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UFC 141 fight card: Vladimir Matyushenko vs Alexander Gustafsson preview

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It will be a battle of vast age disparities in the light heavyweight division this Friday night (December 30, 2011) as veteran Vladimir "The Janitor" Matyushenko takes on exuberant European youth Alexander Gustafsson on the main card of UFC 141: "Lesnar vs. Overeem" in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Matyushenko is coming off one of the fastest finishes of his 14 year MMA career, stopping Jason Brilz in just 20 seconds at UFC 129 earlier this April. He's quietly gone 4-1 in his recent run in the UFC and has now finished consecutive opponents with first round stoppages."The Janitor" is out to prove that his age (41) is just a number.

Alexander Gustafsson looked terrific in the first year of his UFC career and has improved by leaps and bounds ever since suffering his lone loss to Phil Davis. He stepped up to the big leagues by taking on former top 205-pounder Matt Hamill this past August and beat "The Hammer" into retirement with a second round thrashing. He's hoping to continue to take out top veterans with a victory against Matyushenko.

Will "The Janitor" clean house with another surprise knockout? Can Gustafsson beat his second consecutive foe into retirement? What's the key to victory for both men on Friday night in Vegas?

Let's find out:

Star-divide

Vladimir Matyushenko

Record: 26-5 overall, 7-3 in the UFC

Key Wins: Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (UFO: Legend), Igor Pokrajac (UFC 103), Jason Brilz (UFC 129)

Key Losses: Jon Jones (UFC on Versus 2), Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Affliction: Day of Reckoning), Tito Ortiz (UFC 33)

How he got here: Vladimir Matyushenko is an extremely distinguished veteran grappler. He earned his nickname because the USA national wrestling team mistook him for a custodian during a wrestling meet in Siberia, a meet where Matyushenko defeated several top US wrestlers.

After transitioning to MMA, "The Janitor" went on an impressive run and earned a title shot against Tito Ortiz at UFC 33. He fell short, but would put together another excellent streak outside the UFC, becoming the first IFL light heavyweight champion.

When Affliction folded, the Belarusian was signed to the UFC for one last stint and he's performed admirably, going 4-1 with his only loss being to eventual champion Jon Jones. Matyushenko was all set to face Jason Brilz at UFC 122 but Brilz had to back out with an injury. Instead, "The Janitor" wiped the floor with UFC newcomer Alexandre Ferreira with a TKO victory inside the first round.

When he finally got his shot at Brilz at UFC 129, he took it with authority, smashing the Nebraskan with a knockout in just 20 seconds, one of the UFC's fastest finishes of 2011. He was originally slated to take on rising prospect Gustafsson at UFC 133 but had to pull out with an injury. The bout was rescheduled for UFC 141 once he healed up.

How he gets it done: Matyushenko has some respectable technical boxing skill, but he surprised many with his 20 seconds knockout of Jason Brilz this past April. No one knew he had that type of one-punch finishing power if he could connect cleanly. I doubt he could get away with the same strategy against Gustafsson, a pretty accomplished striker with superior technical skills and a more diverse standing attack.

Matyushenko would be better off if he were to try to make this fight a little uglier, get in Gustafsson's face, pressure him, force him to be on the defensive and never allow him to get comfortable. If he can catch him off balance, expect repeated takedown attempts.

Gustafsson has terrific balance and his defensive and offensive wrestling and grappling has only gotten better since he began training with former opponent Phil Davis at Alliance MMA. Matyushenko will have to commit to his takedowns with everything he's got if he wants to actually put "The Mauler" on his back and keep him there. If he can put him on the ground, he'll likely have to limit his offense so as to keep the Scandinavian from popping back to his feet.

I don't see "The Janitor" winning by any means other than a close decision victory.

Alexander Gustafsson

Record: 12-1 overall, 4-1 in the UFC

Key Wins: Matt Hamill (UFC 133), James Te Huna (UFC 127), Cyrille Diabate (UFC 120)

Key Losses: Phil Davis (UFC 112)

How he got here: Alexander Gustafsson began boxing at just 10 years old, but he grasped the bull firmly by the horns when he jumped into mixed martial arts with both feet, making the transition in 2006 at just 18 years old. He transitioned his striking skills very quickly into MMA, winning six of his first eight fights by knockout or TKO on the European circuit.

He earned an invite to the UFC at the end of 2009 and boy did he pass his test with flying colors, knocking out the always scrappy Jared Hamman in just 41 seconds at UFC 105. He would be matched up with undefeated former national champion wrestler Phil Davis at UFC 112 and would get dominated physically, suffering a first round submission defeat via anaconda choke.

After accepting Davis' offer to come to his gym in America and train with him, Gustafsson has never looked better. He won his next two fights via his own ground game with rear naked chokes against James Te Huna and Cyrille Diabate and then followed it up at UFC 133 with the most significant victory of his career against Matt Hamill, destroying "The Hammer" in the second round so badly that he retired afterwards.

He gladly accepted a bout with Vladimir Matyushenko, a fighter who's relatively even with him in the light heavyweight rankings and will give him some much-needed experience against a battle-tested veteran.

How he gets it done: Gustafsson has been showcasing his ground game recently, but he would be wise to go back to his roots for this fight. He's got many more weapons in the stand-up than Matyushenko, who's striking game is relatively limited to pure traditional boxing.

If "The Mauler" can remain at a distance, his kicks are going to be a huge advantage. His technique has been improving with every fight and I expect him to be able to pound away at "The Janitor's" legs and body with heavy kicks. The more strikes he can land to the legs and body, the slower the Belarusian will become and the less power he'll have in both his punches and his takedowns.

If Gustafsson can force Matyushenko to lose a step due to his kicking attack, he can then pounce with his punches and put a hurting on his wounded foe. He could even mix in his ground game eventually as his offensive submission grappling is superior to "The Janitor's" and he has potential to force him to either tap out or go out cold.

The biggest key will be for him to utilize those long limbs and his youthful speed.

Fight X-Factor: The biggest X-Factor for this fight is the tremendous age difference. Vladimir Matyushenko is coming off his fastest knockout in nearly 14 years but he's turning 41 just two days after his fight with Gustafsson. He's over 16 years older than his youthful foe and while he's had a very impressive run in the UFC in the latter stages of his career, eventually it all catches up to you.

This bout against a very promising young light heavyweight talent could be that time. Gustafsson not only has youth, but he's got a more diverse attack, more speed and better submissions on the ground. If Matyushenko can't get inside in the stand-up exchanges or take his opponent down, he could be in for a world of hurt.

Bottom Line: This is a great match-up of youthful energy versus experience. Both Matyushenko and Gustafsson are currently on a similar level in the UFC light heavyweight division and this will be an opportunity either for "The Janitor" to make one last run at the top or for Gustafsson to take the mantel and shoot for a run of his own. Both men have stopping power in their fists and strong albeit completely different forms of dangerous ground games. This bout is almost certain to be a terrific match although there is a small potential for Matyushenko to control his opponent with his wrestling or even for Gustafsson to provide a one-sided thrashing. If both men show up with no injuries, however, this should be a very entertaining scrap. Keep your eyes peeled because a new contender in the division could emerge here if "The Mauler" prevails.

Who will come out on top at UFC 141? Tell us your predictions in the comments below!

Poll
Which light heavyweight will secure a significant victory on the UFC 141 main card this Friday night?
Alexander Gustafsson
148 votes
Vladimir Matyushenko
44 votes

192 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 16 comments  |  Add comment  |  0 recs  | 

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Gustafsson easily

First or second round stoppage guaranteed.

Sig bets with enzo-enormous:
Diaz beats Condit on Feb. 4, 2 weeks
Shields beats Akiyama on Feb. 26, 2 weeks
Sig bet with ThePride
Ellenberger beats Sanchez on Feb. 15, 1 week

by unambig on Dec 26, 2011 6:17 PM EST reply actions  

This.

Will just box him up and bang him out.

Although I spend countless hours researching, it has taken a ‘Cali Cock-Slap’ for me to come to the realization that Frank Mir is a top HW. If not for Cali ringing my bell, I might also never have never realized that Randy Couture is MMA’s greatest achievement. Having had this sense finally rammed into me, I can now move forward and strive to breakout of my eternal bridesmaid rut.

by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on Dec 26, 2011 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Vlad may lose, but I'm still rooting for him.

Much respect to a guy who can still be a badass at age 40.

by Cyclonejoker on Dec 26, 2011 6:48 PM EST reply actions  

I could see an upset here.

Vlads a solid fight for anyone .. well any one but Jon Jones of course.

by letstalkmma on Dec 26, 2011 6:49 PM EST reply actions  

Gustafson's gonna dog Vlad out worse than he did Hamill

NOVA UNIAO
Tomas Taverin Def. Jander Yenn via TKO(Punches) at 0:54 of RD 1!

by CharactersAnalysis on Dec 26, 2011 6:54 PM EST reply actions  

Well sir i think you need to check your facts because according to Dr. Tito "Science" Ortiz M.D, Ph.D

Deaf people are afflicted with that condition and are more easily susceptible to being KO’d. It has to do with equilibrium, the way their head develops and science.

Although I spend countless hours researching, it has taken a ‘Cali Cock-Slap’ for me to come to the realization that Frank Mir is a top HW. If not for Cali ringing my bell, I might also never have never realized that Randy Couture is MMA’s greatest achievement. Having had this sense finally rammed into me, I can now move forward and strive to breakout of my eternal bridesmaid rut.

by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on Dec 26, 2011 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed.

Kids, you tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.

by Brizzle T on Dec 26, 2011 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Quantifying the Youth Advantage

The Youth Advantage is a big deal. But even in this extreme circumstance of a 16-year age differential, the older guys still win 20% of the time. And The Janitor doesn’t have a long history of bad KO’s, so he’s a little more resilient than a striker of the same age and experience. Check out the Fightnomics right up on why that happens.

Either way I’m looking forward to this matchup – both fighters are as good as their names are hard to spell. Gustafsson is currently running a -325 favorite, I think it should be tighter than that.

by DecisionScientist on Dec 26, 2011 7:06 PM EST reply actions  

Interesting website.

Is it yours?

Although I spend countless hours researching, it has taken a ‘Cali Cock-Slap’ for me to come to the realization that Frank Mir is a top HW. If not for Cali ringing my bell, I might also never have never realized that Randy Couture is MMA’s greatest achievement. Having had this sense finally rammed into me, I can now move forward and strive to breakout of my eternal bridesmaid rut.

by NNR (formerly NameNotRequired) on Dec 26, 2011 7:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Man this fight is hard for me to pick

Big fan of both guys(more so Vlad) and i think either way it goes to a decision. close fight imo

Pro Sig record
10-5
1 Month sig bet with 10th Degree Whitebelt that DJ does NOT win the FLW tournament
Sig bet with KaleJohnCox on Alves-Kamp. ALVES
Sig bet with Unambig on Sanchez-Ellenberger. SANCHEZ
Bring ABB back to Mania!

by The Pride on Dec 26, 2011 8:52 PM EST reply actions  

and that is the reason your a perpetual 4th placer.

you are still in this year correct? Did you decide to accept my entrance fee bet for next season?

UFC 141 picks: Nunes - UD, Riddle - UD, Volkman - Sub Rd 3, Kim - UD, Njokuani - KO/TKO Rd 1, Pearson - UD, Hettes - Sub Rd 2, Gustafsson - KO/TKO Rd 2, Fitch - UD, Cerrone - UD(sig bet w/Phasebook), Pain Train makes glue in Rd 2 KO/TKO

sig bet record 1 - 3
Mania Money Pool 20th place, 500 points
Future 2012/13 B league FFB champ.

Check out what I've been drinking lately

by ShivanTiger on Dec 26, 2011 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Go back and watch the...

Gustafsson/Hamill fight. Gustafsson is a killer!

by ducknow on Dec 26, 2011 9:57 PM EST reply actions  

The Mauler will prevail..

..by a fanpleasing mauling tko in 2nd or 3d round, really tough fight though!

by Frank Fenster on Dec 27, 2011 8:42 AM EST reply actions  


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