Bombing in the match, brutality in the rematch. What's in store for the three-match?
The premier mixed martial arts (MMA) Heavyweight superstars on the planet will once again do battle this Saturday (Oct. 19, 2013) when reigning Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) division kingpin Cain Velasquez fights Junior dos Santos in the five-round main event of UFC 166, which will emanate from Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.
Several divisional powerhouses will also be in action, including John Dodson (Flyweight) and Gilbert Melendez (Lightweight), as well as another pair of Heavyweight elites Daniel Cormier and Roy Nelson.
It's shaping up to be quite the memorable card; therefore, let's see if we can give your wallets some fine memories of their own.
Follow us below for the latest UFC 166: "Velasquez vs. Dos Santos 3" odds, betting lines and best bets:
UFC 166 Odds For "Prelims" Under Card:
Tim Boetsch (-175) vs. C.B. Dollaway (+135)
Hector Lombard (-160) vs. Nate Marquardt (+120)
Sarah Kaufman (-215) vs. Jessica Eye (+165)
K.J. Noons (-195) vs. George Sotiropoulos (+155)
Adlan Amagov (-180) vs. T.J. Waldburger (+140)
Anthony Ferguson (-400) vs. Mike Rio (+280)
Andre Fili (-195) vs. Jeremy Larsen (+155)
Kyoji Horiguchi (-175) vs. Dustin Pague (+135)
Thoughts: Honestly, I’m not liking much of what I see -- I believe all the favorites will win. And the lines are a bit too wide considering the reservations I have (such as Noons’ and Horiguchi’s takedown defense). I do think there’s profit to be found in Lombard and Kaufman, though.
My "Shango" faith isn’t out of some belief that the 15-pound weight cut will put him in Welterweight title contention, but out of the recognition that he is a horrific match up for "The Great." Marquardt is a mauler when he’s at his best, buffeting opponents from point-blank range. Attempting to do so against Lombard puts him in the line of fire of one of the most lethal punchers in the organization. Though I wonder about Lombard's cardio, I believe Marquardt’s inability to take him down or force a long-range fight will result in an up-close slugfest in which the latter's shaky chin will collapse under the former's brawn.
Without wishing to denigrate Eye, who I will happily admit is a very good fighter, I think Kaufman’s got pretty much everything going for her here. She’s bigger, more experienced and has fought much tougher competition. In addition, she is likely the harder puncher and will prove quite difficult to take down. All in all, she strikes me as a good bet even at -215.
UFC 166 Odds For Main Card:
Cain Velasquez (-200) vs. Junior dos Santos (+170)
Daniel Cormier (-600) vs. Roy Nelson (+450)
Gilbert Melendez (-800) vs. Diego Sanchez (+550)
Shawn Jordan (-210) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (+175)
John Dodson (-340) vs. Darrell Montague (+280)
Thoughts: I’m flip-flopping relentlessly on Shawn Jordan vs. Gabriel Gonzaga. On one hand, Mike Russow had plenty of success in grounding down Jordan before that disastrous second round. On the other, Gonzaga’s chin is a major liability.
If you can get Gonzaga at better than +200, I say go for it, but leave it alone for now.
Maybe I’m gullible, but I really do feel dos Santos' overtraining was a huge factor in the Velasquez rematch at UFC 155 in Dec. 2012. Even before Velasquez starting getting to him with punches, "Cigano" seemed extremely sluggish. I don’t see him losing again here. And I can’t back it up with logic aside from the fact that dos Santos hits extremely friggin’ hard and is blisteringly fast when he’s humming.
But, I really think he wins this ... bank on it.
UFC 166 Best Bets
- Single bet: Hector Lombard -- Bet $60 to make $37.50
- Parlay: Hector Lombard and Sarah Kaufman -- Bet $30 to make $42.00
- Single bet: Junior dos Santos -- Bet $30 to make $51.00
Title fight! Knockout artists! Loser leaves town showdowns! UFC 166 has got a little something for everyone.
See you then!
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 166: "Velasquez vs. Dos Santos 3" results this mid-week RIGHT HERE, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.