UFC 162 fight card: Cub Swanson vs Dennis Siver fight prediction, preview and breakdown

Cub Swanson and Dennis Siver will hook 'em up in a Featherweight clash later this evening (Sat., July 6, 2013) at UFC 162, which takes place at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The winner will likely earn a top spot in the 145-pound title challenger pecking order, but who will emerge victorious? Jason Probst for MMAmania.com breaks it all down below.

Cub Swanson and Dennis Siver is the first mixed martial arts (MMA) match on the UFC 162 pay-per-view (PPV) card tonight (Sat., July 6, 2013), a Featherweight fiesta that has all the potential to start the night off with a bang.

The dramatically improved Swanson has brought his game to a new level, and in a four-fight win streak that’s included victories over Charles Olivera and Dustin Poirier, he’s crept into the Top 10 of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) 145-pound division, currently ranked at No. 5.

Siver’s slam-bang style made him a reliable booking at Lightweight, where his aggressive style and no-nonsense approach translated into some memorable battles. Gifted with an athletic, compact and powerful frame, his drop to 145 pounds helps close the height and reach gap that limited him, at times, at 155 pounds.

Check out a complete breakdown of the UFC 162 main card Featherweight fight between Cub Swanson vs. Dennis Siver below:

The Breakdown

Both men have good ground skills, though Swanson’s Brazilian jiu-jitsu and experience at surviving on the bottom are a clear edge – he’s used to being there and won’t psychologically wilt if caught looking up at the lights.

Siver has decent wrestling and takedowns for a guy with a kickboxing background, yet at times when hitting a takedown to cinch the round would be a safety-first move, he opts to keep it on the feet instead. Swanson has really shown a great ability to blend all the elements of MMA recently -- his transitions from tie-ups to strikes to takedowns and movement are a thing of beauty to watch.

His main handicap is that he’s never really had the core wrestling horsepower to just plant people on the mat when he needs to, and as such, he’s been out-muscled by stronger wrestlers. But, with his momentum and confidence surging after changing camps to work with Greg Jackson, he’s proven a very capable fighter in recent outings.

The momentum is definitely on his side, and he’s likely more comfortable at 145 compared to Siver, who’s cutting down and may have questionable stamina in a long bout, particularly the kind of fast-paced one Swanson likes to force.

The Pick

This is likely to be a kickboxer’s delight with some splashes of jiu-jitsu thrown in as a garnish, but not even to overshadow the main course. Siver is too compact to be taken down by Swanson, who will look to use his movement and integrated combinations and volume to keep Siver reaching, missing and eating shots.

Siver’s a harder one-strike hitter than Swanson, tending to go all-in on his attacks, which makes him vulnerable to counters, which Cub will exploit. Look for some fast-paced back and forth action, as Siver lands some big shots in the first round or two but eats a steady diet of counters.

Swanson will tie him up if taken down and threaten submissions and sweeps enough to lure Siver into a long-haul kickboxing battle, surging over the final round with a strong closing assault to stagger the German and take a close decision win.

Swanson via decision

Remember that MMAmania.com will provide LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the UFC 162 pay-per-view (PPV) main card action, which is slated to start promptly at 10 p.m. ET. Up-to-the-minute updates and fight-by-fight coverage will begin to flow earlier than that, however, around 7 p.m. ET with the "Prelims" bouts on Facebook and FX.

Jason Probst can be reached at twitter.com/jasonprobst

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