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UFC on FX 1: Duane Ludwig vs Josh Neer prediction and preview

Duane Ludwig (left) will take on Josh Neer in tonight's co-main event for UFC on FX 1 live in Nashville, Tennessee. Photo for Combat Lifestyle by Tracy Lee.

The co-main event of tonight's (Jan. 20, 2012) UFC on FX 1 event, which is the Ultimate Fighting Championship's (UFC) debut on the cable network channel, will feature two streaking welterweights in Josh Neer and Duane Ludwig.

Both are currently enjoying win streaks with Ludwig having won his last two under the UFC banner and Neer having reeled off five straight victories, with four coming in smaller promotions outside the Octagon.

After making a successful return after receiving an invite back to the world's largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion at UFC on Versus 4, "The Dentist" hopes to become a mainstay in the wide open welterweight division.

Ludwig on the other hand, has earned back-to-back victories against Nick Osipczak and Amir Sadollah after previously losing two consecutive in the UFC.

After finally receiving his long awaited recognition as the true owner of the fastest knockout in UFC history, "Bang" can't sit back and enjoy his new-found placement in the record books and must instead focus on keeping his momentum going against a very tough Neer.

Make the jump for a complete breakdown of the UFC on FX 1 co-main event between Duane Ludwig and Josh Neer.

Star-divide

THE BREAKDOWN

Josh Neer has proven he can be a very competitive MMA fighter, winning seven out of his last eight bouts since his last release from the promotion. His only loss during that stint came to former Bellator lightweight champion Eddie Alvarez.

Neer is one of those fighters who is not great at one particular discipline, but can definitely mix together just enough to catch you with a submission or knock you out if need be.

Having recently spent time training with the Cesar Gracie crew which includes Nick Diaz, Nate Diaz, Gilbert Melendez and Jake Shields, it’s safe to assume that his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) skills and boxing could have improved.

If nothing else, his overall toughness surely rose a bit, if that's even possible.

Duane Ludwig is coming off an impressive unanimous decision win over former Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winner Amir Sadollah at UFC on Versus 5 this past August, which upped his win streak to two in a row.

Ludwig, much like his opponent, prefers to keep the fight on the feet. If he has an advantage over Neer, it may be his striking, even though "The Dentist" isn’t necessarily opposed to getting in a stand up brawl.

If the fight goes to the ground, this is where things get a bit more interesting.

Neer isn’t a jiu-jitsu black belt by any stretch of the imagination, but he can pull off a submission victory if the chance presents itself. This will be Neer’s best chance to pull off a finish as "Bang" has proven that his submission defense isn’t the greatest by losing his last three bouts via submission.

Furthermore, Ludwig’s last submission victory came over four years ago.

PREDICTION

This fight will come down to who is the most aggressive.

Both are proven hard-nosed veterans who aren’t afraid to test the waters on the feet or the ground. This fight won’t be pretty, but a relentless Neer will out work Ludwig in all areas of the game.

Ludwig’s best chance at victory is to try and keep his distance and pick apart Neer on the feet. I just don’t see it happening as Neer isn’t opposed to eating a couple of shots in order to get a hold of you or deliver a few strikes of his own.

As proven strikers, oddly enough, I don’t anticipate this fight to stay on the feet very long with Neer going for an early takedown and keeping Ludwig on the mat for the majority of the fight, doing enough to earn a unanimous decision victory.

Prediction: Josh Neer defeats Duane Ludwig via unanimous decision

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I've got the same pick but I think Neer might win by submission

good breakdown

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Jan 20, 2012 4:40 PM EST reply actions  

BANG!

NOVA UNIAO
Tomas Taverin Def. Jander Yenn via TKO(Punches) at 0:54 of RD 1!

by CharactersAnalysis on Jan 20, 2012 4:43 PM EST reply actions  

Feuer frei BANG BANG !!

209stk is the smartest poster on mania i will never doubt him or anyone from stockton ever again them boys out there are BEASTS
….nick and nate diaz will b champs this year and all the haters can elat a bloody vag…ultimatehuggingchamp is the biggest dumbfuck around and licks the sweat of my balls….STOCKTON 209…..y u mad 4 suckas!

by wooly shambler on Jan 20, 2012 4:55 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

German ehh.

I think Bang wins this one, Josh Neer loses to more than just wrestlers, he loses to better strikers- (Duane), Better submission guys and elite fighters. Bang is gonna take this fight, he’s an old dog, but he’s starting to learn some new tricks.

NOVA UNIAO
Tomas Taverin Def. Jander Yenn via TKO(Punches) at 0:54 of RD 1!

by CharactersAnalysis on Jan 20, 2012 5:03 PM EST up reply actions  

hahahaha they crack me up ^

What did you think id look like...
be honest aha - Me

I pictured you as a mid size fair skinned englishman
Not this furry majestic stack of pancakes - Scottidog

LMAO

by Rampagelangford on Jan 20, 2012 5:29 PM EST up reply actions  

8=Danago likes the REEM JOB.

by OilCheck on Jan 20, 2012 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

What did you think id look like...
be honest aha - Me

I pictured you as a mid size fair skinned englishman
Not this furry majestic stack of pancakes - Scottidog

LMAO

by Rampagelangford on Jan 20, 2012 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

8=Danago likes the REEM JOB.

by OilCheck on Jan 20, 2012 5:39 PM EST up reply actions  

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "fag" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Jan 20, 2012 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

lol

formerly ZuffaAttacks

by somnium on Jan 20, 2012 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "fag" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Jan 20, 2012 5:55 PM EST up reply actions  

You are banned from Bloody Elbow.
You can browse the blog, but you can't participate.

Insulting staff and using the word "fag" are both completely inappropriate. So long.

by randallhumpfreeze on Jan 20, 2012 5:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Bitta Rammstein nice one!

What did you think id look like...
be honest aha - Me

I pictured you as a mid size fair skinned englishman
Not this furry majestic stack of pancakes - Scottidog

LMAO

by Rampagelangford on Jan 20, 2012 5:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Yo Dudes , how do you watch a stream on the iPhone? I’m going to be on the road , looking to still watch!

by p123 on Jan 20, 2012 6:43 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I'd say your take on Bang is a little sketchy
Ludwig, much like his opponent, isn’t a specialist in one given area, but prefers to keep the fight on the feet. If he has an advantage over Neer, it may be his striking,

Muay Thai champ and professional K-1 kickboxer that beat Malaipet?

by Dallas Winston on Jan 20, 2012 5:10 PM EST reply actions  

Have to agree Adam, you crazy ass hell for that one.

He IS a better striker than Josh Neer

NOVA UNIAO
Tomas Taverin Def. Jander Yenn via TKO(Punches) at 0:54 of RD 1!

by CharactersAnalysis on Jan 20, 2012 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

on paper yes

but i think Neer’s pressure at determination will win him the standup

Pro Sig record:11-5
1 Month sig bet with 10th Degree Whitebelt that DJ does NOT win the FLW tournament
Sig bet with KaleJohnCox on Alves-Kamp. ALVES
Sig bet with letstalkmma on Shafer-Rivera SHAFER
STOCKTON MOTHERFUCKERS

by The Pride on Jan 20, 2012 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

saw this too

he is a perfect example of a specialist.

Pro Sig record:11-5
1 Month sig bet with 10th Degree Whitebelt that DJ does NOT win the FLW tournament
Sig bet with KaleJohnCox on Alves-Kamp. ALVES
Sig bet with letstalkmma on Shafer-Rivera SHAFER
STOCKTON MOTHERFUCKERS

by The Pride on Jan 20, 2012 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I thought that was odd

but he still has Neer winning which is the same as my pick. But yeah it was still a good overall breakdown

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Jan 20, 2012 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

dually noted fellas, hanks!

by Adam Guillen Jr. on Jan 20, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

lol

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Jan 20, 2012 6:02 PM EST up reply actions  

love this fight

I think Bang wins by tko in rd.3 but Neer is tough so who knows

everything is an act......... T.N.Crew Bronx 13 1/2 12 juror's ,1 judge = 1/2 a chance

by biggant on Jan 20, 2012 5:32 PM EST reply actions  

i predict

fight o’ the fuckin’ night

formerly ZuffaAttacks

by somnium on Jan 20, 2012 5:51 PM EST reply actions  


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