Wake up, grab a brush, put on a little make up and turn on FUEL TV to watch some live ... fights?
The nearly month-long Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) drought ends this Saturday (Nov. 10, 2012) as the world's leading mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion invades the CotaiArena at the Venetian Macao Resort Hotel in Macau, China, for some early-morning violence.
At the tip of the spear are Rich Franklin and Cung Le, charging into battle in the five-round 185-pound main event for a spot in the Middleweight "mix." The rest of the card is loaded with Asian talent, from Dong Hyun Kim to Tiequan Zhang to Takanori Gomi.
And if you get enough coffee in you to open your eyes properly, you'll see some profit hiding just under the surface.
Follow me for a closer look at the odds behind UFC on Fuel TV 6: "Franklin vs. Le:"
UFC On FUEL TV 6 Odds For The Undercard:
Thoughts: The theme of this event is playing favorites. The only underdog I see who might be worth a bet is Tezuka, who is probably too much of a risk anywhere worse than +200. On the under card, your favorites of choice are Lim and Lineker.
Mitchell has every conceivable disadvantage in this fight. He’s smaller, rusty, on foreign soil and against someone he probably can’t take down with any regularity. Lim’s ground game is still the all-important question mark, but while Mitchell could conceivably work him on the mat, he doesn’t have the tools to put him there.
Lim at anywhere above -300 is worth it -- stick him in a parlay.
I won’t deny that Urushitani has the skill to run circles around Lineker, but he suffers from the same problem that sank Ivan Calderon against Giovani Segura and arguably did the same to Paulie Malignaggi against Pablo Cesar Cano: He doesn’t have the pop to keep Lineker off of him. Lineker is technically poor and lacking in defense, but he’s got endless cardio, a cinderblock for a skull, and he never stops punching.
He’ll get Urushitani eventually ... bank on it.
UFC On FUEL TV 6 Odds For The Main Card:
Takeya Mizugaki (-420) vs. Jeff Hougland (+300)
Jon Tuck (-280) vs. Tiequan Zhang (+200)
Mac Danzig (-255) vs. Takanori Gomi (+215)
Dong-Hyun Kim (-255) vs. Paulo Thiago (+215)
Thiago Silva (-360) vs. Stanislav Nedkov (+300)
Rich Franklin (-310) vs. Cung Le (+255)
Thoughts: Again, I’m not liking any of the underdogs. And as much as every fiber of my being wants to scream at you to take out a second mortgage, dump it all on Gomi, and live a life of luxury after he tears Danzig’s head clean off, I’m at least somewhat of a realist. "Stun Gun" is probably your most lucrative choice here, but keep an eye on Tuck because his line’s been fluctuating like crazy, and if you can catch him around -200, go BIG on him.
Might be worth a parlay as is, too.
Thiago’s a scrapper and I hope the promotion keeps him around, but he’s outgunned physically, doesn’t have the wrestling to counter Kim’s Judo, isn’t that great off his back, and just got completely pasted for the first time in his career. I really can’t think of any aspect of his game that can prevent violent Korean ownage.
Stick Kim in a parlay.
If Franklin’s odds get a bit better, he might be worth something, too. Le’s injured and has been filming a movie, and considering his two knockout losses have both come after spending time acting instead of training, that doesn't bode well.
UFC on FUEL TV 6 Best Bets:
- Single Bet: John Lineker -- Bet $50 to make $38.46
- Parlay: Dong-Hyun Kim and Hyun-Gyu Lim -- Bet $60 to make $55.04
- Parlay: Jon Tuck and Dong-Hyun Kim -- Bet $80 to make $71.43
Keep the Friday night shenanigans to a minimum, Maniacs because you're not going to want to miss this weekend's early morning fisticuffs.
See you Saturday.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC on FUEL TV 6: "Franklin vs. Le" results this Saturday morning, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.