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So it's a New Year and I have very little to do.
I was making predictions of some events on Tapology (namely an upcoming Shooto Card) when I came across this young man: Yuta Sasaki
He's 14-1-2 with one technical knockout and six submissions. Sasaki, 24, is set to fight next fight on Jan. 13, 2014, in Japan against Keisuke Fujiwara (15-7-4). He's a tall bantamweight at 5'11'' and is a southpaw. This was the first video that I found:
Yuta ''Ulka'' Sasaki vs Kenji Yamamoto (via Атай Атанаев)
I initially thought that this a great prospect. And maybe with UFC's planned expansion into Asia it might sign him soon. Out of curiosity, I decided to check out his opponents' records to check his quality of opposition. We all know that a record doesn't always equate to the abilities of said fighter; however, it's usually a good measuring stick all the same.
I was not impressed. Here are his opponents in no particular order:
|GEUN DO PARK||0||1||0|
An overall record of 141-108-25 isn't bad for all his opponents I guess ... he is a prospect. But, the average record of those fighters is only 8-6-1, which is pretty dismal. Now that's MMA math; therefore, maybe it's not a good way to measure it.
So I decided to dig deeper ... for some odd reason.
I am also going to go off of the opponents current record instead of what it was at the time of the fight.
I'm going to show you Stephen Thompson ("Wonderboy"), Sergio Pettis, Ronda Rousey and Jon Jones to see what their opponents' records look like in comparison. Thompson is a sort of a hot prospect, Pettis is a prospect, Rousey is a champion (but really has the record of a prospect), while Jones has been fighting the best in the world for a few years now.
Stephen Thompson, 30: 8-1 with four (technical) knockouts and one submission.
|DAN STITTGEN||7||4||0||UFC DEBUT|
Mr. Thompson's opponents are barely above a .500 record.
Regardless, he had a pretty decent step up in competition once he entered UFC and he's currently 3-1 inside the Octagon, with his lone loss being to current Top 15-ranked Welterweight Matt Brown.
With an overall average of 7-5, however, it makes you wonder.
Sergio Pettis, 20: 10-0 with three (technical) knockouts and three submissions.
|WILL CAMPUZANO||13||5||0||UFC DEBUT|
This is one that's very interesting.
Surprisingly, the level of competition for Mr. Pettis actually hasn't been awful. His numbers suggest an under .500 fighter average, but it's been messed up by the dismal record of Mike Lindquist with his 29 losses against only eight victories. If you take away Lindquist, it becomes a 6-4 record.
Pettis hasn't fought the most experienced fighters on the planet, but that's to be expected.
Ronda Rousey, 26: 8-0 with eight submissions.
|SARAH D'ALELIO||7||5||0||STRIKEFORCE DEBUT|
|MIESHA TATE||13||5||0||TITLE WIN|
|SARAH KAUFMAN||16||3||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
|LIZ CARMOUCHE||9||4||0||UFC DEBUT/TITLE DEFENSE|
|MIESHA TATE||13||5||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
With eight victories in 8 fights, Rousey actually has the most impressive numbers ... even if they may be manipulated by her two victories over the same opponent. In fact, all but one of her foes has a winning record.
Jon Jones, 26: 19-1 with nine (technical) knockouts and six submissions.
|ANDRE GUSMAO||6||3||0||UFC DEBUT|
|MATT HAMILL||11||5||0||DQ LOSS|
|MAURICIO RUA||22||8||0||TITLE WIN|
|QUINTON JACKSON||33||11||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
|LYOTO MACHIDA||20||4||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
|RASHAD EVANS||19||3||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
|VITOR BELFORT||24||10||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
|CHAEL SONNEN||28||14||1||TITLE DEFENSE|
|ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON||15||2||0||TITLE DEFENSE|
Honestly, it's not surprising in the slightest how impressive, Jones' numbers are. His average opponents win-to-loss ratio blows the other fighters we examined out of the water. His fights with Jackson, Belfort and Sonnen also affect his opponents loss number a great deal, with 31 percent of the losses coming from those three fighters.
So back to Sasaki. After looking at the numbers: Do you think he's a worthy prospect to be signed by UFC? Are there any other fighters you'd want to be looked at such as Brandon Thatch ... Gustafsson? Let me know because I might not having anything else to do in 2014.
Sound off, Maniacs! And Happy New Year.