UFC on FUEL TV: Jake Ellenberger vs Diego Sanchez fight video prediction with Martin Kampmann

by Thomas Myers on Feb 12, 2012 10:01 AM EST in UFC Videos

"If Ellenberger comes in and connects with some hard shots in the beginning, then I think he's going to take it. The later the fight goes, the better for Diego. You know, Diego's got good cardio and I think that when Ellenberger fought Carlos Condit, he almost stopped the fight, but he kind of gassed toward the end and Condit kept going. And Diego is going to keep going. So, the longer the fight goes, the better for Diego. But, Ellenberger has got dynamite in his hands, so he could stop it quick, too."

Top Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) welterweight Martin Kampmann provides his expert breakdown of the upcoming UFC on FUEL TV main event between Jake Ellenberger vs Diego Sanchez, which takes place at the Omaha Civic Auditorium in Omaha, Neb., on Feb. 15, 2012.

"Hitman" -- who dropped a very close and controversial decision to Sanchez last year -- seems to think that the "Dream" will have to grind down the "Juggernaut" to come away victorious. On the other hand, he suggests that Ellenberger's power might carry him to an early victory; however, Sanchez is perhaps the toughest out in the welterweight division.

Is Ellenberger the man who can finally turn out Sanchez's lights or will Diego's blistering, in-your-face attack be too much for the hometown favorite?

For more on UFC on Fuel TV 1: "Ellenberger vs. Sanchez" be sure to check out our complete event archive right here.

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Comments

"Anything could happen"

TRAIN BY DAY, JOE ROGAN PODCAST BY NIGHT - ALL DAY.

by freenow82 on Feb 12, 2012 10:05 AM EST reply actions

Kampmann has the charisma of a tadpole

by Simon West on Feb 12, 2012 10:09 AM EST reply actions

+100

bloody queef bubble

by wooly shambler on Feb 12, 2012 2:26 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Diego with the upset split decision

by ElStIkO on Feb 12, 2012 10:16 AM EST reply actions

should'nt be considered an upset anyway

If he sticks to the gameplan set for him then he should come out victorious.

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 10:22 AM EST via mobile up reply actions

if it was 5 rounds id agree

but 3 rounds he wont have time to gas Jake out

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by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 10:41 AM EST up reply actions

if he can dictate the pace he can..

Circle the cage pick his spots and mix-up his striking.

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 10:47 AM EST via mobile up reply actions

Diegos striking is not good

he stands with Jake hes in bad shape. I think he shud press Jake against the cage and make him work until he gasses

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 3:44 PM EST up reply actions

Not good?

He has a full arsenal of kicks punches knees elbows while jake has heavy hands..back to my original statement he executes his gameplan he’ll be fine

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 4:17 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Diego’s striking is pretty horrid. Just because you have multiple ways to strike, if you suck, you still suck. Even if the other guy is only good with hands, he can still be a good striker.

One of the bad pieces of logic that come along with this, You have to be well rounded etc etc.

You still have to actually be good too.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 4:41 PM EST up reply actions

beating florian,kampmann,santiago,diaz,parisyan,thiago while losing close decisions to fitch and koscheck…yeah diego isn’t good hahahaha okay buddy

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:18 PM EST up reply actions

He's a real scrapper, but not very technical in the stand up

by PotOfGold on Feb 12, 2012 5:24 PM EST up reply actions

I never said he was..thats the point of being a complete fighter

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:25 PM EST up reply actions

Ya he is pretty good at all things

But not the best at anything. His pace, cardio, and heart are what gets him the Ws

by PotOfGold on Feb 12, 2012 5:28 PM EST up reply actions

That article Pride put out pretty much explains the situation perfectly IMO.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:29 PM EST up reply actions

heres a good article about his striking faults

http://www.headkicklegend.com/2012/2/12/2793194/the-downfall-of-diego-sanchez

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:24 PM EST up reply actions

Great article Pride, pretty much says what I’ve been saying.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:28 PM EST up reply actions

I never said Diego wasn’t good. The topic was about striking in general.

Diego’s standard striking, IE from a distance, creating exchanges without clinch , are very low level.

This is a fact. You can see in all of his fights, this is Diego’s skillset .

Diego needs to fight a high paced, brawling, scrambling pace, which he does very well at 170, to be effective. That is Diego Sanchez, and there, he is very effective.

His technical standing from a distance, is terrible though.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:25 PM EST up reply actions

never said he was technical nor does he have to be he has to do what works for him

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:27 PM EST up reply actions

Agreed, but you brought up his wins to balance that he has good striking at a distance. Which is what our debate is predicated on. I never said anything bad about Diego, except that his striking from distance was horrid.

Which you replied, but he has beaten etc etc her de derp.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:30 PM EST up reply actions

my point was never about striking it was about him sticking to a gameplan

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:33 PM EST up reply actions

What gameplan letter? To beat Jake at his own game with worse skills and less power?

Honestly Diego’s best gamelplan is to let Jake beat the crap out of him to a point of gassing, and then survive and come back to win. That’s Diego’s best gameplan here.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:37 PM EST up reply actions

basically what the article i posted said

he is god awful from a distance, and any solid counter puncher wrecks his charging offense a la Kampmann

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:28 PM EST up reply actions

Very good article, who’s Jack Slack? I haven’t heard of him, where’s he from? That was an excellent spot on article.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:31 PM EST up reply actions

hes a HKL writers

really good breakdowns

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:36 PM EST up reply actions

I generally don’t trust any writers around here, they are usually crap analysts, but I will make a note about him.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:38 PM EST up reply actions

I know, I read that article a long time ago

good thing for him its mma and not striking from a distance contest

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:31 PM EST up reply actions

well his 2 most recent losses(3 if u count the Kampmann fight)

are because of this fault

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:35 PM EST up reply actions

Honestly Pride, I just rewatched Kampmann vs Diego, and I scored it for Diego.

The round in question is Round 3, and this is a round where Diego got the takedown, ( did nothing with it , but does that even matter any more ? ) and Diego pretty much replicated Rd 2 , but Kampmann put up a little more.

Rd 1 was clearly Kampmann
Rd 2 was clearly Diego

Rd 3 was close, but leaning more towards Diego.

And with all of that swarming and trying to engage, it sold real well.

I’m ok with the decision, and it certainly wasn’t a robbery.

The whole thing was that Diego was busted up so bad, he was busted up even worse than he was against Penn.

But the actual fight itself was pretty damn close.

Kampmann does it to himself, he is the superior techinical fighters to damn near everyone, yet he allows himself to get sucked into brawls time and time again.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:40 PM EST up reply actions

It looks close

but for ever 1 punch Diego actually landed, he threw like 15 that missed.

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions

That’s true, but still, no one watching TV let alone sitting at the judges table is going to notice every single strike.

Diego missed a lot but Kampmann also wasn’t landing big power in the third, and using an aggressive style like that, will earn you the win.

Similar to the whole " keeping busy " while in top control. It’s just playing the game.

The main point is that it was not a robbery at all. Could have went either way.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:47 PM EST up reply actions

Jesus man, you are quite the slow one huh?

Why am I bringing up striking from a distance Letter? Are you keeping up or do you just like to argue to argue?

Let me spell it out for you.

p123 is bringing up Diego’s striking from distance for a reason.

The reason is, that generally Diego using a brawling high paced fight to get into slugfests to make up for his technical deficiencies, in both striking and wrestling.

He’s not the greatest wrestler or the greatest striker.

The problem with Diego’s style, is that Jake also enjoys to partake in a brawling style. What benefits him, is that he seems to have as much power as anyone has at WW.

Jake isn’t necessarily a great striker from distance either, but the whole aspect of Diego’s main weapons IE brawling closing the distance getting the takedown, generally fall right into the hands of Jake’s main weapons, and that Jake is more dangerous in this area.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:36 PM EST up reply actions

exactly

the only hole in Jake’s game is his cardio, and while Diego has the ability to exploit that i dont see it in a 3 round fight.

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 5:37 PM EST up reply actions

I'm not arguing with you at all...

everything I said from top to bottom is valid.

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions

I must say though, Diego’s chances are being undervalued in this forum.

Diego’s heart and cardio haven’t been factored in as much as they should, and people are overvaluing that Jake has a real chance to put Diego out cold.

It’s a bad fight for Diego, heck a bad fight for anyone right now, but Diego absolutely has a chance, I mean he’s Diego Sanchez, he is one scrappy dude.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 5:49 PM EST up reply actions

Exactly

Now you’re talking….

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 5:52 PM EST up reply actions

Lol, Diego fan much? I try not to let my like or dislike of a fighter sway a unbiased opinion. But generally in fights like this, I expect the masses to not look into it enough, and just determine Diego will win by a large percentage of people.

Popularity generally determines the consensus on these boards, and I’m just not down with any of that. Some guys really seem to know their stuff though.

I tell you I’d love to see another Diego vs Diaz fight, even though I didn’t see the first. But those are two guys who really put on a show man. I’m going to look that fight up now.

by p123 on Feb 12, 2012 6:08 PM EST up reply actions

No I'm not a fan of sanchez or any other fighter for that matter

I just hate for a fighter of his caliber to be overlooked by the new “flashy” name in the division.

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 6:21 PM EST up reply actions

why isn't this a five round fight?

I thought all headliners were 5 rounds nowadays?

by steady2wheels on Feb 12, 2012 3:36 PM EST up reply actions

not fx or fuel cards

which is extremely stupid imo

by The Pride on Feb 12, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions

would love to hear them explain the logic behind that

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 4:18 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Probably all comes down to time slots

with the main event only being 3 rounds, they can fit 5 fights on the televised portion of the card as opposed to the 4 you would normally see.

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by ShivanTiger on Feb 12, 2012 4:30 PM EST up reply actions

Diego Sanchez, 3rd Round Via YES Cartwheel

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Watch out Jake, you think you're in a Dream, but you're heading for a Nightmare.....

by kg12 on Feb 12, 2012 11:05 AM EST reply actions

Crazy how this guy would only have like 2 losses if he followed his own game plans.

Now, count up your crimes!

by Cyclonejoker on Feb 12, 2012 1:08 PM EST reply actions

So he's saying either one of them should win the fight?

Great fucking prediction

"I started out with a hundred tapes, if you wasn't down then get the fuck out my face" - South Park Mexican

by antone04 on Feb 12, 2012 2:08 PM EST via mobile reply actions

hahahah

I’m not sure why people love to give predictions anyway nobody knows the outcome of these fights

"I'm recognized for being a great fighter but more importantly a great father"-letter19

by letter19 on Feb 12, 2012 2:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Has ellenberger ever been rocked? Or hit with a good shot for that matter?

by zesotheclown on Feb 12, 2012 2:20 PM EST via mobile reply actions

Shields head butted his knee with bad intentions

bloody queef bubble

by wooly shambler on Feb 12, 2012 2:26 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Martin destroyed Diego

wouldnt be surprised if Juggernaut does the same thing and Diego wins via bs decision.

I am willing to test myself against the toughest fighters in the world, in front of hundreds of thousands or even millions of fans, over and over again. Sometimes I win, sometimes I lose, but I always come to fight. I've been doing this for the past fourteen years, and I have at least a few more strong years left in me. What have you done in the past fourteen years other than act like a moron on this forum and hang on Anderson's nuts? - Dan Henderson.

by elmojo on Feb 12, 2012 4:15 PM EST reply actions