YVES EDWARDS 23 7 1
RYAN BOW 17 9 2
RYAN BOW 9 4 0
CAOL UNO 29 16 5 (DRAW) CAOL UNO 15 6 3 (DRAW)
MINDAUGAS LAURINAITIS 0 3 0
MINDAUGAS LAURINAITIS 0 2 0
VITOR RIBEIRO 20 5 0
VITOR RIBEIRO 10 0 0
JANI LAX 10 8 0
JANI LAX 7 3 0
IN SEOK KIM 3 6 0 PRIDE DEBUT IN SEOK KIM 2 1 0 PRIDE DEBUT
LUIZ FIRMINO 17 6 0
LUIZ FIRMINO 10 2 0
TAKANORI GOMI 34 9 0 1NC (LOSS) TAKANORI GOMI 21 2 0 (LOSS)
JOACHIM HANSEN 23 11 1
JOACHIM HANSEN 13 3 1
CHARLES BENNETT 26 27 2
CHARLES BENNETT 17 13 2
CHRIS BRENNAN 20 13 1
CHRIS BRENNAN 18 10 1
PER EKLUND 14 5 1
PER EKLUND 9 1 1
GILBERT MELENDEZ 22 3 0 (LOSS) GILBERT MELENDEZ 11 0 0 (LOSS)
LUIZ AZEREDO 15 10 0
LUIZ AZEREDO 11 6 0
KULTAR GILL 12 8 0 DREAM DEBUT KULTAR GILL 10 6 0 DREAM DEBUT
LUIZ FIRMINO 17 6 0
LUIZ FIRMINO 12 3 0
EDDIE ALVAREZ 25 3 0 (LOSS) EDDIE ALVAREZ 14 1 0 (LOSS)
ROSS EBANEZ 20 9 3
ROSS EBANEZ 19 6 3
GESIAS CAVALCANTE 18 7 1 2NC GESIAS CAVALCANTE 14 2 1 1NC
MELCHOR MANIBUSAN 2 4 0
MELCHOR MANIBUSAN 2 3 0
KAZUNORI YOKOTA 16 5 3
KAZUNORI YOKOTA 12 2 3
SHINYA AOKI 35 6 0 1NC (LOSS) SHINYA AOKI 23 5 0 1NC (LOSS)
JOSH THOMSON 20 5 0 1NC JOSH THOMSON 18 3 0 1NC
GILBERT MELENDEZ 22 3 0 (LOSS) SF TITLE FIGHT GILBERT MELENDEZ 18 2 0 (LOSS) SF TITLE FIGHT
DREW FICKETT 42 20 0
DREW FICKETT 41 14 0
JOACHIM HANSEN 23 11 1
JOACHIM HANSEN 22 10 1
KAZUYUKI MIYATA 13 9 0
KAZUYUKI MIYATA 11 8 0
DONALD SANCHEZ 29 13 0 ONE FC DEBUT DONALD SANCHEZ 25 12 0 ONE FC DEBUT
MICHIHIRO OMIGAWA 13 14 1
MICHIHIRO OMIGAWA 13 12 1
TOTALS: 715 377 48 63.00% TOTALS: 464 165 26 71.00%
AVERAGE: 17.43 9.19 1.17
AVERAGE: 11.31 4.02 0.63

After 41 career fights, Mr. Kawajiri is making his UFC debut. He hasn't faced the highest quality of opposition and has had mixed results when facing higher level fighters including being 0-2 with Gilbert Melendez. What you should take away from this is that he has a lot of fights and many of his opponents had a great deal of experience.

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw WIN % OF FIGHTS FINISH % OF FIGHTS (T)KO SUB

SEAN SORIANO 8 0 0 100.00% 75.00% 3 3

FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES FIGHTER Wins Loss Draw NOTES
ERICK HERRERA 0 1 0
ERICK HERRERA 0 0 0
MIKE EROSA 5 3 0
MIKE EROSA 0 0 0
DENIS HERNANDEZ 3 5 0
DENIS HERNANDEZ 0 0 0
LIONEL YOUNG 6 13 0
LIONEL YOUNG 6 8 0
LEE METCALF 7 6 0
LEE METCALF 6 5 0
MATTHEW PERRY 4 2 0
MATTHEW PERRY 3 1 0
VICTOR DELGADO 6 2 0
VICTOR DELGADO 6 0 0
ELVIN LEON BRITO 6 2 0
ELVIN LEON BRITO 6 1 0
TOTALS: 37 34 0 52.00% TOTALS: 27 15 0 64.00%
AVERAGE: 4.62 4.25 0
AVERAGE: 3.37 1.87 0

First thing that sticks out is that the quality of opposition is very low for Mr. Soriano. He is only 8 fights into his career and has finished a respectable 75% of them. His last few opponents were an increase in quality however none of them are the level of Kawajiri. Who knows if Soriano will step up tomorrow. Kawajiri has really only lost to champions and top contenders in recent years.

Right now the odds are a closer than expected with Kawajiri being a -210 to a +170 for Soriano.

Hopefully this info will help those make their decisions in the upcoming picks. Good luck!.

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