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Top 5 Questions in 2012: Lightweight

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The 'Answer' in 2012 for current UFC lightweight champion Frankie Edgar was 'weather the storm'. In both his title defenses at UFC 125 and UFC 136 against rival Gray Maynard, a first round almost ended it all.

Edgar, wrestled his way back at UFC125 after losing the first round 10-8 or even 10-7 in some fans eyes. At UFC 136 in the highly anticipated rematch between the two-it followed the script. Maynard smashed Edgar with crisp boxing but once again couldn't finish the deal and in the fourth was a highlight reel notch on the New Jersey native's belt.

UFC 144: 'Japan' features former World Extreme Cagefighting (WEC) lightweight champion Ben Henderson vs. Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) lightweight champion Frankie Edgar. It's a true battle of the WEC's and UFC's lightweights on the ultimate proving ground.

Follow after the jump and see my five most poignant questions in 2012 for the lightweights

Star-divide

5. Who bounces back in 2012, Jim Miller or Melvin Guillard?

Regardless of what Melvin Guillard thinks of his future UFC on FX 1 main event fight with Jim Miller it will not be a number one contender fight.

Two of the divisions toughest fighters will look to claw back up that treacherous the stacked lightweight division. Both suffered devastating losses in the pursuit of gold. Jim Miller was beaten by current number one contender Ben Henderson after giving it his all but the size and wrestling of 'Bendo' was proven too much. Melvin Guillard was pretty cocky heading into his bout with Joe Lauzon and got blasted much like Jens Pulver did in his bout with 'J-Lau'. Not only was Guillard blasted but was also chocked out - ouch.

These two will now do battle against one another and it should be a doozie. Miller is the better grappler and is fairly well-rounded in comparison to Guillard. Guillard has powerful hands and pretty damn good takedown defence but his biggest issue is his mental. He comes into important fights driven by his cockiness or by being too emotional like in his bouts with rival Rich Clementi.

Who gets a W to start 2012?

4. Is Michael Chandler the 'real deal' ?

Bellator Fighting Championships (BFC) was treated to a classic war on the same level of Dan Henderson vs. Mauricio Rua. Former Bellator lightweight champion and top ten lightweight in the world was beaten by undefeated wrestler Michael Chandler.

Alvarez was even argued as the best lightweight in the world by some for his crisp boxing, power and dominant wrestling.

The Philly native got a wake up call when he was choked out in the fourth but he too left some reminders on the face of Chandler but he couldn't outlast the rising star. The question is, Can Chandler become the star he could actually be or will he fall in a possible rematch with Eddie Alvarez.

3. Will Nate Diaz win the title in 2012?

The 209's favorite little brother will be getting a lot of title talk after beating Donald Cerrone and setting a compustrike record by landing over 80% of his strikes.

Nate Diaz dropped from 170 pounds back to his regular weight of 155 pounds and put up two brilliant wins. At UFC 135 he smashed Takanori Gomi with a picture perfect display of his striking and submission game. At UFC 141 he outboxed a somewhat tentative Donald Cerrone.

With Melvin Guillard vs. Jim Miller and Anthony Pettis vs. Joe Lauzonset in stone it appears that after Ben Henderson that Nate maybe the best option for a future number one contender. Clay Guida lost a big chance against Ben Henderson and he holds a win over Nate Diaz. Gray Maynard couldn't overcome Frankie Edgar and as long as Edgar is champion, don't expect a fourth tilt. That and we don't know where in the world Sean Sherk is.

An intriguing match up may be a fight with Kenny Florian who is expected to return to lightweight. The fight may not occur though as it would jeopardize a fresh contender and implement notorious choker Kenny Florian right back in the picture.

Will Nate jump the herd?

2. Will Gilbert Melendez make the jump?

Ask yourself this, "What is left for Melendez in Strikeforce?"

He is 20-2 and hasn't lost since 2008 to a very game Josh Thomson which was his only loss under the Strikeforce banner. He has won on the big stage which included a classic against Tatsuya Kawajiri at Pride Shockwave 2006. He has been a stud and with the last remaining viable threat at lightweight being Caros Fedor it may be a damn good time to get him over to the UFC.

With Frankie Edgar and Ben Henderson settling their differences at UFC 144 there's still a long time for a possible 2012 showdown.

Is this the year?

1. Will Frankie Edgar survive 2012 as champion

Frankie Edgar had to withstand two brutal rounds in 2011 at the unlikely hands of Gray Maynard. It what was suppose to be his stronghold of boxing, it was Maynard who laid powerful shots on him.

Edgar survived round one of UFC 125 and UFC 136 he rose like a phoenix and blasted his most impressive stoppage in quite sometime. In 2012 he starts off the year with a former WEC lightweight champion who is very well rounded. Ben Henderson has been a force since getting 'showtime kicked' and has started a bandwagon around MMAmania.

With possible showdowns should he survive UFC 144 with Nate Diaz and Gilbert Melendez it appears his 2012 will need him to find the 'Answer'.

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5. miller. Guillard is back on the crack, it’s pretty obvious from his no. 1 contender comment. Also, jim has a granite chin and will survive melvis’ early onslaught and eventually will get te choke.
4. i don’t know but he looks to be solid talent, time will tell if he turns out to be great
3. no, impossible. Wrestlers rule that division and nate ain’t got enough of it. His mental game will only work on emotional people and frankie nor maynard are one of them (though he got maynard to fight somewhat stupid last time), bendo has enough wrestling to get by him and he’s unsubmmitable
2. saddly he won’t, unless he takes a dive. Zuffa needs him to be the driving force behind strikeforce and that will hinder his chances at ufc gold
1. no, bendo ftw!

pride never die.

by vhw_ on Jan 3, 2012 2:15 PM EST reply actions  

Guillard is back on the crack

I’m in tears laughing at this

"with a good physique and explosiveness anybody can perform a takedown"
-RoBerto

by Lesnar's striking coach on Jan 3, 2012 2:23 PM EST up reply actions  

5. Jim Miller, eakes out a win and taps Guillard on grinds him out
4. Chandler is legit, If Alvarez wins the next LW Tourney I can’t wait to see that.
3.No he’s way to inconsistent and he refuses to train take down defense.
2. Nope him and Cyborg are the poster children for Strikeforce now.
1.Yes Bendo’s wrestling isn’t ready for Frankie’s pop in pop out style, Edgar’s gonna get the UD while he outstrikes Bendo for 5 rounds. Pettis gets grounded for 5 rounds, Miller gets outstruck for 5 rounds and Nate gets dominated like BJ Penn.

NOVA UNIAO
Tomas Taverin Def. Jander Yenn via TKO(Punches) at 0:54 of RD 1!

by CharactersAnalysis on Jan 3, 2012 2:48 PM EST reply actions  

3. I’ve been saying for a long time Nate will be the champion. His height, reach and boxing will give the top ranked guys problems. Similar to Nick, guys will struggle with Nate in a 5 round fight due to his superior cardio.

He just set the record for landing the most strikes in a 3 round fight. That’s a clear indication that Nate is coming into his own. Cerrone was up there with the top ranked guys and schooled him.

Wrestlers will have success in the first rounds against Nate, but as the fight goes on he’ll have the advantage everywhere.

Bobby Southworth

by danago on Jan 3, 2012 2:54 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

1. Jim Miller bounces back with a win, Guillard continues to squander his talents.
2. Chandler will continue to wallow in obscurity until he fights in a real MMA league
3. Nate Diaz will get a title shot, but I don’t know if he can defeat the champion
4. Melendez will make the jump if the UFC LW seems cleaned out by Edgar
5. I don’t see anyone beating Edgar, his heart and cardio are irrepressible

by unambig on Jan 3, 2012 3:11 PM EST reply actions  

1- Jim Miller. The jury is in on Guillard, and he will never be good because he doesn’t have it between the ears.
2- Chandler is better than Alvarez. What that means is unknown. They fight in the little leagues.
3-Diaz should be next. He will likely lose to Edgar though. Will be interesting to see another cardio beast against Edgar though.
4-Melendez will probably be stuck in SF for a while. He is one of the only draws there and LW is stacked. Plus he just signed a SF contract I believe. They wouldn’t have done that if they were planning on moving him IMO.
5-Edgar all the way. I can’t bet against him again. The guy is a beast.

"He's got a great package... and an unusual one!" Joe Rogan (of Lyoto Machida)

by crizzy on Jan 3, 2012 3:37 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah Nate should get it
This be a nice year for the champions to defend atleast twice or see the title defended twice this year.

"with a good physique and explosiveness anybody can perform a takedown"
-RoBerto

by Lesnar's striking coach on Jan 4, 2012 7:46 AM EST up reply actions  

1. No Bendo will be champ soon

Here do I swear fealty and service to Choro, the mightiest and most hung of all Maniacs. In trolling or absence. In living or dying. From this hour henceforth, until my Lord release me…or the banhammer…take me.

PS: thats me in my avatar pic get at me at www.myspace.com/lonelycuriousemo ;)

by freenow82 on Jan 3, 2012 7:23 PM EST reply actions  

1. Bendo wins the title so nope.
2. Yes when he beats 2 or 3 more guys over there, him and Bendo will have their superfight
3.Nope, sucks against wrestlers and that’s pretty much the entire top end of LW.
4. Alvarez beats him in a rematch
5. Neither win the belt, Miller survives a wins a split decision over Guillard

Coal Mining at it's best!

by Coal Miner on Jan 3, 2012 9:40 PM EST reply actions  

Frankie won’t survive 2012 if he fights three times.

by p123 on Jan 3, 2012 11:37 PM EST reply actions  

This was my favourite of the series, probably because there are so many of my favourite fighters in this division. Do you do these every year LSC? If not they should definitely be a regular feature.

MMA is like a puzzle, it's just a matter of finding a solution to each situation.

by The Ruiner on Jan 4, 2012 5:14 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks man, i shall try and remember. It’s a shame that most promotions hold no water at the moment or i would ahve added more in terms of promotional diversity.

"with a good physique and explosiveness anybody can perform a takedown"
-RoBerto

by Lesnar's striking coach on Jan 4, 2012 7:45 AM EST up reply actions  

5. Jim Miller. He’s too good of a fighter not to.

4. Yes. He just beat the 2nd best 155er in the sport. He is definitely for real.

3. No. Diaz would get raped by Edgar.

2. No. Now that Strike Force is ‘back’, they need whatever star power they can get. Besides, Melendez would get crushed by the UFC 155ers.

1. Yes. I can’t see anyone in the UFC right now that beats Edgar.

TFK

Check out the MMA Forums at http://www.boxingfanatics.com/forums/f24/

by TFK on Jan 7, 2012 11:13 AM EST reply actions  


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