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UFC on FX 1: Melvin Guillard vs Jim Miller preview and prediction

Melvin Guillard (left) and Jim Miller (right) will headline the first ever UFC on FX show tonight (Jan. 20, 2012) in Nashville, Tennesee.

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will hit the FX cable channel tonight (Jan. 20, 2012) with UFC on FX 1: "Guillard vs. Miller," live from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee.

The event, which is the promotion's debut on the FX channel, will feature two scrappy lightweights as Melvin Guillard takes on Jim Miller as both try to climb the ranks of the 155-pound division after losing in their last outings.

Guillard was on cloud nine, riding a five- fight winning streak until he ran into Joe Lauzon, who halted his momentum in only 47 seconds of the opening round at UFC 136, which forced the "Young Assassin" back to the drawing board.

Miller, on the other hand, was seemingly one win away from a title shot, but came up short against Ben Henderson at UFC on Versus 5 as the "Smooth" one rag-dolled Miller for three rounds, snatching his title shot aspirations from his grasp.

Now, both lightweights hope to once again start their ascension back to the top of the ladder as they look to avoid back-to-back losses and prevent further damage to their careers.

Only one can take that positive step forward.

Make the jump for a complete breakdown of the UFC on FX 1 headliner between Melvin Guillard and Jim Miller.

Star-divide

THE BREAKDOWN

It's no secret that Guillard prefers to stand on the feet and exchange leather. Being one of the fastest and most powerful strikers in the division will give you that confidence. Shane Roller, Evan Dunham and Waylon Lowe can testify to that, having tasted the knockout power of the "Young Assassin" in the first round of their respective fights.

Guillard will deliver strikes seemingly out of nowhere and with his precision and speed, can end a fight with one well placed punch, so it behooves opponents to not blink or they will find themselves waking up only to realize they've been knocked out.

The problem?

If Guillard isn't able to land the knockout punch and is forced to the ground, he all of a sudden looks like a fish out of water. In fact, his last seven losses and eight out of nine overall have come via submission which only means one thing, the newly-christened Blackzilian definitely needs to dust off that old GI and brush up on his Jiu-Jitsu skills.

Jim Miller, on the other hand, hopes to right his ship by proving his one-sided beat down to Ben Henderson was an off night for him. Not one to make excuses, Miller recently revealed he was battling kidney infection and mononucleosis during his bout with Henderson..

But that was then and this is now, and unlike in his bout with Henderson, he now has to worry about strikes coming at him in high numbers per second.

Miller's advantage coming into the fight is the fact that he is an overall more well-rounded-mixed martial artist.

He can stand with the best of them or work you over for the entire fight and take you down and submit you all the same, as evidenced by 11 career submission victories.

His not-so secret weapon, however, is his gas tank, which doesn't seem to have an "E" on its gauge. Miller has proven time and time again that he can finish a fight as fresh as he started it. His cardio might play a huge factor should the fight go into the third round due to the fact the Guillard has proven that he too, can grind out a victory.

PREDICTION

In the end, it will come down to who can impose their game plan first.

Guillard recently made the change from his long time master game-planning coaches at Jackson's MMA in New Mexico to join "The Blackzillians" in sunny Florida. Not to say his new crew won't have a great gameplan for him, but will it matter once they slam the cage door shut behind him?

Guillard will not abandon his instincts to stand-and-trade and go for the kill early. It has worked for him in the past and has earned him the reputation as one of the most exciting lightweights in the world, but the problem with that is, if he can't connect cleanly on Miller, he can expect a heavy dosage of takedowns.

Joe Lauzon showed that a calm, cool and collected approach can overcome an overzealous Guillard and that is exactly what Miller will try to do. While Miller has proven he can take a punch, it wouldn't be in Miller's best interest to prove it again by standing with Guillard.

Expect Jim to go for and get the takedown often and control the majority of the fight on the ground. He won't pull of the submission, but he will do enough to convince the judges to give him the unanimous decision victory.

Prediction: Jim Miller defeats Melvin Guillard via unanimous decision.

For our UFC on FX results and live blog click here.

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Good breakdown

I have Miller winning for the same reasons but I think he has a good chance to pull off a submission. Good job, sir.

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Jan 20, 2012 3:05 PM EST reply actions  

Thats how I see it too

Miller by sub in first 2 rds. More likely the first rd tho imo

Sig bets with umabig:
Condit beats Diaz on Feb. 4, 2 weeks
Akiyama beats Shields on Feb. 26, 2 week

by enzo-enormous on Jan 20, 2012 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Proofread much?

“Guillard will deliver strikes seemingly out of nowhere and with his preciseness precision and speed.”

“In fact, his last seven fights losses and eight out of nine overall have come via submission”

by Si1verSurfer on Jan 20, 2012 3:13 PM EST reply actions  

"ever heard of a tune up? tee hee hee hee
"ah hee hee hee ever heard of a ritual killing? tee hee hee hee"
"i dont get it"
"you gnaw on her face in public like that again and you'll be one tee hee hee hee"

by scott1 on Jan 20, 2012 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I knew what he meant

proofreading is overrated

"I am the tomato can that crushed your champion, live with it."

by wolfman13 on Jan 20, 2012 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Says the guy who spelled "Silver Surfer" wrong.

P4P TOP 5 1. Nick Diaz 2. Nate Diaz 3. Fedor 4. Overeem 5. Junie Browning … Also Nate AND Nick will both be champions of thier respective brackets. Dont Fuck With Mean Mug he will make you slob all over your most hated fighters knob 209 BITCHES!!!!!!

by Cyclonejoker on Jan 20, 2012 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

he's going for Siver Surfer

where he wishes he could surf denis siver’s butthole.

8=Danago likes the REEM JOB.

by OilCheck on Jan 20, 2012 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

It'll be interesting to see any changes to Guillard's approach from changing camps

You know what would make a good story? Something about a clown who makes people happy, but inside he's real sad. Also, he has severe diarrhea.

by Buster Bluth on Jan 20, 2012 3:17 PM EST reply actions  

Guillard vs. Carpenter

Now that Guillard is a Crackzillian… err… Blackzillian, I’d love to see him face off against Clay Guida. That is, if he loses tonight. I’d put my money on Miller. He’s only lost to the top of the heap… Guillard loses to his chin and neck, quite often.

Five top favorite fighters:
1. Lyoto Machida
2. Thiago Silva
3. Michael Bisping
4. Chan Sung Jun
5. Frank Mir
6. You don't have the balls to post your fav fighters

by MMAisfuntowatch on Jan 20, 2012 3:24 PM EST reply actions  

Guillard loses to his chin and neck
when he smokes mad crack
gives up his back
when he gets attacked

Fuck I just went full Hella, NEVER go full Hella people

Here do I swear fealty and service to Choro, the mightiest and most hung of all Maniacs. In trolling or absence. In living or dying. From this hour henceforth, until my Lord release me…or the banhammer…take me.

PS: thats me in my avatar pic get at me at www.myspace.com/lonelycuriousemo ;)

by freenow82 on Jan 20, 2012 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

i f'ing love that samcro hoodie dana is wearing

bones jones will be the champ for a VERY long time
damn that was fun watching tito choke out bader

by Burlzilla129 on Jan 20, 2012 3:37 PM EST reply actions  

Ron Paul 2012. Roll Tide Roll. Nick Diaz UFC Champ 2012.

Hank_Mardukas just now found the gif of Andy dropping Chael with an elbow...bravo.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xP1-oquwoL8

by EdSoares'Contribution on Jan 20, 2012 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

stop posting videos of yourself Ed, we know

Here do I swear fealty and service to Choro, the mightiest and most hung of all Maniacs. In trolling or absence. In living or dying. From this hour henceforth, until my Lord release me…or the banhammer…take me.

PS: thats me in my avatar pic get at me at www.myspace.com/lonelycuriousemo ;)

by freenow82 on Jan 20, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

8=Danago likes the REEM JOB.

by OilCheck on Jan 20, 2012 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

From my personal collection.

me enjoying some of Lyoto’s special brew:

Random ones:

Ron Paul 2012. Roll Tide Roll. Nick Diaz UFC Champ 2012.

Hank_Mardukas just now found the gif of Andy dropping Chael with an elbow...bravo.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xP1-oquwoL8

by EdSoares'Contribution on Jan 20, 2012 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Didn't notice, awesomeness

Here do I swear fealty and service to Choro, the mightiest and most hung of all Maniacs. In trolling or absence. In living or dying. From this hour henceforth, until my Lord release me…or the banhammer…take me.

PS: thats me in my avatar pic get at me at www.myspace.com/lonelycuriousemo ;)

by freenow82 on Jan 20, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

fuck melvin he suck

no jj no wretlse he suck bad .he not good too crackhead fuckhead haha

"Why am I here? Why does my mind have wings? Why do blue midgets hit me with fish?!" - The Tick

by mythbuster on Jan 20, 2012 3:59 PM EST reply actions  

Aweweewwww yahyyyyyyyyyayyuy

209stk is the smartest poster on mania i will never doubt him or anyone from stockton ever again them boys out there are BEASTS
….nick and nate diaz will b champs this year and all the haters can elat a bloody vag…ultimatehuggingchamp is the biggest dumbfuck around and licks the sweat of my balls….STOCKTON 209…..y u mad 4 suckas!

by wooly shambler on Jan 20, 2012 4:30 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  


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