Behind the UFC 143 numbers: Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit fight complete statistical breakdown
"The fight they weren't seeking -- just became the most important fight of their lives."
You've heard the promo spot for UFC 143 a hundred times, if you've been watching Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) events during the last month.
Nick Diaz and Carlos Condit were both supposed to fight Georges St. Pierre for his title last year. However, because of injuries and unforeseen circumstances, neither of them got their wish. The consolation prize? They now get to fight each other for the interim belt at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Feb. 4, 2012) in "Sin City."
These two very dangerous welterweights will battle in what could likely be the "Fight of the Year," with the end result, most likely, being that the winner will face "Rush" upon his return.
Who will bring the statistical advantage into the cage when they do battle on Saturday night? Roll up your sleeves and whip out your calculators because it's time to crunch numbers.
Check out a complete statistical breakdown of the UFC 143 main event between Nick Diaz and Carlos Condit after the jump:
The expert analysts at CompuStrike worked hard to help bring us an extra special edition of "Behind the Numbers" for this fantastic number one contender eliminator match. The numbers procured have been based on 14 fight averages for Nick Diaz and 10 fight averages for Carlos Condit.
First, let's analyze the overall striking game of both fighters:
Total Strikes:
Diaz -- 127 of 242
Condit -- 50 of 99
Percentage:Diaz -- 53 percent
Condit -- 51 percentTotal Power Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 95
Condit -- 22Total Non-Power Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 32
Condit -- 28
The accuracy is comparable, but Diaz throws a much larger volume of strikes and lands many more power strikes when he gets in the cage.
That's the overall striking picture. Here's what the arm strikes look like:
Total Arm Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 98 of 197
Condit -- 7 of 24Percentage of Arm Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 50 percent
Condit -- 29 percentPower Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 74
Condit -- 4Non-Power Strikes Landed
Diaz -- 24
Condit -- 3
Wow. It's not a huge surprise that Diaz would hold the edge here, but this is a vast differential.
The leg strikes category does not fare a whole lot better for Condit:
Total Leg Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 16 of 23
Condit -- 9 of 21
Percentage of Leg Strikes Landed:Diaz -- 70 percent
Condit -- 43 percent
Power Leg Strikes Landed:Diaz -- 12
Condit -- 4
Non-Power Leg Strikes Landed:Diaz -- 4
Condit -- 5
Everyone knows Nick Diaz is dangerous on the ground. His submission game is slick and deceptive. He generally prefers to stand and bang, but if things go south, he has no problem rolling with the best of them.
Just ask Takanori Gomi (about both Diaz brothers).
Here's what the ground game comparison looks like:
Ground Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 13 of 22
Condit -- 34 of 54
Percentage:Diaz -- 59 percent
Condit -- 63 percent
Power Ground Strikes Landed:Diaz -- 9
Condit -- 14Non-Power Ground Strikes Landed:
Diaz -- 4
Condit -- 20Takedowns:
Diaz -- 9 of 32 (28 percent)
Condit -- 5 of 8 (63 percent)
Submission Attempts:Diaz -- 10
Condit -- 13
Dominant Positions:Diaz -- 17
Condit -- 17
The statistics show Condit to shoot for a higher percentage of takedowns. His ground and pound also appears to have the advantage.
"The Natural Born Killer" has won 13 of his 27 fights via submission, so he's no beginner on the mat. Diaz has won eight fights by submission during his career, but again, he'd rather stand in the pocket and trade if it's up to him.
So, are these the findings you would have predicted? Or are you at all thrown for a loop? Does this sway you in your decision? Who ya got?
For everything else you need to know about the clash between Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit, be sure to check out our complete fight archive right here.
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Carlos got the better of that handshake. -
He’s the outside spoon. Could be a sign of things to come.
"Crooked banks will gladly give a loan today, so when you miss a payment they can take your home away" - Lupe Fiasco.
that makes absolutely no sense at all....
"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."
Absolutely...
You should also notice how Nick is looking at the shake trying to figure out how Carlos is dominating it while Carlos isn’t even straining. The look on Dana’s face says it all. I can just see him shaking his head and frowning at Diaz.
****************************************
Three things I must do before I die:
1. Finish a marathon
2. Learn to surf
3. Punch Shia Labeouf in the face
by Dirty_Sanchez on Feb 3, 2012 9:03 AM EST up reply actions
Not really surprised by Diaz's numbers
but i’m a little surprised Condit didn’t produce more.
Condit picks his punches more
Diaz wings them endlessly. When’s the last time Diaz went 5 rounds? Carlos could be hit by 500 punches in this fight.
Roller was robbed. He was held up at knifepoint by Herb Dean, stripped naked, and sodomized with a stainless steel dildo.
Going for precedent?
Roller was robbed. He was held up at knifepoint by Herb Dean, stripped naked, and sodomized with a stainless steel dildo.
Diaz:

"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,
I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."
by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 2, 2012 11:26 PM EST reply actions
I know it makes me a huge nerd, but I cannot tell you how irritated I am by that improper use of “you’re.”
"Why? Will all his opponents be wearing Twinkies and Spam?" - Dakatak
Follow me on Twitter @MMABuffet
by Kevin Haggerty on Feb 2, 2012 11:32 PM EST up reply actions
you must be new hear
You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.
Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.
by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 2, 2012 11:34 PM EST up reply actions
^^^
Third biggest fag on mania
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 1:38 AM EST up reply actions
you replied to the wrong person
You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 1:39 AM EST up reply actions
no i didnt
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:02 AM EST up reply actions
your math is way off then
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:06 AM EST up reply actions
Im giving you credit for not being worse than ed soares
or danago
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:07 AM EST up reply actions
ok you can back to listening to mid 90's trance now
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:08 AM EST up reply actions
I like daft punk
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:10 AM EST up reply actions
thats not trance and I love daft punk too
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:13 AM EST up reply actions
It's techno
Professional sig bet record: 7-7-1
Sig bet with kg12 on Diaz-Condit: 2 weeks sig and pic
* and there is one person who's name I shall never speak of that is most definitely the #1 biggest cunt on mania
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:11 AM EST up reply actions
tell me this song doesnt make you wanna take off your shirt
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TUC2b-OSZ00
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:12 AM EST up reply actions
yah ! French house !
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:17 AM EST up reply actions
ok wow
your good in my book now
E shake?
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions
deal
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions
check out vacaywave if you dont alrady know about it
it’s a good music blog
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:20 AM EST up reply actions
* also if you have any links to some good dj sets hook it up
Preferably in flac format . also check out russ chimes on sound cloud
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:23 AM EST up reply actions
My friend actually showed me it a littlle while back
Its pretty sick
And I like nero too
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:25 AM EST up reply actions
I saw chase n status a while back , off the hook
There is an english guy around here and he says everything I like is wack over in england so I don’t even know whats cool anymore . I know I’m getting sick of so much dubstep .
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:28 AM EST up reply actions
haha
agreed too much dubstep
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 5:20 AM EST up reply actions
Hey chill dude rand is my boy
by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 2:12 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
ohh really
you guys go clubbling with ed soares and danago on the weekends looking to get laid?
NO
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:13 AM EST up reply actions
check this groove out
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfg1-3HKA10
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions
We don’t go clubbing sir we go over to danagos moms house where he lives and eat hot pockets and watch the outer limits and talk crap on the internet. Get it right brosuff
by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 10:18 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Well playd Randall
bloody queef bubble
by wooly shambler on Feb 3, 2012 1:46 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
thank you , thank you
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:04 AM EST up reply actions
#1: I didn't make that pic
#2: that’s part of the joke
"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,
I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."
by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 2, 2012 11:40 PM EST up reply actions
Diaz:

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.
Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.
by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 2, 2012 11:35 PM EST up reply actions
was surprised to see diaz with the advantage on kicks. don’t ever think of diaz’s as kickers and I guess that kick to Kampmanns face is burned into my brain but I figured that’s where Carlos would shine. condit will do pretty good in this fight till either he gets wore down by the pace or does really well and gets cocky and gets put to sleep
MMA = Best sport on earth
by FarNorCal on Feb 3, 2012 2:02 AM EST via Android app reply actions
I dont think any one is gettinng put to sleep
Its probably going to be a Nick UD or a condit tko…doubful on the condit tko though
One can't be Catholic, and a grown up
by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:04 AM EST up reply actions
A
Sig Bet:
4-2,
Condit over Diaz - Shivan"Diesel"Tiger
by Cruz Jackson on Feb 3, 2012 3:29 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Stallion didn't you bail on the unmask thread like a fuckin pussy?
Sig Bet:
4-2,
Condit over Diaz - Shivan"Diesel"Tiger
by Cruz Jackson on Feb 3, 2012 3:29 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
haha that gif always reminds me of a little kid
Sig bets with umabig:
Condit beats Diaz on Feb. 4, 2 weeks
Akiyama beats Shields on Feb. 26, 2 week
by enzo-enormous on Feb 3, 2012 9:16 AM EST up reply actions
Because physiologically and emotionally
he is.
"Pain is the best instructor, but no one wants to go to his class."
- Choi, Hong Hi, Founder of Taekwon-Do
psychologically
"Pain is the best instructor, but no one wants to go to his class."
- Choi, Hong Hi, Founder of Taekwon-Do
psychicly
"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,
I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."
by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 3, 2012 2:55 PM EST up reply actions
Not sure how it relates but am gonna go ahead and +1 this.
I am a card carrying member of N.A.M.B.LA , I also love and support Jerry Sandusky
by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on Feb 3, 2012 10:12 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Haha exactly! Does anyone know if Cain is hurt or something or he just hasn’t got a fight?
by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 10:20 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
of course there's no strength of schedule statistic...
I give Condit a slight edge there…
The stat that jumps out at me in this whole thing is that Condit has 26 finishes in 27 wins. Thats insane. I think Condit is a live dog here and a much tougher matchup than Diaz’s last few opponents. It’s all about the leg kicks for Condit in this one…
This will not stand man, this aggression will not stand!
by RearNakedToke on Feb 3, 2012 11:46 AM EST via mobile reply actions

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