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Behind the UFC on FOX 2 numbers: Rashad Evans vs. Phil Davis fight complete statistical breakdown

UFC light heavyweights Rashad Evans and Phil Davis face off at UFC on FOX 2, on Jan. 28, 2012, at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois.

This Sat., Jan. 28, 2012, Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) light heavyweight standouts Rashad Evans and Phil Davis will duke it out at UFC on Fox 2 in Chicago, Illinois, for the opportunity to face current division champion Jon Jones.

It's been a long time coming for "Suga," who's been engaged in a long running war of words with "Bones." Their beef can be traced all the way back to the moment Jones agreed to fight Evans, his former friend and training partner.

For "Mr. Wonderful," he's been given no guarantee for a title shot if he is to emerge victorious. He's the underdog as far as the odds are concerned, but the 9-0 Davis has every intention of keeping his spotless record just that.

Regardless of who comes out on top, the main event is certain to be full of fireworks and thrilling highlights for mixed martial arts (MMA) fans who tune in.

After the jump, we'll give you a close look behind the numbers of Rashad Evans vs. Phil Davis:

Star-divide

The number crunchers at CompuStrike took the time to dig deep into the fight annals and retrieve the stats that build the framework for this fight. The numbers collected have been based on 13 fight averages for Rashad Evans and five fight averages for Phil Davis.

Both of these gentlemen are known for their high wrestling pedigree, but neither is necessarily afraid to stand and trade. Who do the numbers show to be the better all-around striker?

Total Strikes:

Evans -- 45 of 97
Davis -- 55 of 107

Percentage:

Evans -- 46 percent
Davis -- 51 percent

Total Power Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 28
Davis -- 41

Total Non-Power Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 17
Davis -- 14

If you're like me, you're a little floored by those findings. Davis looks to land more often, be more precise and land more power shots.

How about when you isolate the punches and elbows?

Total Arm Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 22 of 61
Davis -- 2 of 19

Percentage of Arm Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 36 percent
Davis -- 11 percent

Power Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 12
Davis -- 2

Non-Power Strikes Landed

Evans -- 10
Davis -- 0

That sounds a little bit more like it. Davis has said that he's not nervous about trading shots with Evans, but the numbers strongly suggest that a boxing match would not be in his favor.

Here's what the leg strike picture looks like:

Total Leg Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 4 of 5
Davis -- 14 of 21

Percentage of Leg Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 80 percent
Davis -- 72 percent

Power Leg Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 3
Davis -- 8

Non-Power Leg Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 1
Davis -- 6

Based on this data, Evans appears to be a bit more accurate, but Davis is more active and scores more with power.

Finally, the aspect everyone is most curious: The ground game.

Let's check it out:

Ground Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 19 of 31
Davis -- 39 of 66

Percentage:

Evans -- 61 percent
Davis -- 62 percent

Power Ground Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 13
Davis -- 31

Non-Power Ground Strikes Landed:

Evans -- 6
Davis -- 8

Takedowns:

Evans --45 of 69 (65 percent)
Davis -- 16 of 26 (62 percent)

Submission Attempts:

Evans -- 0
Davis -- 3

Dominant Positions:

Evans -- 21
Davis -- 27

The advantage very much appears to be tilting towards Davis. They're both great wrestlers, but if the fight hits the mat, Evans may be in trouble.

What do these statistics do for you? Does any of the data surprise you or is it about what you expected? Share your (now) well-informed opinions with us in the comments section below.

For everything else you need to know about the clash between Rashad Evans vs. Phil Davis, be sure to check out our complete fight archive right here.

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Davis for the win

I, along with many others, have been saying for a while that Jon Jones and Phil Davis are on a collision course. I honestly believe the guy who can beat Bones is Mr Wonderful, and on the flip side, the guy who can beat Mr Wonderful is bones.

Davis is going to surprise some people tomorrow night with his ability to dictate the striking.

Davis via sub in the 3rd, when Rashad gasses… again.

by Craig15 on Jan 27, 2012 8:20 PM EST reply actions  

Wonderful is a poor mans bones

less gifted just about all around, but Jones is so damn good – so that makes Wonderful a dangerous man for any other 205’er

you should totally twitter that on your facebook

by ~Peregrine on Jan 27, 2012 9:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t see Davis beating Evans. I don’t think his MMA wrestling is as good due to how well Rashad mixes up strikes and wrestling. We shall see, perhaps Davis can take his game to a whole other level. He will have to in order to win this.

"He's got a great package... and an unusual one!" Joe Rogan (of Lyoto Machida)

by crizzy on Jan 27, 2012 11:01 PM EST up reply actions  

NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERDS!

"You should study pokemon to get stronger." -Kazushi Sakuraba

by Saku! on Jan 28, 2012 1:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Great stuff Gumby

Davis is going to shock the world, with strong offensve wrestling, smoothe transitions, and sub attempts while being defensive and quick to transition on the feet.

Coming out Party.

Any and all sig bets welcome.

You have been banned from Bloody Elbow.
I don’t know what you said, but I don’t like you.
12/22/11
"You actually got banned 3 times in 2 minutes by 3 different people"

by *Californication* on Jan 27, 2012 8:34 PM EST reply actions  

'coming out party'

that’s what they called it when my cousin introduced us all to his philipino ’boy’friend

by steady2wheels on Jan 27, 2012 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, Phil did go to Penn State.

You have been banned from Bloody Elbow.
I don’t know what you said, but I don’t like you.
12/22/11
"You actually got banned 3 times in 2 minutes by 3 different people"

by *Californication* on Jan 27, 2012 8:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Sorry

after seeing davis vs little nog, Im off the hype train

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Jan 28, 2012 1:25 AM EST reply actions  


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