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Latest UFC on FOX 2 odds and betting guide for 'Evans vs Davis' in Chicago

Think Rashad Evans will have much to smile about after his main event fight against Phil Davis at UFC on FOX 2 this Saturday night? If so, put your money where your mouth is and place a bet. Photo of Evans by Esther Lin for MMA Fighting.

They’re ready for their close ups.

This Saturday (Jan. 28, 2012), Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will once again hit the big stage, making its second trip to the primetime airwaves of the FOX nationwide television network.

Leading the way will be Rashad Evans and Phil Davis, who have yet to be at a loss for words when espousing their inevitable victories. In addition, British Baron of Braggadocio Michael Bisping will take on Lord Loudmouth Chael Sonnen to earn the next crack at middleweight champion Anderson Silva, while Chris Weidman steps up on short notice to face the Brazilian jiu-jitsu demon, Demian Maia.

All in all, we have a fantastic set of fights awaiting us this Saturday at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois. And where there’s awesome fights, there’s money to be made.

Join us after the break for an in-depth look at the odds behind UFC on FOX 2: "Evans vs. Davis" as we examine the betting lines for the upcoming myriad mixed martial arts (MMA) match ups:

Star-divide

UFC on FOX 2 Odds for the Under Card:

Chris Camozzi (-170) vs. Dustin Jacoby (+140)
Joey Beltran (-225) vs. Lavar Johnson (+175)
Shane Roller (-260) vs. Michael Johnson (+200)
Charles Oliveira (-600) vs. Eric Wisely (+400)
Cub Swanson (-145) vs. George Roop (+115)
Mike Russow (-150) vs. Jon Olav Einemo (+120)
Evan Dunham (-400) vs. Nik Lentz (+300)

Thoughts: Some tempting underdogs and profitable favorites -- I like it.

As far as favorites go, your best bets are Dunham and Camozzi. Dunham pretty much does everything better than Lentz and should be able to handle him in much the same fashion that Mark Bocek did, if not even more one-sidedly. The Camozzi pick is based on Jacoby’s outright incompetence in his Octagon debut, and while I’ve definitely seen the sort of exponential leap between fights Jacoby would have had to make to be competitive in the UFC happen (cough, cough, Alex Caceres, cough), Camozzi still strikes me as a bargain anywhere better than -200.

The two underdogs I have my eye on are Roop and Einemo. While Roop is painfully inconsistent, Swanson is even more so. And unlike Cub, Roop can say he arguably beat the consensus number two-ranked featherweight in the world in Hatsu Hioki. Roop is the better striker of the two and excels at using his reach to nullify his opponents at range.

I’m quite confident he’ll defeat Swanson, and is worth a straight bet as an underdog.

Though Einemo looked pretty mediocre against Dave Herman in his UFC debut, that doesn’t change the fact that Russow’s primary weapon is his grappling and "The Viking" has won gold at ADCC. This one strikes me as a favorable style match up for the durable Einemo, who has shaken off the built-up ring rust and should be able to take care of himself wherever the fight goes. Put some straight money on "The Viking."

UFC on FOX 2 Odds for the Main Card:

Chris Weidman (-150) vs. Demian Maia (+120)
Chael Sonnen (-400) vs. Michael Bisping (+300)
Rashad Evans (-210) vs. Phil Davis (+170)

Thoughts: Again, some nice match ups -- let’s see what’s under the hood.

While I would have preferred that Maia open up as the favorite, Weidman still strikes me as a profitable bet. Weidman is a bonafide grappling prodigy -- after two years on the mat, he held his own against Andre Galvao (the same Andre Galvao who beat Rousimar Palhares and won the absolute division this year). He’s only gotten better since then. This is probably going to come back to bite me in the future, but I’ll say it anyway:

Weidman is champion material. It won’t be easy, but he WILL beat Maia this Saturday. Put your money on it.

I have no doubt in my mind that Chael Sonnen is more than capable of winning his fight with Michael Bisping with ease. I doubt "The Count" can stay on his feet and I’m practically certain he has nothing to offer Sonnen off his back. Still, Sonnen has too many submissions losses for me to put money on him against anyone at -400, so I recommend steering clear of this fight.

Even at -210, there’s still money to be made on Rashad Evans. Not only is he far more proven than Davis and a black belt in his own right, but Davis has been out of the cage for more than 10 months, which is the longest fightless stretch of his career. Evans’ stand up is solid, superior to Davis’s, and their wrestling should cancel out or at the very least only favor Davis slightly. I’m always wary about Evans fighting because his chin (while not glass by any means, is definitely questionable), but Davis doesn’t have the stand up tools to exploit that.

Go big on Evans, in conjunction with a smaller favorite elsewhere on the card.

My UFC on Fox 2 Best Bets:

  • Parlay: Chris Weidman and Evan Dunham -- Bet $20 to make $21.67
  • Single Bet: John Olav Einemo -- Bet $40 to make $48
  • Single Bet: George Roop -- Bet $40 to make $46
  • Parlay: Rashad Evans and Chris Camozzi -- Bet $70.32 to make $94.55

Two fights with title implications and a fight between two of the most decorated grapplers in the middleweight division ... all in one night? Works for me.

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC on FOX 2 results this Saturday, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you've got riding on the sportsbook.

See you then, Maniacs.

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Agree with most

but the comment about Rashads chin has me pretty bamboozled. He recovers from a shot better than anybody else in the division and just because he has been stopped once by Lyoto he has a weak chin…cumon dude, bigger picture

Sakuraba beats Silva, Aoki would beat Miller and Vitor Belfort didn't deserve his title shot - In my opinion, the craziest points I've read on this site...

by Honkleton7 on Jan 25, 2012 11:09 PM EST reply actions  

rashads chin is suspect imo

it rarely gets hit, but when it does he gets wobbly

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 25, 2012 11:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Boycott the UFC immediately

If they want to support shitty, unconstitutional legislature like SOPA, dont use their product, they will get the message : http://maddox.xmission.com/

by xquisitewretch on Jan 26, 2012 12:01 AM EST up reply actions  

lame.

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 26, 2012 12:08 AM EST up reply actions  

tough call on Maia Vs Weidman

It’s one thing being a topnotch Jits guy it’s another thing translating that into MMA… whereas many other great jits guys have failed in MMA Maia has suceeded using his jits in dominate fashion

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 25, 2012 11:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I can see that happening...

most of the danger will be off the intial takedown attempt by weidman, it may be safer for weidman to drive maia against the cage and use dirty boxing to tire maia out and keep the fight away from the center of the cage where maia probably has a boxing advantage, if maia subs him it will be in the 1st rnd… otherwise I think Weidman tires maia out middle of 2nd rnd and starts to hit effective takedowns being sweaty and Maia being tired.

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 25, 2012 11:48 PM EST up reply actions  

it doesn't have to be the first round for maia to get a sub.

i think the longer it goes the better chance maia has to get a sub..

maia too slick to let sweat affect his jits game..

maia is winning this fight regardless.

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 PM EST up reply actions  

not bad stumberg..

2 weeks in a row I mostly agree with your picks. Einemo vs Russow is a tough one to call,,, russows Div 1 wrestling should be able to stuff Enimo’s takedowns,,, but I like Enimo’s knees in the clinch and russow likes to clinch alot against the cage but he’s not really as rough in that position as he should be, I think Einemo will be the more active of the two in the clinch. I think Russow has better cardio and the fact that russow is hard to finish may take this fight into the 3rd rnd, where russow could have the advantage

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 25, 2012 11:14 PM EST reply actions  

expect einemo to gas out late 2nd..

russow will get a tko victory in the 3rd.

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah.. call me now for your free psychic reading.

sorry i guess i should have put imo before my comment..

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 26, 2012 12:33 AM EST up reply actions  

its all good

I do it to everyone that words their opinions like that

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Jan 26, 2012 1:39 AM EST up reply actions  

Except me cause I really know the future

209stk is the smartest poster on mania i will never doubt him or anyone from stockton ever again them boys out there are BEASTS
….nick and nate diaz will b champs this year and all the haters can elat a bloody vag…ultimatehuggingchamp is the biggest dumbfuck around and licks the sweat of my balls….STOCKTON 209…..y u mad 4 suckas!

by wooly shambler on Jan 26, 2012 1:56 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

if you will never doubt someone from stockton 'ever again'

i suggest you take my opinion over your future telling.

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 26, 2012 2:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I support stockton as a matter of fact Im going there tonight to watch a wrestling duel

Nate diaz also stops by Delta College to roll with Sandler’s team now n then..

on Emo hard to predict whether emo will tire from russow or not, the only reason emo tired with herman because they were pushing an explosive striking pace, russow is a small 250 lbr with lots of fat, he’s has a more consistent pace like an average heavy trains for and emo should use elbows and knees while against the cage this might tire russow out more than we think, emo should have good takedown defense and he’s a pretty damn big heavy this will make him even more difficult to takedown… im conflicted here

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 26, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

ahh wooly

Dont you remember when me and you ran the Rampage bandwagon for the 135 fight….good times

Thats how I know you dont know the future

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Jan 26, 2012 2:07 AM EST up reply actions  

lol

Jesus H Christ, how many times i gotta pay the price, too scared of death will make you twice as scared of life.

by stinky~fingers on Jan 26, 2012 2:09 AM EST up reply actions  

That was all heart , I ignored my super powers haha

209stk is the smartest poster on mania i will never doubt him or anyone from stockton ever again them boys out there are BEASTS
….nick and nate diaz will b champs this year and all the haters can elat a bloody vag…ultimatehuggingchamp is the biggest dumbfuck around and licks the sweat of my balls….STOCKTON 209…..y u mad 4 suckas!

by wooly shambler on Jan 26, 2012 2:16 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

me too

I actually picked jones in the freepool back then

One can't be Catholic, and a grown up

by ItalianStallion54 on Jan 26, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions  

So what happened with the Cain/JDS fight? Turn the power off again?

Lol. Wooly, something about your name just makes me want to troll you. I can’t put my finger on it. I think it might be because I didn’t think someone can have a name that’s worse than mine, until you came along.

My dingleberry.

by xMMAxTYSONxMMA on Jan 26, 2012 4:12 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

If Rashad loses, I will forever hold him in disdain

I also see some money in Michael Johnson. He destroyed the guy he fought after the finale and was doing good against sass til he decided to dick around in his guard.

by 05vette on Jan 25, 2012 11:37 PM EST reply actions  

ur a sharp one there 05vette.. a lot of people are overlooking johnson he’s gotten explosive and his hand are freakin accurate and fast nowadays, but the longer the fight goes the more it favors a scrappy Roller

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 25, 2012 11:40 PM EST reply actions  

Cammozzi (-170)
Roop (115)
Einemo (120)

Parlay Risk $20 to get $130.25! Fuck yea

13-5 in SigBetting on MMALInker!
"No man can Fuck a crazy chick into sanity"

by 420mike on Jan 26, 2012 12:01 AM EST reply actions  

Not a bad bet at all. Einemo and Roop are verrrry live underdogs. Especially Roop.

In my opinion, Michael Johnson at +200 is a fantastic bet and I’m definitely putting some money down on him.

by TheMuscleShark on Jan 26, 2012 12:40 AM EST up reply actions  

i agree

Got johnsom parlayed with oliviera. Bet10 to win 27

Chubby chasin johnson fan. I foolishly picked an unproven middleweight over belfort. And now i'm stuck with this sig for 2 weeks.

by goldmouth on Jan 26, 2012 8:26 AM EST up reply actions  

oliviera at -500 and not dunham -350 on your 2 fight parlay?

not quite as safe a bet but I dont think anyone see Lentz winning.. now go an caculate that n see if the risk is worth the reward

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 26, 2012 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

You know who Rashad was fighting when he was 9-0? Sean Salmon

Times have changed…Davis deserves to be in there with Rashad

by Starr788 on Jan 26, 2012 1:11 AM EST reply actions  

Nice breakdown.

I love Weidman at -150. I don’t see him having any trouble with Maia. I expect them to be fairly even on the feet, but for Weidman to be conservative yet imposing on the ground to win a clear UD.

But I have to disagree with you regarding Bisping/Sonnen. I think Sonnen is going to have a much more difficult time taking the fight to the ground (and keeping it there) than most people assume. Bisping has some of the best TDD at 185, and is also notoriously difficult to keep on his back. He also has a pretty impressive defensive guard. I think he has a very decent change to keep the fight standing long enough to outwork Sonnen en route to a UD.

I also agree that Rashad is much more polished than Davis. Phil’s striking is still relatively rudimentary, and the only area I think he has a definitive advantage is BJJ (which I don’t really expect will come into play in the fight). But I don’t really like Rashad below -200. I think Davis is too good to be better than a 2-1 dog.

"Before I do anything I ask myself, "Would an idiot do that?" And if the answer is yes, I do not do that thing." - Dwight Schrute

by TheGreg on Jan 26, 2012 1:31 AM EST reply actions  

I have no idea how Roop is the underdog...

hes huge and a better striker imo

Pro Sig record:12-6
1 Month sig bet with 10th Degree Whitebelt that DJ does NOT win the FLW tournament
Sig bet with KaleJohnCox on Alves-Kamp. ALVES
STOCKTON MOTHERFUCKERS

by The Pride on Jan 26, 2012 7:00 AM EST reply actions  

Yeah, love this event for betting

Nice write up again Johnny. Some nice underdogs and favourites. I can’t help but be super confident in Chael and Rashad winning.

by grapplefan on Jan 26, 2012 7:43 AM EST reply actions  

for sure

I gotta nice 4 fight parlay of sonnen,evans,roop,andJOE.bet 15 to win 116

Chubby chasin johnson fan. I foolishly picked an unproven middleweight over belfort. And now i'm stuck with this sig for 2 weeks.

by goldmouth on Jan 26, 2012 8:24 AM EST up reply actions  

sweeeet

Put Johnson, JOE, Roop in with Rashad and Chael and your onto a winner. Great card for it.

by grapplefan on Jan 26, 2012 8:40 AM EST up reply actions  

1 of the first 3 depending on who you like.

My site is bollocks, only the odds for the 3 main fights. UUUrgh. I’m gonna switch to 5dimes I think soon.

I said I wouldn’t bet on Weidman but i’ve got a large amount on Rashad and Chael.
Another 3 fight parlay, Rashad, Chael and Weidman = 15 = 45 pounds odd.

If Rashad or Chael lose i’m screwed … but i’ll take the chance until I can bet on more than 3 fights. If there’s time for the gamble it’s now.

by grapplefan on Jan 26, 2012 8:42 AM EST up reply actions  

what site are you on?

Might want to try bovada. It works pretty good for me.

Chubby chasin johnson fan. I foolishly picked an unproven middleweight over belfort. And now i'm stuck with this sig for 2 weeks.

by goldmouth on Jan 26, 2012 8:46 AM EST up reply actions  

can't from UK

bet 365 mate, I did use sportsinteraction but they fucked up my bet for me, they made a mistake and posted Bis as the favourite so I made a sick parlay with Brandao. When the fight ended I got the payback as if Bis was the favourite and I hedged the bet so ended up losing money.

Had the payout on my betslip as if Bis was the favourite and everything. Haven’t had any other problems but they wouldn’t move from their stance at all so … fuck em

Just wanted to ask if anybody else had clocked Diaz in this picture? He looks likes he’s been on the chron all day before the photoshoot.

by grapplefan on Jan 26, 2012 8:52 AM EST up reply actions  

look at the odds on 5 dimes and bovada and caculate your bet on both sites

sign up with the one that offers you the best odds… I personally use betus, 5dimes and bovada to get the best possible odds on my picks…

I think dunham is a better parlay filler than sonnen and he can be gotten for -350

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 26, 2012 3:53 PM EST up reply actions  

if all you can get is 5 dimes and not bovada it's worth it

you could use betus to balance any picks that gives funky odds… betus is not as fast to put up a full card as other fights are, but they do offer some better odds on certain fighters but not as good as 5dimes and bovada overall

"Did you know that if you mix equal parts
of gasoline and equal parts frozen orange juice
concentrate, you can make napalm?"

by THORAZINE on Jan 26, 2012 3:58 PM EST up reply actions  


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