UFC 130 fight card: Roy Nelson vs Frank Mir fight preview
This upcoming Saturday night (May 28, 2011) at UFC 130: "Rampage vs. Hamill," two of the best UFC heavyweights will take each other to task in Las Vegas, Nevada, in what many expect to be one of the most evenly matched fights of the evening.
The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 10 winner, Roy Nelson, looks to get back on track after taking hard-hitting Junior dos Santos to the judges scorecards (albeit in a losing effort) for the first time under the Zuffa banner. Nelson has already derailed top prospects Brendan Schaub and Stefan Struve in his burgeoning UFC career and he's looking to get back into the title picture by taking out a two-time UFC heavyweight champion.
Frank Mir isn't satisfied with being a two-time titleholder, he wants another, even if it means fighting a friend. Mir and Nelson both live in Las Vegas and have trained together and have even dined in each other's homes. He said in the pre-fight press conference that he'll flip the switch and have no problem taking on his portly pal on Memorial Day weekend.
Will "Big Country" get back on track with what would be the biggest victory of his career? Can Mir regain his form and win two in a row for the first time since 2009?
Follow me after the jump to find out:
Roy Nelson
Record: 15-5 overall, 2-1 in the UFC
Key Wins: Brendan Schaub (Ultimate Finale 10), Stefan Struve (UFC Fight Night 21)
Key Losses: Junior dos Santos (UFC 117), Andrei Arlovski (EliteXC: Heat)
How he got here: Roy Nelson made his mark outside the UFC, most notably as the inaugural IFL heavyweight champion. After defending the strap twice, the promotion folded and "Big Country" stepped in on 10 day's notice to take on former UFC heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski under the Elite XC banner. Nelson would get stood up by the referee despite going for a submission from side control and "The Pitbull" took advantage of his gassed state, knocking him out for the only time in his career.
The beer-bellied brawler would redeem himself on TUF 10, easily grappling his way to the finale where he would blast Brendan Schaub in the first round of the championship fight to win the show's title. He followed it up by taking out "The Skyscraper" Stefan Struve with another first round knockout.
Nelson earned a number one contender fight with Junior dos Santos at UFC 117 for his efforts and would give his best Homer Simpson impression, absorbing enough punishment in three rounds to baffle physicists. After losing a unanimous decision to "Cigano," he went under the knife for minor knee surgery and then patiently waited on the sidelines while potential opponents like Antonio Nogueira and Shane Carwin fell through. Finally, after 10 months of rehab and training camp, he's ready to step in the Octagon again.
How he gets it done: Nelson has some serious power and surprising endurance. At 6'0," he's one of the shorter heavyweights in the division, but that can sometimes be an advantage as it's easier to connect cleanly even on a tucked chin when punching up.
Nelson doesn't have a very big reach, but he's become increasingly proficient at using proper spacing to connect with his big ham hocks. Nelson also has displayed a tremendous chin, only ever having been knocked out when taking a fight on short notice. Don't be surprised one bit if "Big Country" stands in the pocket and goes toe-to-toe with Mir because he's got confidence in his ability to take a punch.
The corpulent combatant is also a Renzo Gracie black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu (BJJ), having defeated Mir in a grappling tournament in 2003 via decision. Don't expect Nelson to submit Mir, but there's a very real possibility that he could shoot for a takedown and try to work his excellent top game like he did in TUF. Mir has had difficulty against solid top control guys in the past so there's a very real possibility Nelson tries to put his big belly on top Mir and keep him down.
Frank Mir
Record: 14-5 overall, 12-5 in the UFC
Key Wins: Brock Lesnar (UFC 81), Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (UFC 92), Tim Sylvia (UFC 48)
Key Losses: Brock Lesnar (UFC 100), Shane Carwin (UFC 111)
How he got here: Frank Mir was on a roll in his initial UFC run, culminating in a heavyweight title-winning performance against Tim Sylvia where he infamously broke "The Maine-iac's" arm with a first round armbar. Before he could defend his belt, Mir would get in a horrible motorcycle accident in which he broke his femur and tore multiple ligaments in his knee. He would be stripped of his title and returned to the Octagon more than 18 months later, a shell of his former self.
The brash fighter finally started to get back on track and scored one of the biggest wins of his career in Brock Lesnar's UFC debut, defeating the ex-WWE star via kneebar in the first round. The victory earned Mir an interim title shot against Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira where the ex-champ showcased his newfound boxing skills to knock "Big Nog" out for the first time in his career.
The Mark Dellagrotte-trained fighter hasn't been able to string two wins together since, losing the rematch to Brock Lesnar and getting pummeled by Shane Carwin, while crushing both Cheick Kongo and Mirko Filipovic. Mir has been showcasing his striking more in recent fights and he's looking for one more run at the title.
How he gets it done: In the early parts of Mir's career, the answer would have been easy ... jiu-jitsu; however, Mir has been adding plenty of extra weapons to his arsenal as of late. He bulked up with a ton of muscle thanks to a power-lifting program in the end of 2009.
While six of his first nine UFC victories came by way of submission, Mir has actually either won or set up his last three UFC wins with his striking. He clobbered Nogueira with punching combinations, dropped Kongo with a huge left hand and put Cro Cop's lights out with a killer knee. Mir will try to hurt Nelson standing either with his much-improved boxing or some Muay Thai knees if "Big Country" gets too close.
Mir is also very adept on the ground. He's finished six opponents with five different submissions in his UFC career. He's going to have his hands full with Nelson on the ground as both men are experienced black belts in BJJ. If the fight goes to the canvas, it'll be more likely to be about positional dominance than submission attempts.
Mir is incredibly patient if he needs to be. Don't expect him to rush out and try to finish Nelson early. He waited nearly three full rounds for an opportunity to strike at UFC 119 against Mirko "Cro Cop" and didn't let the crowd's boos effect his decision-making. He will gladly wait until Nelson gives him an opening.
Fight "X-Factor:" The "X-Factor" here is the chin of both men. Nelson has been knocked out once, but that seems more like a fluke now in retrospect. Mir, on the other hand, has been knocked out in all five of his career losses. Sure, he's been in there with some of the heaviest hitters in the division, but he's had his brain rattled a few too many times. "Big Country" has a significantly better chance of putting Mir down with strikes than Mir does of finishing Nelson. If the former IFL champ gets too close, he'll work his Muay Thai to keep him at bay and look for his lunging hooks when he's got him at a distance.
Bottom line: This bout "should" be a very entertaining scrap that can take place anywhere. Expect anything from a technical grappling exhibition to an all-out brawl to a staring contest. This is anyone's fight.
Who will come out on top at UFC 130? Let us know in the comments section below!
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exactly. Roy Nelson for the win! Mir had his time
Now, it’s our time…
Nick Diaz vs. GSP? Sure, let's watch Diaz get his ass handed to him. Diaz should fight Diego Sanchez!!!! If Nick can beat Diego, then he deserves a shot at GSP.
by i_am_awesome_o on May 27, 2011 7:27 AM EDT up reply actions
im actually impressed with the voting so far...
118 Mir 127 Nelson….
Closer than i woulda thought! a lot of people out there have faith in Mir but more have faith in BC’s chin and knockout mullet
Bring on the moneypool!!
Pro sig bet record: 1-2-0
Nelson is a badass and he is going to win.
Mir can suck it…
Yep.
Nick Diaz vs. GSP? Sure, let's watch Diaz get his ass handed to him. Diaz should fight Diego Sanchez!!!! If Nick can beat Diego, then he deserves a shot at GSP.
Repeating Nelson is going to win,
1 minute after you already posted that, really isn’t awesome. I hope to see Nelson smash Mir with the first couple of shots he lands, my only worry with him is his inactivity, but against Mir once the punches land I am guessing that will not be too much of a problem.
Mir was afraid to exchange with cro cop who hasnt hurt anyone on the feet
since Wand. Talking all the nonsense he does wont change the fact that he’ll turtle up. As Big country said in the countdown show – sometimes you just have to get in there and punch the guy in the face.Thats what u need against mir. Forget gmeplans, just sneak one good shot in and he’ll start fading.
BIG NOG for Life
One Step closer to Gleison Tibau @ 145
If the round is too close, it's 10-10, NOT flip a coin 10-9 or late takedown FTW.
by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on May 27, 2011 10:44 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
One the very interesting upcoming fights.
I also like Hamill vs Page. I’m curious to see how those unfold.
Shields never eyepokes his opponent, so why all of a sudden is he throwing eyepokes every round against a guy he knows he can’t takedown?? Highly suspicious.
Two_Words.
And that's the word.
i’d love to vote.. but its too close to call for me.
Hopeing for an entertaining fight either way (not a mir vs Crocop)
That was one of those fights
where I wish I was drunk that night so I wouldn’t remember it.
Catherine Zeta Jones, she dips beneath lasers.
i was drunk...
still remember it because it made me feeeeeel drunk and slowed down the whole fucking event for me…
Bring on the moneypool!!
Pro sig bet record: 1-2-0
think Mir will win.
and my only hope is that they chill out after the fight, Joe goes for the overkill too often like god was infront of him. Roy is not all that and neither is Frank.
I am who i is.
neither are you - you are you who you are
and they are who they are… just difference is they’re gonna smack each other in the head a bit and try to ko the other one… so they a bit like god compared to joe rogan. im not surprised he thinks god is in front of him all the time they are impressive athletes. joe is an idiot but come on theyre impressive….
And BC gonna KTFO of your boy Mir…
Bring on the moneypool!!
Pro sig bet record: 1-2-0
But I hear he’s spoken directly to Jesus on numerous occasions while ’shrooming.
Our lives change like the weather, but a legend never dies.
Yeah shrooms will do that to ya
wait up – arr you god sending me a message?
Bring on the moneypool!!
Pro sig bet record: 1-2-0
Yea i like mir. As long as he doesnt sit there and slug out with that lard ass he should be fine.
Nelsons will be trying to take him down once he realizes mir is not going to stand in front of him. I see mir winning where ever the fight goes. And being alot more technical wont hurt.
Frank takes this fight...
With superior boxing and footwork. Hes smart enough to avoid the big right hand.
by bloody_cage_junkie on May 27, 2011 9:38 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
Sometimes dislike for a fighter influence people’s judgement
by robinhorobson on May 27, 2011 10:30 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I disagree with that
and you can go to hell.
Shields never eyepokes his opponent, so why all of a sudden is he throwing eyepokes every round against a guy he knows he can’t takedown?? Highly suspicious.
Two_Words.
And that's the word.
mirs standup is garbage
"ever heard of a tune up? tee hee hee hee
"ah hee hee hee ever heard of a ritual killing? tee hee hee hee"
"i dont get it"
"you gnaw on her face in public like that again and you'll be one tee hee hee hee"
you know whats really funny?
You think a powerful overhand right = better boxing technique.
by bloody_cage_junkie on May 27, 2011 10:27 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Neither of them have any technique with their hands. But Roy's stand up looked like some guy in a bar fight winging punches. Mir has the edge based on default.
"Friends and lovers lie endlessly, caught in the web of duty. Only enemies speak the truth." - Stephen King
Exactly, C level vs C - level striking.
Doesnt really matter who has the advantage there because neither do anything particularly in their striking that attacks specific weaknesses in the other’s standup. Also Mir’s footwork is garbage. Hopping around and moving all the time does not mean good footwork.
BIG NOG for Life
One Step closer to Gleison Tibau @ 145
If the round is too close, it's 10-10, NOT flip a coin 10-9 or late takedown FTW.
by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on May 27, 2011 10:48 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
the post never said he had "good" footwork, only superior to Roy.
not a stretch , by any means.
The hate is strong in you…
roy..by huge gut smother...
his crucifix is his bread and butter on the ground..and apparently a good way to include breathing obstruction as well..ugh!!
Did you pick a guy here Hemminger??
methinks someone is sitting on the fence so as not to alert the Pool crowd as to whether you are legit or not…
Who u taking ulf?
I got Mir by decision. Tough fight 2 call tho.
Word is born
Fight the war, fuck the norm
Now I got no patience
So sick of complacence
With the D the E the F the I the A the N the C the E
Mind of a revolutionary
So clear the lane
The finger to the land of the chains
What? The land of the free?
Whoever told you that is your enemy
Now something must be done
About vengeance, a badge and a gun
So rip the mike, rip the stage, rip the system
I was born to rage against 'em
Fist in ya face, in the place
And I'll drop the style clearly. Know your enemy
by d*locc on May 27, 2011 11:09 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
same.
Mir decision or Roy KO
every fight on this card is close. It could be the decider of the entire pool. Those that do well have a shot, those that don’t are out. With 44 people, every point will be hard earned.
these posts are meant to be previews
I’m not supposed to pick a guy. I’m supposed to introduce each fighter in case you’re a casual fan, explain how it stacks up, how each guy can win and what could be the defining role in the fight
twitter.com/GotaHemmi
instrength.com <-- Best MMA forum
by Brian Hemminger on May 27, 2011 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions

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