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A closer look at the future of Cain Velasquez in the UFC heavyweight division

Cain Velasquez’s triumph over heavyweight contender Cheick Kongo at UFC 99: "The Comeback" on June 13 perhaps created more questions than answers, not only regarding himself and his abilities but also the shape of things to come within the UFC heavyweight division.

Though Velasquez picked up the 'W' and dominated for the duration of the bout, I think he looked a little green and should probably work on some things before he can even contemplate fighting for a title.

His stand-up looked sloppy, especially his defense which saw him practically walk into shots that made his legs buckle. While he was able to recover, his punches seemed to lack power. Definitely a lot of work to be done here.

To his credit, his wrestling did look superb but as we all know wrestling is not Cheick Kongo’s biggest strength, in fact far from it. And Velasquez needs to work on the other aspects of his game and not just rely on his wrestling in the future, especially against the likes of other wrestlers who may pose a huge weight advantage against him.

Kongo said he was promised a title shot with a win over Velasquez at UFC 99, though as Demian Maia and several others can tell you that being promised a title shot by the UFC brass is not always a lock. But still he was no doubt in reaching distance and obviously being considered.

Now with Velasquez beating a potential title contender he’s pretty much set himself up into a situation where there’s not really anywhere to go but up. No easy fights and his next opponent is likely going to be a big name and a tough test.

Star-divide

Velasquez certainly seems like one for the future and if he can keep adding to his arsenal he’s going to be very dangerous down the line, but let’s not forget that Velasquez is only into the early stages of his career and it appears at the present time he’s somewhat a victim of his own hype.

There’s been rumors that he’ll be facing off with wrestling behemoth Shane Carwin next. Which if it happened I don’t see ending well for the young prospect. He proved in the Kongo fight that his chin is durable and he can quickly recover, but I don’t think it would be the same if he walked into the unforgiving hamhocks that Carwin calls hands.

He packs a punch, his power is devastating to say the least and just as Gabriel Gonzaga found out the hard way at UFC 96 in March, one shot is all it takes for it to be lights out.

Love him or hate him Velasquez is a prospect with a ton of potential and given the right chance to grow he can become a force to be reckoned within the UFC. Carwin isn't exactly a spring chicken at the age of 34 but is also considered a bright prospect of the heavyweight division.

I’d personally like to see these two kept apart for a little while. Remember this is the same division that early last year seemed to be in tatters with its foundations crumbling. Now it appears to be much stronger and brimming with talent, but I would like to see the prospects kept apart so that they can each grow into more complete fighters before squaring off.

Though if it did happen and Velasquez lost, it wouldn’t be the end of the world. The UFC realizes his potential and I think if he were to lose to Carwin they’d let him take a step back and give him some easier fights while he grows his skill set further.

As stated, Velasquez is in a predicament where there’s likely to be no more easy fights, just seasoned veterans. One of which I would like to see him against next would be the man he was originally supposed to face at UFC 99, Heath Herring.

The grizzled veteran would be a stern test. A victory for Velasquez would give him a win over another known name, keep him in title contention but also give him time to grow as a fighter. If he proves successful maybe after that he could face off against the likes of Gabriel Gonzaga while he continues to improve.

As for Carwin, it’s hard to say what’s next for him. Everyone else seems to be booked up, leaving him without a dance partner. If by some chance Mirko Cro Cop doesn’t run off to Japan and decides to stick around, he’d be my first choice but right now it doesn’t seem likely.

I do think the UFC has done a good with molding other young guns such as Junior dos Santos. Last year at UFC 90 he burst onto the scene with a shocking upset knockout victory over title contender Fabricio Werdum. He could have easily been thrown into the deep end again after that but they decided to bring him along slowly, which should pay dividends later on.

UFC 100 boasts the heavyweight title unification bout between Brock Lesnar and Frank Mir that will crown an undisputed champion, but after that who’s next in line for a shot?

I would like to see the winner of the UFC 102 main event of Randy Couture and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira get a crack at the gold, while the likes of Velasquez, Carwin and Dos Santos can be brought along and be given time to grow.

If that were to happen, chances are that it would be a big money maker, but Couture is 45 years old with one fight left on his contract after the Nogueira bout and "Minotauro" has echoed his thoughts on retiring soon.

I don’t know if the UFC would be too keen on throwing them into title contention only to have them leave straight after, though Couture originally retired back at UFC 57 in what was a title fight but losing effort against Chuck Liddell.

After the high buy rate of the first Lesnar vs. Couture pay-per-view (PPV) turned out, a second fight may be too tempting to pass up for all parties involved regardless if Couture vacates the title immediately after winning.

If he did win it would once again prove there’s some life left in this old dog and Couture may be keen to stick around for a little longer.

As of now the title picture after Lesnar vs. Mir at UFC 100 on July 11 is looking pretty open. Lots of possibilities and likely lots of surprises along the way. I’ll be interesting to see how things take shape in the coming months.

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Cain is a BEAST for sure!

But i think hed get beat, tho probably in a WAR, against guys who are good wrestlers with decent striking.

Brock, Carwin, Mir, Couture, and NOG would all take him, imo.

by SoCalStunNa on Jun 18, 2009 1:35 AM EDT reply actions  

Cain needs to work on finishing guys and his stand up!
.
My take on TUF! No surprise on James winning, and I actually agree with the americans, the taunting was uncalled for! Also, ANYONE who says ANYTHING negative about Frank is a total moron! I have more respect for him than anyone in the history of TUF! I can’t believe he fought 4 times in 4 weeks, but I also can’t believe the commission (who is supposed to be about safety of fighters) let him fight that many times all banged up! Good for him, and he’ll be around the UFC for a while!
Side note, if Demarques reads this blog, you are the biggest douche this season! You’re really not that good and hopefully James takes that BJJ black belt and submits your punk ass with it. Lastly douche bag, it’s pronounced “mannerisms” not “manurisms.” Don’t try to use words that your pea brain can’t pronounce!
overall, great season. With the exception of the brits messing around for 30 seconds tonight (which was fun), this season was all training and fights! Take note of this Dana and spike, this was what the real fans want to see!
Also, I hear a rumor that Kimbo loses his first TUF fight in the first round (no I’m not surprised!)!!!

by kevin on Jun 18, 2009 2:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

off topic much?

by paniczoo on Jun 18, 2009 5:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

While we are off topic another fight for TUF finale:

Frank Lester vs Nick Osipczak

Should be a good one. They are both willing to put it all on the line.

by Ca$z on Jun 18, 2009 5:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cain’s BJJ looked sloppy as hell too. Repeatedly going for a choke without having the hooks in is not the best use of your resources. He looked a little panicky in there.

by DSmith on Jun 18, 2009 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I kind of equated that to his brains being a little scrambled after he was rocked by Kongo… kind of like BJ’s ability to pull guard seemed to disappear after GSP smashed him hard a few times in the second round. I know GSP has an amazing top game but it seemed like BJ was a white belt after that.

by Jeremyjackson on Jun 18, 2009 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

good post kevin!

Nick vs. Frank is going to be a great fight. It might steal the show…but I expect Nick the Brit to pull away with the win….because he is more polished..Frank Lester however reminds me of the old forrest that had a ton of heart and would just go in there and Bang!

by JOhn G on Jun 18, 2009 8:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Focker!!! I dvr’d it, thanks Kev

by BOW on Jun 18, 2009 8:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cain vs Carwin would be a good fight. How can you say he needs to work on finishing guys. He is 6-0 with 5 ko’s and only one fight that went past 2:30 in the second round. That fight happened to be against one of the better guys in the division. I think he needs to work on the BJJ. That rear naked choke was there for him all night long, but he kept going away from it.

by mearls on Jun 18, 2009 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

“That fight happened to be against one of the better guys in the division.”
If you’re talking about Kongo, I’m laughing. He has no ground game at all yet always sees the need to clinch and go for takedowns. He’s terrible!

by kevin on Jun 18, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

White Pride forever.

by mike on Jun 18, 2009 1:41 AM EDT reply actions  

please tell me you are joking..

by sarah on Jun 18, 2009 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cain is cool
I think his standup didn’t looked too good cus it was kongo, but I think anyone else he can bang with, as much as I wassa see a carwin fight, I wanna see cain vs gonzaga

by phenomenal angel on Jun 18, 2009 2:10 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree about his stand up looking bad beacause he was facing Kongo. Cains stand up in his last fight looked superb, it is just that Kongo was better than him. Kongos’ striking is an excellent striker, even though quite a few disagree, he very rarely wastes punches and is pretty accurate and his long reach is definately a plus. Cain could probably beat a great majority of the heavyweights with his stand up, but Kongo isn’t one of them.

by Ade on Jun 18, 2009 9:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m a much bigger Carwin fan… His coming out party against Gonzaga showed alot of things, he can get rocked, taken down by a BIG, strong, BJJ guy, get back up, recover, and knock a tough Gonzaga into next week. Cain, on the other hand, proved that he his striking needs alot of work, and the UFC has another wrestler that lacks finishing power when taking on top guys.

The heavyweight division has quickly become just that, a division for the BIG guys. If Cain fought Brock or Carwin, he’d be giving up alot of size, against wrestlers. That’s bad news.

by Miketsi on Jun 18, 2009 2:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Carwin’s punch was amazing too. It was as though it was just an arm punch. He hardly even cocked it. If Carwin delivered the same shots Kongo did to Cain, Cain, as tough as his chin is, would see total darkness.

by Johnny Farnham on Jun 18, 2009 5:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed! Carwin hits like a truck. I have no idea how Cain could beat Carwin. He doesn’t have nearly the power that Carwin has, and would be giving up a ton of size to another talented wrestler.

by naturalshadow on Jun 18, 2009 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with this article about Cain still being " Green" and growing as he has more fights. In the future I could see him being in a heavyweight title fight

by chris H on Jun 18, 2009 2:32 AM EDT reply actions  

I do actually worry that while MMA in the main is progressing well, the heavyweight division seems to be going backwards to the original Coleman/Severn days where big wrestlers could dominate all… Where are all the skilled strikers prevalent in the lower weight classes??

by Jimrod on Jun 18, 2009 2:38 AM EDT reply actions  

It’s MMA, Fighters will have learn to do it all. Most wrestlers will cancel eachother out. Dumb guys like Kongo will never learn how to defend takedowns.

by DAVE A on Jun 18, 2009 4:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with this article. I see Cain in a title fight in the future

by chris H on Jun 18, 2009 2:39 AM EDT reply actions  

So can I but he wouldn’t trouble Brock or Carwin. He’s too small and his wrestling is inferior to Brocks.

Neither Lesnar or Carwin will just lie there and let him wail on them like Kongo did.

His finishing isn’t up to standard either, he must have landed over 1000 blows on Kongo and wasn’t remotely close to finishing him. Brock or Carwin get the same position on him and they will finish.

by attakdog on Jun 18, 2009 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Lesnar wins then he will face Carwin for the title as the main event for the New Years eve card. If Mir wins, he will fight Couture if he gets past Nogueira if not, then Carwin.

by Kilby on Jun 18, 2009 3:21 AM EDT reply actions  

His tattoo offends me.

Not because of what it says, but how the double standard forbids me to have a similar one.

by Green Inferno on Jun 18, 2009 7:43 AM EDT reply actions  

You can get a white pride tatoo. Get your mom to sign a release form.

by OJR on Jun 18, 2009 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

lmao

by krzbug999 on Jun 18, 2009 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Then the tattoo shouldn’t offend you. What should offend you are the moron’s before you that ruined it for you by making a “White Pride” tattoo look like a Swastika. There should be no problem with anyone being proud of their heritage, unfortunately if you’re white, a bunch of idiot neo-nazis screwed that up for you.

by Diceman on Jun 18, 2009 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think we’re forgetting Kongo is a solid K-1 striker and can bang with anybody and has also shown in the past he has a solid chin as well….would Mir, AA,or Gonzaga recovered from those same head shots?

by Robert(1) on Jun 18, 2009 8:15 AM EDT reply actions  

That’ll be the same Kongo who’s never appeared on a K1 card???

He’s a solid MMA striker but wouldn’t worry any of the top K1 guys.

by attakdog on Jun 18, 2009 8:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

not literally on a card but same skill set as K-1 strikers…his punches are clean and straight down the middle, which is why everybody wants nothing to do with him standing up including Cain.

by Robert(1) on Jun 18, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

with all the promotion he got for the congo fight, im sick of seeing thsi shit…he is good…hope he keeps winning but enough already

by What? on Jun 18, 2009 9:07 AM EDT reply actions  

what the fuck is up with all this cain coverage…there wasnt even this much nut hugging when machida beat rashad…jesus fucking christ mania..we get it…cain won…but he isnt impressive by any means…hes a heavyweight clay guida…he outgrappled a kickboxer…wow

1. brock lesnar
2. frank mir
3. randy couture
4. nogs
5. shane carwin
6. gonzaga

all guys he could never dry hump to a fucking decision…the guy isnt even in the top 6 in the division…get off his nutsack…hes nothing…

outgrappling a kickboxer is not impressive…

by HellaHectic on Jun 18, 2009 10:06 AM EDT reply actions  

i honestly agree with you 100%….that is what i have been trying to tell people but could not properly express it like you just did…well done!! plain and simple he can’t do the same thing to top level wrestlers that have devastatng knockout power.

by "I came, I saw, I conquered" - "Veni, Vidi, Vici" on Jun 18, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

True True True….I forgot about Gabe Gonzaga, he would take Cain too…

by Big Daddio on Jun 18, 2009 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

i totally agree. don’t get me wrong, i think cain has the potential to do big things in the next few years, but right now his brown pride blanket and lame hands aren’t gonna save him from the top heavyweights. i almost kinda hope they match him up with carwin now, so carwin can douche his face with a straight right and all the velasquez nut-hugging can end.

by matmar87 on Jun 18, 2009 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

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