UFC 144: Jake Shields vs Yoshihiro Akiyama Prediction Thread



Come this Saturday, February the 25th, the UFC will make it's long awaited return to Japan as Saitama plays host to UFC 144 'Edgar vs Henderson'. As long time followers, us UFC fans are getting a little something extra as the UFC brass has decided to throw in two extra fights on top of the standard five fights we are used to receiving on our Pay Per View cards. Needless to say, it sounds as if the UFC is definitely pulling out all the stops to ensure satisfactory viewing for all in attendance and us viewing from the warmth of our LCD and Plasma televisions perhaps with a few cold ones.

The main event will pit the extremely resilient Frankie Edgar against the workhorse that is Ben 'Smooth' Henderson. Edgar will look to have the belt clasped back firmly around his waist in front of thousads of enthused Japanese fights fans, if he is able to weather what certainly could be a ferocious thunder from the Mr. Smooth.

But before we can get to that, heck even before the co-main event between Japanese fan favorite Quinton 'Rampage' Jackson and Ultimate Fighter season 7 winner Ryan Bader clash heads, there is an interesting bout taking place in the 170lbs Welterweight division.

So, without further ado, let's talk Jake Shields (26-6-1) vs Yoshihiro Akiyama (13-4-2).

Jake Shields made waves in the past few years by going 15-0 since 2005 and amassing a who's who of body bags along the way, including Carlos Condit, Robbie Lawler, Dan Henderson, Martin Kampmann, Yushin Okami, and Jason Miller. Shields ran in to a problem once he made his way to the big stage of the UFC.

In his first outing he edged a split decision that many felt should have went the way of Martin Kampmann's. Follow that fight up with a loss to current UFC Welterweight Champion Georges St. Pierre, who is sidelined currently with an injury, and a more recent loss to a new contender in Jake Ellenberger, in which Ellenberger clobbered his way to a knockout of Shields in just 53 seconds.

Shields is now in desperate need to prove he is indeed as dangerous as he had previously looked as he is now staring down the potential of falling entirely off the radar, or maybe even more so, being shifted back to Strikeforce of where he once came.

The man standing in his way will be the hard headed sex symbol from Japan in Yoshihiro Akiyama.

'Sexyama' finds himself in dire straits as well, as the 'Asian Brad Pitt' has just one close split decision win over Alan Belcher way back at UFC 100 when he made his debut in the UFC. Since that time Akiyama had lost 3 consecutive fights to a zombie like Chris Leben who surprised Akiyama with a triangle choke, Michael Bisping, who out pointed Akiyama rather handily, and most recently Vitor Belfort, who seperated Akiyama from consiousness at UFC 133 back in August, 2011.

Akiyama agreed to make the move to the Welterweight division at the request of UFC President Dana White. A picture circulated late last year showing what Yoshihiro had accomplished and what he will look like come fight night Saturday hopefully. It was a very impressive picture to say the least.

Now that we've had a quick history lesson let's break down the fight.

Come Saturday evening Shields will have to utilize his experience that garnered him a fifteen fight win streak in the first place. I mean c'mon, it's not as if the man was beating scrubs night in and out. He's took the punishment of Henderson and kept on ticking, avoided the flurries of Lawler, found his way around Condit, survived (by the bell) from 'Mayhem' and more. If Shields sticks to his gameplan and keeps calm, cool and collected, this should be a rather mundane walk in the park.

On the other hand, Akiyama is fighting in front of his home crowd and should be just as desperate, if not more, to show that he still has some fight left in him. I expect the cardio of Akiyama's to have slightly improved as I'm hoping he's taking this extremely large opportunity to the utmost seriousness. With his crowd backing him and his stubborn chin holding him on his feet, Shields will have to make certain to avoid as much stand up as possible and look to get this one over with quickly or survive the 1st round and a half hoping the cardio of Akiyama will decimate.

If Akiyama isn't able to 'Ellenberger' Shields early on in the opening frame when his gas tanks riding of 'F', he could be in for an extremely long night, and so could the eager Japanese crowd who will undoubtedly be dissapointed in their country's hero.

Ulitmately Shields will come out, test this one on the feet for a quick moment, suffer a couple of hasty jabs by Akiyama who has a three inch reach advantage, see that he is not to comfortable with the power he's facing, utilize an attempted takedown, though Akiyama will have enough strength to muster up a stand up. Once back on the feet look for Shields to press the action against the fence and keep tight to avoid damage. It will be at this point that Shields will work his jiu-jitsu and find an opening on the neck of Akiyama.

Jake Shields takes this one by standing rear naked choke in the opening frame.


Log In Sign Up

Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.


You must be a member of to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at You should read them.


You must be a member of to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at You should read them.




Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.