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THE BLUNDER DOWN UNDER: SAD THOUGHTS ON ILL FATED BETS

I am sad to report that my normally reliable gambling instincts fell well short of their 60-70% accuracy this past weekend, going 1-3 at UFC 110. However, to be honest I think there is a strong possibility that my unfortunate picks were the product of an unconscious self-sabotage, designed to give me the opportunity to use the phrase "Blunder Down Under" (currently seeking exclusive usage rights after which I will produce a reality TV show of the same name featuring washed up celebrities living together in an undersized condo in Sydney. If anyone at VH1 happens to read this, feel free to give me a call). At any rate, I have failed anyone who happened to be swayed by my erroneous precognition and for that I apologize and promise to earn your trust back with future consistency.

Hindsight being 20/20, I can now see the error of picking Reljic over Dolloway (as pointed out to me pre-fight by a wise "mmaniac"), if nothing else a clear violation of my own personal rule of NEVER betting on a fighter who has been out of competitive action for over a year. Reljic still has a bright future in my opinion, but 18 months is an eternity as far as layoffs go. My excitement about finally seeing the Croatian back in action overwhelmed my practicality-the cardinal sin of the astute gambler-a mistake that hopefully will lead to greater discipline in the future. The worst part is that Reljic was such a heavy favorite that if I had been even-minded enough to not overlook the layoff factor I would have had the opportunity to cash in on what was rightfully a great underdog pick in Dolloway.

Though unsuccessful, I stand by my Jardine and Nogueira picks. Jardine, though eventually succumbing to TKO late in the fight, put up a very competitive performance against Bader. He was not dominated by Bader's superior wrestling and the fight was close right up until the stoppage. Nogueira did not fare nearly as well, getting caught by a huge right hand early in the first round. Cain did an excellent job of pouncing on the downed Nogueira and finishing him, demonstrating his ever improving striking and precision finishing skills. Cain's performance has me thoroughly excited about a showdown between him and Lesnar, as soon as the big man is back in fighting shape.

Finally, Wandy came through for me in my pick of the night, and though he did not dominate in quite the fashion I had thought he might, he pulled out the win and spared me from an even greater dent in my gambling pocketbook.

Once again, all apologies to those who may have trusted my predictions. Remember, there is always next month.


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