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Behind the UFC 143 numbers: Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit fight complete statistical breakdown

Truce? Hell no. UFC Welterweights Nick Diaz (L) and Carlos Condit (R) will go toe-to-toe on Sat., Feb. 5, 2012 at UFC 143 in Las Vegas, Nevada for the interim title and a shot at Georges St. Pierre's belt. Photo by Esther Lin for MMA Fighting.

"The fight they weren't seeking -- just became the most important fight of their lives."

You've heard the promo spot for UFC 143 a hundred times, if you've been watching Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) events during the last month.

Nick Diaz and Carlos Condit were both supposed to fight Georges St. Pierre for his title last year. However, because of injuries and unforeseen circumstances, neither of them got their wish. The consolation prize? They now get to fight each other for the interim belt at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Feb. 4, 2012) in "Sin City."

These two very dangerous welterweights will battle in what could likely be the "Fight of the Year," with the end result, most likely, being that the winner will face "Rush" upon his return.

Who will bring the statistical advantage into the cage when they do battle on Saturday night? Roll up your sleeves and whip out your calculators because it's time to crunch numbers.

Check out a complete statistical breakdown of the UFC 143 main event between Nick Diaz and Carlos Condit after the jump:

Star-divide

The expert analysts at CompuStrike worked hard to help bring us an extra special edition of "Behind the Numbers" for this fantastic number one contender eliminator match. The numbers procured have been based on 14 fight averages for Nick Diaz and 10 fight averages for Carlos Condit.

First, let's analyze the overall striking game of both fighters:

Total Strikes:

Diaz -- 127 of 242
Condit -- 50 of 99

Percentage:

Diaz -- 53 percent
Condit -- 51 percent

Total Power Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 95
Condit -- 22

Total Non-Power Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 32
Condit -- 28

The accuracy is comparable, but Diaz throws a much larger volume of strikes and lands many more power strikes when he gets in the cage.

That's the overall striking picture. Here's what the arm strikes look like:

Total Arm Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 98 of 197
Condit -- 7 of 24

Percentage of Arm Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 50 percent
Condit -- 29 percent

Power Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 74
Condit -- 4

Non-Power Strikes Landed

Diaz -- 24
Condit -- 3

Wow. It's not a huge surprise that Diaz would hold the edge here, but this is a vast differential.

The leg strikes category does not fare a whole lot better for Condit:

Total Leg Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 16 of 23
Condit -- 9 of 21

Percentage of Leg Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 70 percent
Condit -- 43 percent

Power Leg Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 12
Condit -- 4

Non-Power Leg Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 4
Condit -- 5

Everyone knows Nick Diaz is dangerous on the ground. His submission game is slick and deceptive. He generally prefers to stand and bang, but if things go south, he has no problem rolling with the best of them.

Just ask Takanori Gomi (about both Diaz brothers).

Here's what the ground game comparison looks like:

Ground Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 13 of 22
Condit -- 34 of 54

Percentage:

Diaz -- 59 percent
Condit -- 63 percent

Power Ground Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 9
Condit -- 14

Non-Power Ground Strikes Landed:

Diaz -- 4
Condit -- 20

Takedowns:

Diaz -- 9 of 32 (28 percent)
Condit -- 5 of 8 (63 percent)

Submission Attempts:

Diaz -- 10
Condit -- 13

Dominant Positions:

Diaz -- 17
Condit -- 17

The statistics show Condit to shoot for a higher percentage of takedowns. His ground and pound also appears to have the advantage.

"The Natural Born Killer" has won 13 of his 27 fights via submission, so he's no beginner on the mat. Diaz has won eight fights by submission during his career, but again, he'd rather stand in the pocket and trade if it's up to him.

So, are these the findings you would have predicted? Or are you at all thrown for a loop? Does this sway you in your decision? Who ya got?

For everything else you need to know about the clash between Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit, be sure to check out our complete fight archive right here.

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Carlos got the better of that handshake. -

He’s the outside spoon. Could be a sign of things to come.

"Crooked banks will gladly give a loan today, so when you miss a payment they can take your home away" - Lupe Fiasco.

by Bigger Zino on Feb 2, 2012 11:03 PM EST reply actions  

that makes absolutely no sense at all....

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Feb 3, 2012 5:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Absolutely...

You should also notice how Nick is looking at the shake trying to figure out how Carlos is dominating it while Carlos isn’t even straining. The look on Dana’s face says it all. I can just see him shaking his head and frowning at Diaz.

****************************************
Three things I must do before I die:
1. Finish a marathon
2. Learn to surf
3. Punch Shia Labeouf in the face

by Dirty_Sanchez on Feb 3, 2012 9:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Not really surprised by Diaz's numbers

but i’m a little surprised Condit didn’t produce more.

by MeatballHero on Feb 2, 2012 11:08 PM EST reply actions  

Condit picks his punches more

Diaz wings them endlessly. When’s the last time Diaz went 5 rounds? Carlos could be hit by 500 punches in this fight.

Roller was robbed. He was held up at knifepoint by Herb Dean, stripped naked, and sodomized with a stainless steel dildo.

by unambig on Feb 2, 2012 11:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Going for precedent?

Roller was robbed. He was held up at knifepoint by Herb Dean, stripped naked, and sodomized with a stainless steel dildo.

by unambig on Feb 2, 2012 11:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Got my boy Los

by KO Shrimp on Feb 2, 2012 11:23 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Diaz:

"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,

I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."

by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 2, 2012 11:26 PM EST reply actions  

I know it makes me a huge nerd, but I cannot tell you how irritated I am by that improper use of “you’re.”

"Why? Will all his opponents be wearing Twinkies and Spam?" - Dakatak

Follow me on Twitter @MMABuffet

by Kevin Haggerty on Feb 2, 2012 11:32 PM EST up reply actions  

you must be new hear

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 2, 2012 11:34 PM EST up reply actions  

^^^

Third biggest fag on mania

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 1:38 AM EST up reply actions  

you replied to the wrong person

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 1:39 AM EST up reply actions  

no i didnt

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:02 AM EST up reply actions  

your math is way off then

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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:06 AM EST up reply actions  

ok you can back to listening to mid 90's trance now

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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:08 AM EST up reply actions  

I like daft punk

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:10 AM EST up reply actions  

thats not trance and I love daft punk too

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:13 AM EST up reply actions  

It's techno

Professional sig bet record: 7-7-1

Sig bet with kg12 on Diaz-Condit: 2 weeks sig and pic

by Phasebook on Feb 3, 2012 2:57 AM EST up reply actions  

* and there is one person who's name I shall never speak of that is most definitely the #1 biggest cunt on mania

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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:11 AM EST up reply actions  

yah ! French house !

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by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:17 AM EST up reply actions  

ok wow

your good in my book now

E shake?

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions  

deal

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions  

check out vacaywave if you dont alrady know about it

it’s a good music blog

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Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:20 AM EST up reply actions  

* also if you have any links to some good dj sets hook it up

Preferably in flac format . also check out russ chimes on sound cloud

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Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:23 AM EST up reply actions  

My friend actually showed me it a littlle while back

Its pretty sick
And I like nero too

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:25 AM EST up reply actions  

I saw chase n status a while back , off the hook

There is an english guy around here and he says everything I like is wack over in england so I don’t even know whats cool anymore . I know I’m getting sick of so much dubstep .

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Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:28 AM EST up reply actions  

haha

agreed too much dubstep

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 5:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Hey chill dude rand is my boy

by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 2:12 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

ohh really

you guys go clubbling with ed soares and danago on the weekends looking to get laid?

NO

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:13 AM EST up reply actions  

check this groove out

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfg1-3HKA10

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
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Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions  

We don’t go clubbing sir we go over to danagos moms house where he lives and eat hot pockets and watch the outer limits and talk crap on the internet. Get it right brosuff

by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 10:18 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

thank you , thank you

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
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Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 3, 2012 2:04 AM EST up reply actions  

#1: I didn't make that pic

#2: that’s part of the joke

"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,

I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."

by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 2, 2012 11:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Diaz:

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "***" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Feb 2, 2012 11:35 PM EST up reply actions  

was surprised to see diaz with the advantage on kicks. don’t ever think of diaz’s as kickers and I guess that kick to Kampmanns face is burned into my brain but I figured that’s where Carlos would shine. condit will do pretty good in this fight till either he gets wore down by the pace or does really well and gets cocky and gets put to sleep

MMA = Best sport on earth

by FarNorCal on Feb 3, 2012 2:02 AM EST via Android app reply actions  

I dont think any one is gettinng put to sleep

Its probably going to be a Nick UD or a condit tko…doubful on the condit tko though

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Feb 3, 2012 2:04 AM EST up reply actions  

A

Sig Bet:
4-2,
Condit over Diaz - Shivan"Diesel"Tiger

by Cruz Jackson on Feb 3, 2012 3:29 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Stallion didn't you bail on the unmask thread like a fuckin pussy?

Sig Bet:
4-2,
Condit over Diaz - Shivan"Diesel"Tiger

by Cruz Jackson on Feb 3, 2012 3:29 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

haha that gif always reminds me of a little kid

Sig bets with umabig:
Condit beats Diaz on Feb. 4, 2 weeks
Akiyama beats Shields on Feb. 26, 2 week

by enzo-enormous on Feb 3, 2012 9:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Because physiologically and emotionally

he is.

"Pain is the best instructor, but no one wants to go to his class."
- Choi, Hong Hi, Founder of Taekwon-Do

by U3O8man on Feb 3, 2012 9:23 AM EST up reply actions  

psychologically

"Pain is the best instructor, but no one wants to go to his class."
- Choi, Hong Hi, Founder of Taekwon-Do

by U3O8man on Feb 3, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

psychicly

"It’s Mark Pavelich calling from the Maximum Fighting Championship,

I’ve just received notice that Drew Fickett or you, I don’t care which one of you fuckers did it, has signed a contract to fight in Strikeforce this fucking weekend. I’m going to get on a fucking plane soon and go where you’re at and choke you the fuck out. I’m telling you right now, I’ve had enough of your fucking shit. First of all, I’ve sent you the fucking pictures and secondly, I placed Drew Fickett in a fight fucking months ago and five weeks prior to my main event of my fucking fight card. You’re going to give me a fucking call tomorrow or I swear I’ll get on a fucking plane and go right where you’re at right now. You’re pissing me off, I’ve been nothing but professional to you motherfuckers and you’re doing this kind of bullshit, alright? Call me back, I’m fucking pissed."

by Swedish Chef smerdy herdy verdy on Feb 3, 2012 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Not sure how it relates but am gonna go ahead and +1 this.

I am a card carrying member of N.A.M.B.LA , I also love and support Jerry Sandusky

by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on Feb 3, 2012 10:12 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Haha exactly! Does anyone know if Cain is hurt or something or he just hasn’t got a fight?

by zesotheclown on Feb 3, 2012 10:20 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

of course there's no strength of schedule statistic...

I give Condit a slight edge there…

The stat that jumps out at me in this whole thing is that Condit has 26 finishes in 27 wins. Thats insane. I think Condit is a live dog here and a much tougher matchup than Diaz’s last few opponents. It’s all about the leg kicks for Condit in this one…

This will not stand man, this aggression will not stand!

by RearNakedToke on Feb 3, 2012 11:46 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

I have no idea whose ass those stats were pulled out of

Condit threw and landed many more strikes that Diaz in every fight. The right man won.

by Motmaitre on Feb 5, 2012 12:53 AM EST reply actions  


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