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UFC 153 Betting Lines: Did Oddsmakers Underestimate Rampage’s Power Against Glover Teixeira?

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Photo by Noel Vasquez/Getty Images for Waltrip Racing

Is Quinton "Rampage" Jackson returning to fight his final fight in the Octagon at UFC 153 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on the heels of knee surgery and back-to-back losses? Yes. Has the demolition attitude from his PRIDE days seemed to be replaced with a more stilted striking style in recent years?

Yes.

Will he be facing an opponent with a sixteen-fight win streak this time around? Yes. Did he miss weight in his last fight with Ryan Bader and has he expressed time and time again that he’s no longer interested in fighting for the UFC?

Yes.

Does all of this mean that Glover Teixeira is three times as likely as Rampage to win in their light heavyweight bout on Oct. 13, as oddsmakers are suggesting? Probably not. (Those kinds of betting lines are almost as strongly as oddsmakers were favoring Randy Couture to beat Mark Coleman in UFC 109.)

While it’s impossible to gauge whether this being Rampage’s last fight in the Octagon will fuel him with motivation or leave him disinterested, there is one weapon in Rampage’s arsenal that can always be expected, the dynamite he wields in both hands.

Since eleven of Glover’s eighteen wins are KO/TKO’s and he’s expressed his belief that he will be the first opponent since the PRIDE days to knock Rampage out, it’s probably fair to say we can expect some action on the feet, which benefits Quinton’s greatest strength.

If he can avoid the takedown and Teixeira’s black-belt BJJ skills, which recently made short work of Kyle Kingsbury via first-round arm-triangle choke, Rampage might seriously reward those fans betting money on him who have not forgotten how dangerous he can be.

Quinton Jackson at +235 vs. Glover Teixeira at -275 for UFC 153 in Brazil. Who's your pick?

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