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UFC 98 predictions, preview and analysis

UFC 98: ‘Evans vs. Machida’ is set to go down this Saturday, May 23, 2009 from The MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, live on pay-per-view (PPV) starting at 10p.m. ET.

Remember: MMAmania.com will provide LIVE updates with blow-by-blow, round-by-round commentary of the main card action on fight night, which is slated to air at 10 p.m. ET.

To get us pumped for the festivities, MMAmania.com Editor and Senior Writer Jesse Holland (that’s me) will break down the main event matches and provide an unbiased and objective examination of each contest.

Well, not really, but you will be treated to a smörgåsbord of hot air, elitism and conjecture. And for a whopping third straight edition of Nostradumbass, I’m going to depart from my old cock-and-bull routine in favor of a neat and orderly format.

I’ve also included the current betting lines for each fight so that you can get a feel for what the money has to say about the chances of each combatant.

And if you just so happen to have a few bucks to throw down on your favorite fighter, far be it from me to stop you from clicking on the handy BetUS link I’ve conveniently provided.

Now, enough with all the pillow talk … at least for the time being.

Let’s get cracking:

Star-divide

205 lbs.: "Sugar" Rashad Evans (13-0-1) vs. Lyoto "The Dragon" Machida (14-0)

Backgrounds: Machida has been patiently waiting for a crack at the title, all the while stringing together six straight victories inside the Octagon, including his coming out party at UFC 94 where he floored Thiago Silva in the first round for his first (T)KO finish under the UFC banner. The Brazilian is an effective counter striker and Karate master that has ramped up his offense a few notches in the past year. Like "The Dragon," Evans has taken some heat in the past for his cautious approach. That all but went out the window after a devastating KO over former light heavyweight deity Chuck Liddell and a decisive TKO finish against ex-205 champ Forrest Griffin. The TUF 2 heavyweight winner has a solid wrestling game and deceptively fast hands.

Dumbass predicts: This has been one of the hardest fights I've ever had to predict. The good news? It's five rounds, so it will have plenty of time to unfold. The bad news? It's five rounds, so it will have plenty of time to unfold. It's hard to imagine two guys coming off brutal stoppages putting on a boring fight, but let's not pretend that any of us have healed the wounds left by Anderson Silva and Thales Leites just over a month ago. Evans will bob his head like a parakeet and dance all night if you let him, while Machida has that one move where he looks like he's trying to balance on a unicycle (that herky-jerky, back-and-forth movement). Rashad is fast and powerful, but then again so is Machida. I favor the Brazilian in the clinch and in the submissions, but I don't see Evans sticking around long enough to get tapped - just as I can't see Evans being able to effectively utilize his wrestling against the enigmatic gazelle. What I do see, is Evans running out of steam in rounds four and five, allowing Machida to rack up some valuable points. Rounds one through three will likely be interchangeable on the scorecards, and don't be surprised to hear the boos start coming as early as the first. Sorry folks, this one has disappointment written all over it.

Betting lines (as of May 22):

Evans: +150 ((Bet Now))

Machida: -200 ((Bet Now))

Prediction: Machida via split decision

170 lbs.: Matt Hughes (42-7) vs. Matt "The Terror" Serra (9-5)

Backgrounds:

Hughes needs no introduction. Like Chuck Liddell, Hughes owned his division a few years back and holds wins over BJ Penn, Georges St. Pierre and Sean Sherk. He has tremendous power in his wrestling and a suffocating top game. Serra on the other hand hits hard and has multiple jiu-jitsu titles to his credit. Both former welterweight champions have been sidelined with injuries — Serra sustained an elbow injury in his loss to Georges St. Pierre at UFC 83: "Serra vs. St. Pierre 2″ back in April and Hughes has been nursing a knee injury that he suffered in his loss to Thiago Alves at UFC 85: "Bedlam″ back in June. Serra and Hughes — who are about as opposite as two people can get — were opposing coaches in The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 6 and were supposed to fight at UFC 79: "Nemesis" in December 2007. However, Serra had to withdraw because of a serious back injury. Now it's time to settle the score.

Dumbass predicts: Matt Hughes might be past his prime. The division seems to have moved on without him and I don't think at this stage he has the desire to change his game for 2009. Still, what's left is more than likely enough to overcome Serra. I like "The Terror" and think he deserves way more credit than he gets, but he doesn't compete nearly enough to remain at a high level of competition -- he's averaged just one fight per year since 2004. Serra has knockout power, but after what happened with Thiago Alves I think Hughes will be a little less reckless in his attack. I'm afraid this one isn't going to be fireworks, and will likely mirror Hughes unanimous decision win over Chris Lytle back at UFC 68 in March 2007. Serra has a stingie guard, so I don't anticipate much damage, but he will get controlled for three rounds by the bigger, stronger Hughes. Wrestlemania! At least it's only three rounds.

Betting lines (as of May 22):

Hughes: -275 ((Bet Now))

Serra: +190 ((Bet Now))

Prediction: Hughes via unanimous decision

185 lbs.: Xavier "Professor X" Foupas-Pokam (20-10) vs. Drew "The Massacre" McFedries (7-5)

Backgrounds: "Professor X" (20-10) came up short in his UFC debut after a tough unanimous decision loss to Denis Kang at UFC 97 from The Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, on April 18. Prior to entering the UFC, the Cage Rage and Palace Fighting Championship (PFC) veteran was riding a six-fight win streak. The French fighter has a nice mix of submissions and (technical) knockouts on his resume. "Massacre" has had a rollercoaster career inside the Octagon, winning every other fight and being unable to string together consecutive wins in six attempts with the promotion. That is until he locked horns with Thales Leites on short notice at UFC 90: "Silva vs. Cote" back in October 2008. McFedries dropped his second consecutive bout courtesy of a first round submission (rear naked choke). He lost to Mike Massenzio via submission (kimura) at UFC Fight Night 15 in Omaha, Neb., on September 17, before the loss to the Brazilian.

Dumbass predicts: Believe it or not, Drew McFedries is entering his eighth fight inside the Octagon tomorrow night. While he's has mixed results (3-4), he's been able to get continued airtime for the simple reason that you know you're getting a dramatic finish. McFedries has never gone to a decision or pulled off a submission in his entire UFC career, and I don't expect him to start against Professor X. The bad news is that if McFedries was going to ever be more than a hard-hitting gatekeeper, he would have gotten there by now. Still, he has the ability to finish at anytime, and with Foupas-Pokam at risk of going 0-2 in his UFC career, that sense of urgency could cause him to make a mistake and get the lights turned off. And that's really what this fight boils down to. If Foupas-Pokam can fight intelligently and not anxiously (0-2 is never a good place to be on the Zuffa roster), this should be a convincing win. He's certainly skilled enough. Despite his unanimous decision loss to Denis Kang at UFC, he's racked up a nice 12-2 record since 2006 -- and 17 of his 20 wins have been finishes. I don't expect this one to be any different.

Betting lines (as of May 22):

Foupas-Poukam: -200 ((Bet Now))

McFedries: +150 ((Bet Now))

Prediction: Foupas-Poukam via submission

185 lbs.: Chael Sonnen (21-10-1) vs. Dan Miller (11-1)

Backgrounds: Sonnen will attempt to rebound from a quick first round submission loss to Brazilian jiu-jitsu powerhouse, Demian Maia, at UFC 95 earlier this year. The bout marked his third UFC appearance – he lost to Jeremy Horn via submission (armbar) at UFC 60: "Hughes vs. Gracie" back in 2006 and outpointed Trevor Prangley on all three judges scorecards at Ultimate Fight Night 4 that same year. Prior to the loss to Maia, Sonnen handed a dazed and confused Paulo Filho his first career loss at WEC 37 on November 5. A Brazilian jiu-jitsu brown belt, Miller defeated Rob Kimmons via first round submission in his promotional debut at UFC Fight Night 15 in September 2008. Four weeks later he followed that up with an encore performance, stepping in for an injured Ricardo Almeida to topple Matt Horwich via unanimous decision at UFC 90: "Silva vs. Cote." Most recently, Miller filled in again as a replacement to school blue chip prospect, Jake Rosholt, via submission (guillotine choke) at UFC Fight Night 17.

Dumbass predicts: Chael Sonnen is a solid mid-card talent with good all around skills, and he enjoyed some success in the WEC including a win over Paulo Filho after the Brazilian blew a head gasket and started speaking in tongues during their fight. I guess some of the crazies rubbed off on Sonnen, who's now sounding weirder and weirder with each interview. I though Sonnen would hold his own going into this fight but hearing that he's walking around at 221 lbs. three weeks out from a middleweight bout does not leave me with that warm, fuzzy feeling (that's what mesc is for). I'm trying to be lenient here because he stepped up and filled in for a gimpy Yushin Okami, but now he's telling the press that he's doing Joe Silva a favor by taking this fight. However he isn't doing the fans -- or himself a favor if he mails it in for the paycheck, expecting another fight based on his "favor." And Miller is no joke. He's got a great submission game and a solid wrestling pedigree to boot. There is no way Sonnen is going to make the weight and still be fresh for this fight, so unless he lands a superman punch in the first thirty seconds for the KO, Miller is going to own him. I'm expecting a tap, but a TKO would not surprise me.

Betting lines (as of May 22):

Sonnen: +160 ((Bet Now))

Miller: -210 ((Bet Now))

Prediction: Miller via submission

155 lbs.: Sean "The Muscle Shark" Sherk (33-3) vs. Frank "The Answer" Edgar (9-1)

Backgrounds: Sherk failed to reclaim his title against BJ Penn at UFC 84: "Ill Will" back in May 2008. It was his first fight since being stripped of the title and suspended for six months because of a positive test for steroids that he refuted vigorously. At the ripe old age of 35, the "Muscle Shark" rebounded with unanimous decision win over Tyson Griffin at UFC 90: "Silva vs. Cote," demonstrating much improved striking skills. "The Answer" rebounded from the first professional loss of his career to Gray Maynard (unanimous decision) at UFC Fight Night 13 to outpoint former number one contender Hermes Franca on all three judges scorecards at UFC Fight Night 14: "Silva vs. Irvin" in July 2008. Edgar recently earned a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu while training at Ricardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu in Hamilton, N.J., under Ricardo Almeida — the star pupil of Renzo Gracie. He is a decorated high school (Toms River High School East) and collegiate (Clarion University) wrestler out of Toms River, N.J., who also moonlights as an assistant wrestling coach at Rutgers University.

Dumbass predicts: Frank Edgar is a difficult guy to bet against, because he finds ways to win. His bread and butter has been his wrestling, which he used to overcome guys like Tyson Griffin, Spencer Fisher and Hermes Franca. Unfortunately it's also been his downfall. Without a plan B, there is little place to go when your biggest weapon is neutralized. Case in point: Gray Maynard at UFC Fight Night 13. Gray bullied Edgar en route to his first loss by overpowering him and answering his wrestling chops with some of his own. "Answer" fans blame the high altitude, but having been around Frankie in person, it's not a stretch to say he's a featherweight with a lot of muscle mass. His opponent, Sean Sherk, is just the opposite. He's a welterweight who cuts to make 155. That size difference in and of itself is enough to make this a repeat of the Maynard loss, but keep in mind that Sherk is a staggering 33-3-1, with his three losses coming to the top dogs in the UFC named Hughes, St. Pierre and Penn. I like that Edgar has been working on his striking, and Sherk has also tried to improve his stand up skills. If they can supplement their wrestling with the stand up -- instead of abandoning their wrestling for it, then we could have an exciting fight. Or we could just see three rounds of two wrestlers demonstrating why boxing is called a science. I have Sherk all day, every day.

Betting lines (as of May 22):

Sherk: -300 ((Bet Now))

Edgar: +200 ((Bet Now))

Prediction: Sherk via unanimous decision

That’s a wrap, folks.

Remember to come check us out after the show for all the latest results, recaps and our coverage of UFC 98: "Evans vs. Machida."

What do you think? Now it’s your turn … let us have it in the comments section and share your thoughts and picks for Saturday’s event.

0 recs  |  Comment 70 comments

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enigmatic gazelle haha nice

by bk on May 22, 2009 2:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Anyone else think Sonnen looks and sounds like Luke and Owen Wilson?

by IrishKev on May 22, 2009 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which one? Luke and Owen Wilson look nothing alike.

by PW on May 22, 2009 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well he looks like Luke and sounds like Owen? lol

by Cogito Ergo Sum on May 23, 2009 6:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is this old news or did anyone else just find out that Mike Pyle is replacing Chris Wilson against Brock Larson tomarrow?

by DB on May 22, 2009 2:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it’s old news that they signed him to be an emergency alternate but I dont think he’s been tapped to officailly replace anyone yet.

by naturalist on May 22, 2009 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

it’s on UFC.com

by DB on May 22, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, you were right. I swear the gods are conspiring against any parlays that I’ve made. every single one has been f’d up by replacements.

by naturalist on May 22, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Some site cancel the bet, and others keep the parlay in tact minus the cancelled fight. One time on BetUs I had a replacement in my parlay, and I won all my other fights and got paid, at the odds without the replacement fight. IE a 5 fight parlay becomes a 4 fight parlay

by ViolentMike on May 22, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I bet Big on Sherk and Miller.

Modest bet on Machida (even though I might bet more since he is a lock). Serra, Yoshida.

n I threw in a couple of parlays

by john on May 22, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does anyone know if this has anything to do with his kidnapping in Brazil?

by DB on May 22, 2009 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You could actually make money on Serra and Evans, not bad picks if you ask me.

by spitforce on May 22, 2009 2:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

well iv betted on the has he predicts excepted onne fight ,iv got evens to win

by chris on May 22, 2009 2:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

What are your picks Mr. Mac?

by BNF on May 22, 2009 2:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Well….Sherk UD
        Machida via RNC in the 4th (this fight will take a while to get into gear imo)
        Hughes/Serra is a tough one…I’d like to say Hughes but I’m just sure how cause Serra’s got a good chin and doesn’t quit. I’ll go with Serra via sub (something to do with the legs cause Hughes is coming off a leg injury and is apparently huge meaning he’ll have extra bulk to carry).
  I think Miller and Pro X will take their fights too.

What about you BNF?

by McArthur on May 22, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

McArthur – I agree with all of them, except I’m on the fence about the Hughes vs. Serra fight. The way these two guys fight, I see it being fairly lopsided. I just can’t choose which side that’ll be. Power fists vs. GnP. It all depends on Hughes’ speed, or lack thereof.

by MMACrossifre on May 23, 2009 3:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m obviously picking Rashad to win this and I’d like to explain some reasons why that haven’t been talked about as much. The obvious reasons are because Rashad has better power, better hand speed, equal or better footwork, underrated defence, superior wrestling, and very underrated GnP in my opinion.

I think one the things I’ve noticed lately is that Machida has been talking a lot about being more aggressive and going for the KO. That is not the Machida that we’re used to seeing. Either he’s trying to hype himself up or he’s believing his own hype with his recent KO over a weak chinned and poor game planning Silva. He has to be aggressive in this fight as I’ve said before. He has to go after the belt…Rashad can sit and wait for him cause he has what Machida wants. I think this is going to affect Machida and cause him to make mistakes.

When you look at the opponents that Machida has faced since coming to the UFC he hasn’t fought a single fighter that has been even remotely as quick as him. Soko is a flat footed striker that barely moves, Tito doesn’t have much in terms of hand speed or footwork, and Silva basically just kept walking up to Machida with his hands down inviting punches and kicks. Rashad is lightning quick and can move just as fast if not faster than Machida on his feet and his hand speed is on fast forward.

I know a lot of people are quick to point out that Rashad was losing his last 2 fights until he found a way to win but that’s the thing. Rashad is one of the best in-fight analysts and he’s always patient to wait for the right time to attack and when he does…he gets results.

Machida looked a little gassed himself when he fought Tito and I just don’t see Machida being able to gas Evans unless he starts to try and get takedown after takedown which caused him to gas early in fights earlier in his career.

If Rashad can win the first 2 rounds…I don’t think Machida will know what to do and he’s going to have to alter his game plan and that will lead to taking risks and leaving an opening for Rashad to finish the fight.

by Buster Bluth on May 22, 2009 3:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Excellent post Buster; the beauty and elloquence with which it was composed has brought me to tears. I can almost taste the money now.

by O damn he got caught on May 22, 2009 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quit cryin and give me a HELL YEA! you little b*tch!

by Stone Cold Steve Austin on May 22, 2009 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

HELL YEAH

by O damn he got caught on May 22, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOLOLOL at stone cold…

Buster, great post. ALMOST made me change my mind, BUT my mind has been made for well over a year, that Machida is destined to be UFC champ.

You bring up great points in that Machida hasn’t faces anyone as quick as Rashad. However, Machida is not only bringing quickness and elusiveness, but he is also bringing to the table a style of fighting that only the people he has fought before have ever been against. He is one of a kind.

Also, you mention if Machida gases and loses the first two rounds… Wait, loses the first two rounds??? He hasn’t lost one round on one score card yet!!! I do not expect Rashad to come out and dominate Machida on the score cards, unless he puts him on his back, but Machida has proven to be more then well versed in takedown defense (see the Tito fight, he tossed Tito around!).

I have to admit that I have been sipping the Machida Urine, or rather the Machida Kool-Aid for some time now. Ever since the Chuck fight, I believe that Rashad can end any fight with one strike. But then again, a teenage girl may be able to KO Chuck with one flush shot now. So who knows. Was it more of no more chin for Chuck, or more of explosiveness by Rashad. I think both contributed, but mostly due to Rashad’s explosive power. But you can’t KO what you can’t hit.

MAN, I want this fight to be tonight…….

by ViolentMike on May 22, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So when Machida wins, does this mean as TUF coach, his fighters will drink piss vigorously and enthusiastically before each weekly fight? Of course, I believe that is a repeat of last season.

by slim473 on May 22, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Machida all the way and Buster IMO Soko is not a “flat footed striker that barely moves”.

I think he is pretty damn explosive (he has numerous faults mind you). I think Lil Nog, Arona and Cane would agree. With respect to Cane, in the 1st Soko was tooling him.

In fact i don’t see that much difference in striking prowess between Rashad and Soko. Too much is made of the Chuck KO, yeah it looked sweet but Chuck has the reaction times of my mother.

Rashad is going to get worked on his feet and thats that. His only chance is to attack with combos and work for a clinch/takedown and score some points.

Mix in Rashads gas tank (see Bisping fight) and i could see him getting sloppy and ending up staring up at the lights.

Machida by TKO late in the third.

by Nick J on May 22, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree everyone talks of Rashads power, but he wont hit machida i see machida winning by arm choke in the 3rd.

by thebending on May 22, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It was more of Chuck sticking his chin up in the air and getting hit by one of the most explosive overhand rights in the LHW history of UFC.. I think Machida’s conditioning is gonna be a factor in the later rounds if Rashad makes it a physical fight..
It’s def going to be an interesting fight, Lyoto hasn’t fought a quick and explosive counterpuncher with that one punch KO power, so it will be interesting to see how he deals with that..

by RoB on May 22, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rashad has never faced such a fast n explosive counter puncher either!.U guys will be surprised at how much of a blow out this fight will be. as usual, Machida will NOT LOSE A ROUND!!!!!

by john on May 22, 2009 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sugar

by Alpha Male 360 on May 22, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comparinf Tito’s wrestling to Rashad’s is not something that can be done. Tito telegraphed his shots from about 6 feet out and they were easily avoidable. Rashad uses his strikes to set up takedowns and is able to change levels. Tito would just try and line Machida up and rush him which was a huge mistake and frustrated Tito into making a lot of mistakes.

If we want to go back and demean some of Rashad’s accomplishments like KOing the KO king then lets look back at Machida’s last fight. He KOed a foolish Silva that ran after him with his hands down and then he was only able to knock him out because his head had no where to go because he was on the ground. Plus Silva’s chin is weak and he’s an overrated fighter.

Machida is a damn ninja…he’s a great fighter and he presents a unique set of problems but I just feel that he only has one way to win this fight and that’s by decision. Rashad can win via decision, GnP, or flat out KO.

I know Machida hasn’t lost a round in a damn long time but I’m just saying that Rashad needs to come out and not throw away rounds in order to get Machida’s timing down. I think if Machida wins the first 2 rounds then he will revert to a retreating mode and try and steal one more round to take the fight. Every round is crucial in this fight cause there will be very few mistakes made by either fighter.

It’s going to be a great chess match and Rashad is Bobby Fisher!

by Buster Bluth on May 22, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Machida’s not gonna lose a round up until Rashad lands that big shot and then it’s over.. I see it coming to an end in the 3rd or 4th round! remember that

by RoB on May 22, 2009 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

RoB — I’ll remember how wrong you were.

by MMACrossifre on May 23, 2009 4:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i can really see that happenening rob. my honest prediction is that machida will kick rashads ass for like 3 or more rounds and just when everyone thinks machida has the fight rashad will lay him out cold

by Clinton Jackson (formerly Jared) on May 23, 2009 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good post Buster!

by Alpha Male 360 on May 22, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Both fighters will back off to start with Machida picking up the first two rounds. Rashad will then be forced to push the pace and when he does he will be picked to pieces.

by rusgeo82 on May 23, 2009 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I must say that your points are strong- but your missing out on some things- although i do agree with alof of what your saying, the reason why im giving to machida is this, Machida has great take down defence, and has great wrestling himself, the hand speed i do give to Evans, but Machida is too good at avoiding and getting hit- even though both fighters are in great shape i have to agree with jesse, Evans does dance around ALOT and circles alot more than he has too, that will lead him to gas out earlier than machida where as machida only moves and circles when he needs to other than he stand in front of his opponent. the only edge im giving evans is that he trains with GSP and has the mastermind of Greg Jackson behind him, where as Machida doesn’t have trainging partners like Evans- The only mistake i see Machida doing is by trying to please the fans by being a little too aggressive and that is the only way that evans can find the opening to KO him, other than that if the machida of usual shows up, or the one machida that fought Tito shows up watch out, cuz their is no way evans can out strike him

by ricky on May 22, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe Machida is working mind games in the “trying to please the fans” hype. He’ll go for it if it’s there, but he’s very regimented in his fights. He sticks to his gameplan and he doesn’t vary often. Don’t forget, where Evans has GSP, Machida has Silva, who is training to fight in the same weight class. Although Rashad has gotten better with each fight, he beat a 40+ yr old Liddell who doesn’t guard his chin, and he was getting beat by Forrest until Forrest broke his hand and couldn’t strike effectively. So, in his last few fights, what has he actually done that’s astonishing? Plus, although Bisping is good, that was the most god-awful fight I ever saw. So, my feeling is Rashad has finally met someone who is on the next level, he’s going to get knocked the fuck out, and it won’t matter how much he twists his nipples.

by slim473 on May 22, 2009 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I completely disagree. I really cant figure out where you are getting the part where you said he looked gassed against tito. That makes no sense to me. Maybe you mean directly after he escaped the tap? That could be the only thing you are talking about.

I also dont get what you mean about Shad having awesome footwork… Where did you get that from? He dances.. but that aint his footwork my friend.

I have to add this:

I dont like Rashad so Im totally biased haha

by enzo-enormous on May 22, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he was tired in the 3rd and was breathing heavy that was why Tito started catching up to him..

by RoB on May 22, 2009 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great post, Buster.

But I am afraid you will have to compose other elegant musings when your main man meets defeat at the hands of the urine man.

:)

by OJR on May 22, 2009 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not so fast my friend. Machida does something Rashad has not seen much of. He can kick and stuff takedowns. This guy picks his shots and does not use much energy so he will not gas. I see him picking Rashad apart. Rashad has only recently learned striking and Machida is the least hit fighter in the UFC. That equals getting picked apart.

No one has taken Machida down yet. I see Machid hitting a big knee after Rashad gets sick of being picked apart and hitting air he will try to take Machida down and get dropped. It will be like the Tito fight.

winner gets rampage loser gets shogun.

by hatteras on May 23, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

soko did

by Clinton Jackson (formerly Jared) on May 23, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well I agree with the Sherk prediction at least; all day everyday is spot on!

WAR EVANS
WAR SERRA

Win me that F*in money!!! :mad:

by O damn he got caught on May 22, 2009 3:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

:cool:

by McArthur on May 22, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that is how I see it,but I would love to see Machida KO Evans

by scott on May 22, 2009 3:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Makes sense to me. I’ve got action on all of those picks. But what all of us recreational bettors want to know is your thoughts on Sos V. Gusmao. We all know Sos isn’t exactly a dynamic striker, but he still wants to terst Gus on hte feet. Can he take Gus down and work some G n P or will it just result in some sub attempts against him?

by naturalist on May 22, 2009 3:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A lot of people like Kriztoff as the underdog. I am staying away from this fight myself because The Polish Experiment does not have the best sub defense, and you are right, his striking is a bit overrated.

by ViolentMike on May 22, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My pick are exactly the same exept I got Serra winning this!!

by phlicutioner on May 22, 2009 3:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I got the bulk of my money on Sherk and Machida (individually, and parlayed together to get better than even money)

Put a few bucks on Serra cuz I liked the odds and Hughes could get KO’d, but Hughes will most likely lay on him for a decision JUST like the Lytle fight like Jesse said. I wish they still offered prop bets because I only see it ending by Hughes decision or Serra KO/TKO. I hope they have the microphone close enough so we can hear what Serra is saying while Hughes is laying on him and how Hughes responds.

And then I got my “favorites parlay special” on
1. Phillipe Nover – too big and talented to lose to Bradley. He actually fought at WW before TUF.
2. Patrick Barry – I saw him on inside MMA and he looks like a F’ing beast, and I saw a couple of his fights. WATCH OUT for his leg kicks – he will chop that giant down
3. Dan Miller – Chael done did lost his mind. And he used to be one of the more down to earth, real interviews. Dan Miller is well rounded and Chael isn’t.
4. Brock Larson – by TKO, anyone disagree?
5. Sean Sherk – EVERY time I put all my eggs in one basket, I lose. Well, not really, but it feels like it. F’ing Kos… (betting against him next fight)
It pays out like 3.2 to 1

by ViolentMike on May 22, 2009 3:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Evans 3-4rnd TKO
Hughes 2rnd TKO
Sherk UD
McFedries 1rnd KO
Miller 3rnd RNC
Pyle 3rnd TKO
Barry 1rnd TKO
Nover UD
Soszynski 2rnd TKO
Yoshida 2 rnd RNC
Roop UD

by Alpha Male 360 on May 22, 2009 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your ‘’Favourites Parlay Special’’ looks good.
Nover is going to be more focus and prepard then in his last fight and he’ll explode in this one.
Barry will kill almost whoever they put in front of him, the best lowkicks in MMA… there’s Hardonk and others outthere but none of them have that skill 100% defined as Barry does.
Dan Miller is going to win… Chael is going to have huge problems in this fight.
Brock Larson, he’s very talented and he’ll put on a show and he’ll win prolly in the first round in entertaining fashion.
Sherk is huge, I think this fight will be boring though Sherk is going to take it.

by JonnyBoy on May 22, 2009 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So basically you said all three top fights are going to be boring??

Machida 2nd rnd TKO.
Serra 3 rnd TKO
Edgar 1st rnd TKO.

by xxBAxx816 on May 22, 2009 3:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Best of luck to you folks betting on Evans. I just hope you can recoup the money you’re going to lose. :)

by rydinlow on May 22, 2009 3:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

This card will probably suck big donkey. evans/machida will be shadowboxing and hughes/serra will be grappling, both going to decisions.

I’m actually routing for Rashad because Machida will makes a boring champ and there’s really nobody else in the division that can beat him. Hughes/Serra doesn’t really matter since hughes is retiring win or lose and Serra will probably be dropping down in weight. Sherk/Edgar has some potential but will probably turn into a one-sided lay’n’pray, both guys being wrestlers. I’m not paying for this crap.

by spitforce on May 22, 2009 3:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

LOL. So angry…

by OJR on May 22, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LMAO! Nobody else in the division can beat Machida? Rashad and Forrest would be my absolute last picks to beat him! I think Rampage, Hendo, and Shogun have the best chance beating Machida.

by xxBAxx816 on May 22, 2009 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not a Shogun fan but that fight could be very interresting.

by JonnyBoy on May 22, 2009 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hey thanks for picking all the favorites for us! we need a lotta help doing that!

by Dude on May 22, 2009 4:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think Machidia will be able to avoid punishement like he did in the past becuase Rashad is the best striker he has faced and is getting better. Sliva was extremely over- rated, beating nobody in the top ten and Tito has no striking at all. I mean does anybody think its really impressive that Machidia avoided Tito’s punches? Rashad wins this one and I think it will be an exciting fight dispite what people are saying. Rashad by ko, setting up Rashad vs Jackson late this summer and if they do the TUF coaches then that really sucks!!!!

by Robert(1) on May 22, 2009 4:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Put down the bong. Thiago Silva is a much better striker than Rashad. Don’t forget that Machida also beat Franklin and Penn which I would also say are better strikers than Rashad. Who has Rashad fought to prove his striking? He couldn’t outstrike Tito when they fought. Forrest?? He couldn’t outstrike Tito and still has sloppy stand-up. Chuck? How many times has he been knocked out now lol? Sean Salmon? The name says it all haha..

by xxBAxx816 on May 22, 2009 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nah…Thiago Silva looked good against Houston Alexander but then everybody is beating that guy. Thiago is not a better striker than Rashad. He is kinda slow, plodding with an ever developing female midsection. He’ll beat a lot of guys but he’s a notch below the TOP 205 pounders..

by sudnvictory on May 22, 2009 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey Mania— speaking in tongues doesn’t mean you’re crazy.

by Ground-Game on May 22, 2009 4:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It just means you’re speaking gibberish; saying absolutley nothing that no one can understand for absolutley no reason.

by O damn he got caught on May 22, 2009 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Xbaxx u actually think thiago silva is a better striker he finishes all of his fight by taking someone down passing guard and finishing sub or gnp. Where you get youre info is beyond me. I dont think rashad is going to gas its a title fight he will be in shape to go 5 rounds. This going to be a close fight. Machida vs penn is nothing it a 205 vs a 155 who cares. Hendo a guy who striking is predictable is going to beat machida yea.
Evans 3 round tko
hughes UD
XAvier tko 1st rd
sherk ud
miller split decision

by desperus on May 22, 2009 7:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

machida
Serra
Sherk

by markg on May 22, 2009 8:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

People always hatin on Machida and Evans. “Sorry folks, this one has disappointment written all over it.”

These dudes have had some of the best fights in the ufc in their last couple.I hardly find either of them hard to watch. I bet It’ll be one of the best fights on the card.

by Josh Hauck on May 22, 2009 10:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i hope the fans there dont start booing after only like 1minute into fight

by juggalomike on May 22, 2009 10:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Machida end of round 2 by tko ground and pound. After that he will be elevated to Fedor status. If Machida wins by a finish, and then beats Rampage people will say he is the p4p king.

by hatteras on May 23, 2009 12:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

do you really think machida is never gonna lose,a round,a fight he hasnt got the belt yet ,let alone defended.dont jump on the urine wagon so fast

by hhddavidson on May 23, 2009 1:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

striking – machida
KO power – evans
BJJ – machida
wrestling – evans
cardio – no distinct advantage
exoerience – machida
chin – no distinct advantage

by jace on May 23, 2009 2:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

machida by Sub
Serra by TKO
sonnen by UD
X by TKO
sherk by UD

by diego is my bitch on May 23, 2009 12:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Im with you except for Hughes. I think he is exactly what Matt Serra says he is. Serra is surprisingly solid. I think Serra gets the KO in this – Hughes’ last fight.

by Nick Russell on May 23, 2009 12:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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